Originally posted by NCommand:
Who cares if it's a 94 power, 93 counter, 96 trap or 93 ISO...it's a RUN UP THE MIDDLE against an 8-10 man box. I posted the facts. If you want to act surprised when we struggle to sustain drives via 2nd and 3rd downs up against the 8-ball, that's fine. All we're saying is that we're only playing with 2 downs here and that's hard to do, even with all the talent we have, including CK who is able to avoid so many pressures and sacks and make something out of nothing (ala 8 of his 12 TD's via broken plays).
As to what "I" would do? I'm not an OC nor would I ever claim to be. I saw a negative trend that was deeper than a best-case-secenario anticipation pass by CK into a tight window on 3rd and 8 and asked, "Why are we even IN 3rd and 8? Let's look at that b/c that's going to tell the bigger picture."
So there it is...and I agree, passing isn't exactly great either WHEN we pass on 1st downs so let's take a look at them in this film review thread. Isn't that more meaningful? Let's take a look at every single 1st down call and see what we could have done to set ourselves up better. I stated earlier, we'll probably see a large number of reasons for going backwards on 1st downs.
BUT no matter what way you slice it, this long of a trend, that comes down to coaching. Period.
To the first Bolded: It does matter a lot which runs we're calling against which fronts. Just because a team is in an 8 man box doesn't mean we can't run against it. If you couldn't run against an 8 man box how did Frank Gore run for 10,000 yards??? He's seen an 8-9 man box for probably 8,000 of those 10,000 yards....
You said you posted the facts - Ok.... what does that tell us as far as causation?? Correlation does not equal causation. It tells us 1st down is a problem - but not the root cause.
To the 2nd bolded: You talk like we're not looking at the big picture. Most of the time, when I post plays, I pick that particular play because it's an example of what I've seen in the big picture. I write down - as I'm watching the games, what plays we've run on the different downs and what defenses it looked like we played against. That way, I tend to get a very good look at what the big picture of the game was.
Lastly, not to sound rude here, but, if you want to take the time to do that - then go ahead. What you're asking us to do to try is something I might be able to spend a week and half doing for each game in the off-season. Because, the narrative you're asking us to look at is a very long and complex one. This is why I write what I do in my original posts. Because, I try and summarize everything I see as the complete narrative of the game - sequencing of plays, performances, what did/did not work, how we ended up in things. To break down every 1st down play is a long and tedious endeavor that I don't have time to do. Because, for it to be truly unbiased, we'd have to look at all of them, successful and unsuccessful. It's easy to point to a 1st down run failure against an 8 man box and say, "well that's why our offense sucks". But, what it disregards are the 3 successful 1st down runs we had on the drive....
, and to suggest that he hasn't and that's the reason for the woes on offense is totally wrong-headed IMHO. From what I can tell watching the games it seems as if Kap isn't playing comfortable. The way I see it is that Roman and JH aren't coaching to the players strengths - in particular Kaps - but to a philosophy. When you see the same problems consistently emerge game after game after game, even during games where Kap isn't playing bad at all, you have to turn to coaching as the source. It cannot always be poor player execution, and it definitely cannot be lack of leadership. This team might be lacking a lot of things but leadership isn't one of them. When your deffense hands you 5 turnovers and all your offense can muster is 16 points, when your offense consistently has a problem in the red zone, when your offense has the particular habit of abandoning the run even when the RB's are averaging 5 yards a carry, when you have weapons galore on offense not being adequately tapped, when play calls are consistently called that exposes the weaknesses of your O-line, poor execution or QB leadership can only be a scapegoat and piss-poor excuse for not holding the coaches to account.






