Originally posted by dj43:
Originally posted by GEEK:
This was a necessary move for short-term pain to mitigate long-term cap considerations.
Dead cap breakdown courtesy of Jason / AB81Rules (full details here):
2025: $66M (Deebo, Armstead, and C. Ward are the majority of contributors)
2026: $49M (Kittle, Collins, Jennings, Matos, Floyd mainly)
2027: $52M (Trent, Hargrave, Warner mainly)
2028: $15M (CMC)
Had we used the June 1st designation on Deebo, we would have seen >30% of our '26 projected salary cap allocated to void years. Maybe worth it if we had won a SB, but...we didn't.
We may be able to reduce those dead cap totals by extending Warner and Kittle, but it's still a material amount. That's essentially what Purdy's average salary will be once he signs his extension.
Kyle and Lynch need to be prudent moving forward. Tough cut decisions for the likes of Juice and Odum, push for salary reductions for the likes of Matos, focus on budget / cap casualties in free agency to net future draft comp picks.
And stop playing with house money in the draft. I want to see this team trade down in the first round, and select a slew of day 2 picks to develop. Essentially, we need to take a page out of the LA Rams to restock the pantry and still compete.
Good post.
I'm sure you know that a first-round pick comes with an option for a fifth year at a rookie deal. So, if the value/need matches at #11, take the guy and benefit from the fifth year. If THE guy is not there, then trade back. To me, we need an impact player. OL or DL, he will cost less in draft capital this year than trying to move up in the future.
Let's put aside the 5th year option consideration and instead to take a look at prior contract extensions of our draftees.
2022 projection: Purdy, maybe Zakalj
2021: Lenior (Lance draft)
2020: Aiyuk (subject to trade rumors now), McKivitz, and Jennings
2019: Bosa, Samuel (now traded), Wishnowsky, Greenlaw
2018: Warner (Mike M had his option exercised but walked after)
2017: Kittle
Now part of that short list is the fact that CMC and Lance trades cost us a bunch of picks. However, outside of Bosa and maybe Aiyuk, we suck at drafting in the first round.
Our sweet spot is really finding gems on day 2 and day 3. Sure the 5th year is a consideration, but our scouting department fares better when you give them more arrows vs locking in on 1st round candidates.