SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS at LOS ANGELES RAMS - 2021 Season Game 17

Originally posted by 49ers81:

Originally posted by 49ersRing:

The 49ers had just a 0.4% chance of winning after punting with 1:57 remaining in the game.

In order to come back and win, the 49ers had to:

🔸 Force a three-and-out
🔸 Score a TD without any timeouts
🔸 Prevent the Rams from scoring in regulation
🔸 Win in OT#SFvsLAR | #FTTB pic.twitter.com/V0uL0Rxut5

— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) January 10, 2022

The 49ers had the lowest minimum win probability of any team to eventually win a game in the NGS era, including the famous Miami Miracle and Super Bowl LI.#SFvsLAR | #FTTB pic.twitter.com/ZDj66G7B51

— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) January 10, 2022

A perfect example of why 'next gen stats' and football are a bad match. More than almost any other game in sports football is maybe the ultimate team game but is also heavily influenced by the will and determination of its players to step up and make that one handed catch or fight for the extra yard that will get them the first down. Hard to measure that in an algorithm which is the main reason that I am generally so dismissive of those kind of stats.

Originally posted by alwayssecond:
why was the moseley interception spot moved to the 30 when it was clear the rams wr didnt touch him?

Originally posted by alwayssecond:
why was the moseley interception spot moved to the 30 when it was clear the rams wr didnt touch him?

Originally posted by 49ersRing:

Originally posted by alwayssecond:
why was the moseley interception spot moved to the 30 when it was clear the rams wr didnt touch him?

The receivers foot did touch him.

Originally posted by JoseCortez:
Nastiness all around.

Rams offense better than 49ers defense
Rams.defense better than 49ers offense
Rams special teams better than. 49ers special teams.
Rams.coaching better than 49ers coaching

Originally posted by alwayssecond:
why was the moseley interception spot moved to the 30 when it was clear the rams wr didnt touch him?

Originally posted by Crown:
I still want an explanation from the NFL how the ref watched Jimmy get hit in the head.

niners always get flagged for that.

some BS was going on in this game.

Originally posted by 49ersRing:

Originally posted by 49ers81:

Originally posted by 49ersRing:

The 49ers had just a 0.4% chance of winning after punting with 1:57 remaining in the game.

In order to come back and win, the 49ers had to:

🔸 Force a three-and-out
🔸 Score a TD without any timeouts
🔸 Prevent the Rams from scoring in regulation
🔸 Win in OT#SFvsLAR | #FTTB pic.twitter.com/V0uL0Rxut5

— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) January 10, 2022

The 49ers had the lowest minimum win probability of any team to eventually win a game in the NGS era, including the famous Miami Miracle and Super Bowl LI.#SFvsLAR | #FTTB pic.twitter.com/ZDj66G7B51

— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) January 10, 2022

A perfect example of why 'next gen stats' and football are a bad match. More than almost any other game in sports football is maybe the ultimate team game but is also heavily influenced by the will and determination of its players to step up and make that one handed catch or fight for the extra yard that will get them the first down. Hard to measure that in an algorithm which is the main reason that I am generally so dismissive of those kind of stats.

I mean, it's not some crazy algorithm. It's just looking at games that historically had the same situation and what their outcome was. Only .4% of teams that were in a similar situation have ever won.

Originally posted by BSofSF:

Originally posted by Phoenix49ers:

Originally posted by Crown:
I still want an explanation from the NFL how the ref watched Jimmy get hit in the head.

niners always get flagged for that.

some BS was going on in this game.

They never call it when Jimmy gets hit in the head. Just staying consistent.

Agree, but I think it evened out fairly. Greenlaw was a little out of control out there today and should have gotten a second personal foul on the body slam.

Originally posted by Chance:

Originally posted by 49ersRing:

Originally posted by 49ers81:

Originally posted by 49ersRing:

The 49ers had just a 0.4% chance of winning after punting with 1:57 remaining in the game.

In order to come back and win, the 49ers had to:

🔸 Force a three-and-out
🔸 Score a TD without any timeouts
🔸 Prevent the Rams from scoring in regulation
🔸 Win in OT#SFvsLAR | #FTTB pic.twitter.com/V0uL0Rxut5

— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) January 10, 2022

The 49ers had the lowest minimum win probability of any team to eventually win a game in the NGS era, including the famous Miami Miracle and Super Bowl LI.#SFvsLAR | #FTTB pic.twitter.com/ZDj66G7B51

— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) January 10, 2022

A perfect example of why 'next gen stats' and football are a bad match. More than almost any other game in sports football is maybe the ultimate team game but is also heavily influenced by the will and determination of its players to step up and make that one handed catch or fight for the extra yard that will get them the first down. Hard to measure that in an algorithm which is the main reason that I am generally so dismissive of those kind of stats.

I mean, it's not some crazy algorithm. It's just looking at games that historically had the same situation and what their outcome was. Only .4% of teams that were in a similar situation have ever won.

I mean, this was an all-time great regular season game. Two teams with playoff implications. Long-time rivals. Two 17 point unanswered runs to take the game into the final quarter. Circus plays. Back and forth final quarter. Momentum shifts. Last minute TD in a win or go home to force OT. Then the team that needed the win pulls it out.

Originally posted by raywm3:
Lol. It's admirable to see people eating crow but you'll go right back to your original selves as soon as Jimmy screws up next lol.

Originally posted by Crown:

Originally posted by BSofSF:

Originally posted by Phoenix49ers:

Originally posted by Crown:
I still want an explanation from the NFL how the ref watched Jimmy get hit in the head.

niners always get flagged for that.

some BS was going on in this game.

They never call it when Jimmy gets hit in the head. Just staying consistent.

Agree, but I think it evened out fairly. Greenlaw was a little out of control out there today and should have gotten a second personal foul on the body slam.

Haha yea he was.

Not sure what was going on with refs today.
Deebo got body slammed on his first run today too - no flag.

they didn't call flags u til they thought the niners might win. Than all of a sudden they cared about holding.

Originally posted by 49ersRing:

Originally posted by Chance:

Originally posted by 49ersRing:

Originally posted by 49ers81:

Originally posted by 49ersRing:

The 49ers had just a 0.4% chance of winning after punting with 1:57 remaining in the game.

In order to come back and win, the 49ers had to:

🔸 Force a three-and-out
🔸 Score a TD without any timeouts
🔸 Prevent the Rams from scoring in regulation
🔸 Win in OT#SFvsLAR | #FTTB pic.twitter.com/V0uL0Rxut5

— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) January 10, 2022

The 49ers had the lowest minimum win probability of any team to eventually win a game in the NGS era, including the famous Miami Miracle and Super Bowl LI.#SFvsLAR | #FTTB pic.twitter.com/ZDj66G7B51

— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) January 10, 2022

A perfect example of why 'next gen stats' and football are a bad match. More than almost any other game in sports football is maybe the ultimate team game but is also heavily influenced by the will and determination of its players to step up and make that one handed catch or fight for the extra yard that will get them the first down. Hard to measure that in an algorithm which is the main reason that I am generally so dismissive of those kind of stats.

I mean, it's not some crazy algorithm. It's just looking at games that historically had the same situation and what their outcome was. Only .4% of teams that were in a similar situation have ever won.

I mean, this was an all-time great regular season game. Two teams with playoff implications. Long-time rivals. Two 17 point unanswered runs to take the game into the final quarter. Circus plays. Back and forth final quarter. Momentum shifts. Last minute TD in a win or go home to force OT. Then the team that needed the win pulls it out.

Yea, and that outcome was improbable. .4% chance is not zero. Lots of things had to go right at the end for us to pull it out. Rams only needed 1 first down to end the game when we punted to them, then we had to drive the length of the field with no timeouts. Stop them again when they had 30 seconds and 2 timeouts. Then finish them off in OT.