Cleveland Trades Down, and we pass on a quarterback (I may change that after the combine). I have us taking Marcell Dareus over Amukamura, which could be controversial on this board.
1. Carolina (2-14) - WR AJ Green, Georgia. There are stil a lot of questions to be answered about Carolina's draft strategy, since they don't even havea new coach yet. But AJ Green is the surest thing at #1. Da'Quan Bowers may be the most talented player at the top of the draft, but there are times when he doesn't show up at all. Nick Fairley is a one-year wonder so far. But AJ Green is the best WR prospect to come out at least since Calvin Johnson -- he immediately makes Jimmy Clausen a lot, lot better. A trade-down would make a lot of sense for Carolina since they don't have a second-round pick.
2. Denver (4-12) - CB Patrick Peterson, LSU. The secondary is the biggest hole on the Broncos by far. Statistically, an argument could be made to improve the pass-rush, but Elvis Dumervil missed the entire season and will be back in '11.
3. Buffalo (4-12) - DL Nick Fairley, Auburn - The Bills are getting better, but they need upgrades on the offensive and defensive lines. Fairley can play almost anywhere on the D-Line, so he is a great fit...Buffalo gave up almost 5 yards a carry in 2010, terrible. QB coult be an option, but Gailey has one more year up there, and if he fails to get them to 7 or 8 wins next year he will be fired and a new regime will br brought in. If Fitzpatrick's development stalls, Buffalo will be picking in the Top 5 next year and will have a chance at Andrew Luck, Landry Jones, Matt Barkley, or Nick Foles.
4. Cincinnati (4-12) - Da'Quan Bowers, DE, Clemson. Very poor pass-rush in Cincinatti, and with Marv Lewis returning for 2011, so is Carson Palmer. Again, if they fail in 2011, they will be looking QB in 2012 with a new regime and new coach.
5. Arizona (5-11) - DE Robert Quinn, UNC. Big upgrade at pass-rusher for Arizona. All the talk is that AZ is going to go with a veteran quarterback via free agency -- they are not in rebuilding mode. High trade-down possibility here.
6. **Trade** Minnesota send a second round pick to Cleveland to move up six spots - QB Blaine Gabbert, Mizzou, Minnesota pulls the trigger to move into Cleveland's spot and get their quarterback of the future. Good fit in Minnesota.
7. San Francisco (6-10) - DL Marcell Dareus, Alabama. I had this pick as Jake Locker last week, but I feel its best to keep the pick as either Marcel Dareus or Prince Amukamura until Locker has his pro day/combine. Dareus can play anywhere on the defensive line, can play 2-gap, amazing 5-technique, gets penetration very well, and he is one of the most athletic defensive linemen to come out in quite some time...he can even drop into coverage to cover a Tight End! I have us taking Dareus over Amukamura because you CANNOT find a 5-Technique guy like Dareus with his special level of Athleticism elsewhere in the draft. You can find a Jimmy Smith or someone like that in the 2nd or 3rd round.
Also remember that the Patriots (and by extension the Chiefs with Pioli) put more value on 3-4 defensive linemen than any other franchise...with results.
[ Edited by nickbradley on Jan 14, 2011 at 8:04 AM ]