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College Football Thread

Originally posted by blizzuntz:

Exactly what id expect from a team pants supports
Originally posted by SunDevilNiner79:
Originally posted by blizzuntz:

Exactly what id expect from a team pants supports

Damn George Kittle just drank a celebratory beer, he already won this weekend his alma mater with a buzzer beating TD over Michigan
Originally posted by SunDevilNiner79:
Originally posted by blizzuntz:
I think opposite of AI was 4-3

I won't be surprised if opposite AI this week trends toward a bad idea .

AI picks (bold I actually bet)
Alabama -12.5
Mizzou +5.5
Vanderbilt +9.5
USC +3.5
Cincinnati +5.5
Nebraska -5.5
Iowa State +7.5

User picks:
Clemson -2.5

I'm 4–1
won: Clemson, Colorado state, Vanderbilt, Nebraska
loss: Iowa state

3 games left, Alabama, usc, lsu

we will see how the games finish, but ai model appears to be turning the corner
[ Edited by SunDevilNiner79 on Sep 26, 2026 at 6:31 PM ]
Originally posted by SunDevilNiner79:
Originally posted by SunDevilNiner79:
Originally posted by blizzuntz:
I think opposite of AI was 4-3

I won't be surprised if opposite AI this week trends toward a bad idea .

AI picks (bold I actually bet)
Alabama -12.5
Mizzou +5.5
Vanderbilt +9.5
USC +3.5
Cincinnati +5.5
Nebraska -5.5
Iowa State +7.5

User picks:
Clemson -2.5

I'm 4–1
won: Clemson, Colorado state, Vanderbilt, Nebraska
loss: Iowa state

3 games left, Alabama, usc, lsu

we will see how the games finish, but ai model appears to be turning the corner

I got in on Clemson and was too late on CSU bet in AM.

next week is the inflection point IMO and I'm not going opposite
nvm. Let's just wait till games are over
[ Edited by SunDevilNiner79 on Sep 26, 2026 at 7:48 PM ]
Originally posted by SunDevilNiner79:
Exactly what id expect from a team pants supports

Lost my f**king mind when he did that. Still got the W, but that sure as hell didn't help.
Originally posted by pantstickle:
Originally posted by SunDevilNiner79:
Originally posted by pantstickle:
11 SEC teams is wild. Auburn, Oklahoma, and Texas A&M have no business being on there.

Who should be in it?

my 1st year version only includes power 4.

it hates Indiana lol. It's likely because they've only played crap teams.

AP/Coaches poll have 10 SEC teams

Missouri > Auburn & I'm not convinced about Florida.

It's possible that I'm biased, but OU lost to Michigan who essentially lost to Western Michigan. Texas A&M lost at home to Kentucky, though, and that's worse.

I was right about the anti-Texas duo. Wrong about Florida. They appear to be legit.
Model is approaching 50% win rate.

Its top 25:
1. Georgia
2. Notre Dame
3. LSU
4. Miami
5. Alabama
6. Texas
7. Ohio State
8. Florida
9. Utah
10. Nebraska
11. BYU
12. Michigan (this model loves Michigan lol)
13. Oregon
14. UCLA
15. Indiana
16. Houston
17. Pittsburgh
18. Iowa
19. Tennessee
20. Miss State
21. Oklahoma
22. Ole Miss
23. Auburn
24. Penn State
25. Louisville
Just Missed: Northwestern
the 2 reasons the model loves Michigan:
-Their per play analytic stats are good enough to be 21st in the country.
-Part of whats baked into the model is analytics on coaching value add. Basically, Whittingham (Utah's old coach) has the best value-add. So the model will be most wrong when a highly experienced successful coach suddenly has a bad season, it will keep baking in an expected turn around.
Virginia -2.5
nebraska -13.5
kentucky +3.5
iowa +15.5
Pittsburgh +5.5

i grabbed these early. 4 of the lines move with my bet lol
[ Edited by SunDevilNiner79 on Sep 29, 2026 at 1:24 PM ]
Originally posted by SunDevilNiner79:
Virginia -2.5 (Saturday 12;30 ESPN2)
nebraska -13.5 (Saturday 1pm FS1)
kentucky +3.5 (Saturday 1:15 SEC)
iowa +15.5 (Saturday 12:30 cbs)
Pittsburgh +5.5 (Friday 4pm ESPN)

i grabbed these early. 4 of the lines move with my bet lol

Added
Michigan -5.5 (Saturday 9am Fox)
northwestern +2.5 (Friday 5pm Fox)
washington +9.5 (Saturday 4:30 nbc)

i think that's all I'm going to do this week
[ Edited by SunDevilNiner79 on Sep 30, 2026 at 10:14 PM ]
Originally posted by SunDevilNiner79:
Originally posted by SunDevilNiner79:
Virginia -2.5 (Saturday 12;30 ESPN2)
nebraska -13.5 (Saturday 1pm FS1)
kentucky +3.5 (Saturday 1:15 SEC)
iowa +15.5 (Saturday 12:30 cbs)
Pittsburgh +5.5 (Friday 4pm ESPN)

i grabbed these early. 4 of the lines move with my bet lol

Added
Michigan -5.5 (Saturday 9am Fox)
northwestern +2.5 (Friday 5pm Fox)
washington +9.5 (Saturday 4:30 nbc)

i think that's all I'm going to do this week

Yer gonna pass on that easy money that is Fresno State vs. Washington State +2.5?
Originally posted by billbird2111:
Yer gonna pass on that easy money that is Fresno State vs. Washington State +2.5?

I'm only tracking power 4 matchups this year
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