Originally posted by Crown:
Originally posted by ritz126:
Originally posted by Crown:
Originally posted by MBNINER90266:
Originally posted by ritz126:
Originally posted by Crown:
Originally posted by miked1978:
Originally posted by Hangman_52:
He is a bust. He will be a bust during training camp and then he will be released just like the other 3rd round busts this front office has picked:
2025: Nick Martin
2025: Upton Stout
2023: Ji'Ayir Brown
2023: Jake Moody
2023: Cameron Latu
2022: Ty Davis-Price
2022: Danny Gray
2021: Trey Sermon
2021: Ambry Thomas
2019: Jalen Hurd

Most third rounders are busts but nobody wants to talk about that.

As i mentioned in another thread, it took Dee Winters 2 years to lock down a starter job. Why are we so quick to call folks a bust if they don't perform in year 1?

AI Overview

Approximately
28.8% of NFL third-round draft picks (2000–2019) become successful starters, defined as starting for four or more years. While success rates are lower than the first two rounds, third-round picks are critical for team success, often providing starters, especially at positions like Offensive Line (45.79% hit rate) and Tight End.

that is flat out wrong

30% of 3rd years are starers for 4 or more years? and the first 2 rounds are higher? Thats already 100% and that would mean there are no starers in round 4 and below

Uh, what?

I can't even respond to the point because it made my brain break.

i misread the post. i thought it said 30% of starters are third rounders with first and 2nd rounders have an even higher precentage

either way there is no way 29% of 3rd rounders become starters for 4+years that seems really high

No worries.

I mean I couldnt find any data to refute the 29%

About 50% of NFL 1st round draft picks become regular starters with varying degrees of success. Only about 43% sign a 2nd contract with the team that drafted them. Several reasons for that. About 29% of 3rd round picks become reliable starters with O line (46%) and TE the most likely to succeed.