Originally posted by thl408:That 2012 team had offensive talent that was damn good. I get the house money angle, but when the team started to deteriorate (OL/WR speed), it greatly affected Kap's ability to find open WRs. The difference between 2012 and 2013 were: no Moss/Crabs/DWalker/Manningham, Goodwin regressed, Iupati injured knee. I agree with how he doesn't throw WRs open consistently. That area of his game has not improved as much as it should have after 2 years.Originally posted by JTsBiggestFan:I think I found the bridge to explain Kap's success early on and failure now.....hear me out.
So there was an article on Niner Nation that alleges insider info from the Harbaugh administration (some assistant). He claims the team was fully on board with Kap back then and after the SB felt he could improve and become even better. They worked on him for two seasons and could not get any more out of him.
The claim wasn't that he couldn't read defenses or make the throws, but was never able to trust receivers to be open (throw them open....whatever you wanna call it).
Now the largest narrative in the media and casual fans is that defenses adjusted to Colin.
But I felt at best that takes away a bit and not a full destruction. After all, Wilson, RG3, Luck, Cam have all been ADJUSTED to and gotten worse statistically....
I think Kap's early success is as simple as this:
THAT FIRST YEAR, OUR BOY WAS PLAYING WITH HOUSE MONEY.
Life of an NFL backup....for the first few games is always house money. You're NOT supposed to be the starter........so hey, what's the risk of screwing up?
Ballin' out of control against teams that season because worst case scenario he sits. Team wise there was no risk because Alex was still seen as very capable....hell, it was a hard decision to make to begin with.
Finished that tie game ok. Came out blazin against Bears and just kept it up the rest of the way. Only losses were against St. Louis and Seattle prior to the post season. He really did not have a terrible game that season....even the Seahawk game our team was just overwhelmed in general.
So now the offseason........the inevitable trade of Alex Smith. No longer is Smith there for tutoring, but also to push Kap. He's the entrenched starter now, and now the real pressure begins.
That opener against the Packers we saw him play with house money still........and after that we've seen the slow decline we never wanted to see.
So the conclusion here IMHO is we drafted a talented QB in many ways but one that is sadly extremely important.......mental fortitude.
The main factors contributing to the 'regression' of 2012 Kap versus 2015 Kap is decline in offensive talent, lack of improvement in anticipation, and lack of pocket awareness. Anticipation and pocket awareness are the two things that would help offset the decline of OL and WR. I don't think he regressed as much as the team around him did. His fault, however, is that he also didn't improve as much as he should. imo
I agree the pieces around him regressed too. The problem with Kap was that he is such an oblivious ME ME ME kind of guy is that it swelled his head into believing that it was HIS play that elevated the team when it was the other way around. So because he believes HE'S the catalyst of this offense, he doesn't accept that he is the problem. And like a drunk, he can never get better til he accepts he's a drunk. You can see that attitude by saying, "I'm not out of breath." He still doesn't believe HE has a problem he needs to work on.
