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Originally posted by sspiker:
Enter in your picks for Week 13-17 and discover all the playoff scenarios:

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

Playing around with a bit, the most realistic playoff route for the 49ers is:

SF: L @ GB, W vs SEA, L @ SD, W @ STL, W vs ARI (finish 7-9, 5-1 division record)

SEA: W vs CAR, L @ SF, L vs ATL, L @ TB, W vs STL (7-9)

STL: W @ ARI, L @ NO, W vs KC, L vs SF, L @ STL (7-9)

For those playing the home game, note that we'd be 4-8 after playing GB and two games out after the Hawks and Rams play the two worst teams in the league, and still have a realistic shot at the playoffs.

Also, it is possible for either SF or Seattle to win the West and enter the playoffs at 6-10. A likely scenario would be playing against the #5 seed, which could be New Orleans with a 12-4 record, or double the wins of the team with home field advantage.

Would it be the same if the Rams lose to the Chiefs and then win against Seattle? I think that would be more realistic.

[ Edited by theginz2004 on Dec 2, 2010 at 09:16:50 ]
Originally posted by theginz2004:
Originally posted by sspiker:
Enter in your picks for Week 13-17 and discover all the playoff scenarios:

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

Playing around with a bit, the most realistic playoff route for the 49ers is:

SF: L @ GB, W vs SEA, L @ SD, W @ STL, W vs ARI (finish 7-9, 5-1 division record)

SEA: W vs CAR, L @ SF, L vs ATL, L @ TB, W vs STL (7-9)

STL: W @ ARI, L @ NO, W vs KC, L vs SF, L @ STL (7-9)
For those playing the home game, note that we'd be 4-8 after playing GB and two games out after the Hawks and Rams play the two worst teams in the league, and still have a realistic shot at the playoffs.

Also, it is possible for either SF or Seattle to win the West and enter the playoffs at 6-10. A likely scenario would be playing against the #5 seed, which could be New Orleans with a 12-4 record, or double the wins of the team with home field advantage.

Would it be the same if the Rams lose to the Chiefs and then win against Seattle? I think that would be more realistic.

Hey it looks like the Rams beat themselves
Originally posted by 49AllTheTime:
Originally posted by theginz2004:
Originally posted by sspiker:
Enter in your picks for Week 13-17 and discover all the playoff scenarios:

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

Playing around with a bit, the most realistic playoff route for the 49ers is:

SF: L @ GB, W vs SEA, L @ SD, W @ STL, W vs ARI (finish 7-9, 5-1 division record)

SEA: W vs CAR, L @ SF, L vs ATL, L @ TB, W vs STL (7-9)

STL: W @ ARI, L @ NO, W vs KC, L vs SF, L @ STL (7-9)
For those playing the home game, note that we'd be 4-8 after playing GB and two games out after the Hawks and Rams play the two worst teams in the league, and still have a realistic shot at the playoffs.

Also, it is possible for either SF or Seattle to win the West and enter the playoffs at 6-10. A likely scenario would be playing against the #5 seed, which could be New Orleans with a 12-4 record, or double the wins of the team with home field advantage.

Would it be the same if the Rams lose to the Chiefs and then win against Seattle? I think that would be more realistic.

Hey it looks like the Rams beat themselves

It's possible - we've beaten ourselves a few times this season.
Wow, IT'S TRUE!!! If the niners go 3-2 (losing only to GB/SD but winning the division out 5-1), and if the Rams/Hawks lose to teams they're expected to lose to (Saints/Falcons), the 49ers win the division 7-9!

[ Edited by SnakePlissken on Dec 2, 2010 at 12:13:42 ]
  • Wodwo
  • Veteran
  • Posts: 8,476
Originally posted by SnakePlissken:
Wow, IT'S TRUE!!! If the niners go 3-1 (losing only to GB/SD but winning the division out 5-1), and if the Rams/Hawks lose to teams they're expected to lose to (Saints/Falcons), the 49ers win the division 7-9!

This whole thing just totally boggles the mind.

You'd think we'd have to improve on our 8-8 record to get into the playoffs, not get worse.
Originally posted by Wodwo:
Originally posted by SnakePlissken:
Wow, IT'S TRUE!!! If the niners go 3-2 (losing only to GB/SD but winning the division out 5-1), and if the Rams/Hawks lose to teams they're expected to lose to (Saints/Falcons), the 49ers win the division 7-9!

This whole thing just totally boggles the mind.

You'd think we'd have to improve on our 8-8 record to get into the playoffs, not get worse.

Yeah lol, this is what Gruden was b***hing about on MNF, that no team in the NFC West deserves to go the playoffs (if they cap a 7-9 record), and that a team like the Tampa Bay would deserve it more (out of resolve).
  • fryet
  • Veteran
  • Posts: 3,325
Assuming that a team with an 8-8 record doesn't win the division, the NFC West will become known as the worst division of all time. The NFC West will become the Detroit Lions of the NFL. I mean, just think about it. Considering that each team has 6 games intra-division, the odds of no team in the division making it to 8-8 is very low.
  • Wodwo
  • Veteran
  • Posts: 8,476
Originally posted by SnakePlissken:


Yeah lol, this is what Gruden was b***hing about on MNF, that no team in the NFC West deserves to go the playoffs (if they cap a 7-9 record), and that a team like the Tampa Bay would deserve it more (out of resolve).

Yeah... unfortunately, I agree with Gruden.

Well... except that I think it would show amazing resolve from our players to get there despite the coaching. Especially after losing Gore... you know Singletary isn't going to change the running style for Westbrook. - - - - Wow... as I wrote that, my head almost exploded.

Does this machine have a coaching incompetence factor?
Originally posted by fryet:
Assuming that a team with an 8-8 record doesn't win the division, the NFC West will become known as the worst division of all time. The NFC West will become the Detroit Lions of the NFL. I mean, just think about it. Considering that each team has 6 games intra-division, the odds of no team in the division making it to 8-8 is very low.

I live in DC it already is to all fans of teams not in the division.
Originally posted by fryet:
Assuming that a team with an 8-8 record doesn't win the division, the NFC West will become known as the worst division of all time. The NFC West will become the Detroit Lions of the NFL. I mean, just think about it. Considering that each team has 6 games intra-division, the odds of no team in the division making it to 8-8 is very low.

People have been calling our division the weakest in the league for years now. The funny thing is we have represented the NFC in the superbowl more than any other division in the conference in the past 10 years. I understand the teams are looking really weak right now, but my point is once you are in the playoffs it is a moot point.
Originally posted by fryet:
Assuming that a team with an 8-8 record doesn't win the division, the NFC West will become known as the worst division of all time. The NFC West will become the Detroit Lions of the NFL. I mean, just think about it. Considering that each team has 6 games intra-division, the odds of no team in the division making it to 8-8 is very low.

Although, I think the argument is a bit blown out of proportion (even though it holds great warrant). Realistically, the Rams will probably win 3 more games (as well as the division) for the 8-8.
HAHAHAHA
Originally posted by SnakePlissken:
Originally posted by fryet:
Assuming that a team with an 8-8 record doesn't win the division, the NFC West will become known as the worst division of all time. The NFC West will become the Detroit Lions of the NFL. I mean, just think about it. Considering that each team has 6 games intra-division, the odds of no team in the division making it to 8-8 is very low.

Although, I think the argument is a bit blown out of proportion (even though it holds great warrant). Realistically, the Rams will probably win 3 more games (as well as the division) for the 8-8.

I think the good news is that realistically we should be one of the Rams victories. So it's on us to make sure they don't get that 3rd win.
Originally posted by YouGotGored:
Originally posted by fryet:
Assuming that a team with an 8-8 record doesn't win the division, the NFC West will become known as the worst division of all time. The NFC West will become the Detroit Lions of the NFL. I mean, just think about it. Considering that each team has 6 games intra-division, the odds of no team in the division making it to 8-8 is very low.

People have been calling our division the weakest in the league for years now. The funny thing is we have represented the NFC in the superbowl more than any other division in the conference in the past 10 years. I understand the teams are looking really weak right now, but my point is once you are in the playoffs it is a moot point.

Agreed. I also think that those are the breaks. If a 7-9 Team gets into the playoffs so be it. I can remember missing the playoffs in 1991 as a 10-6 team. There wasn't a worse record in the playoffs that year but the point is 10-6 didn't get us in. The key is winning the division. NE missed in 08 with an 11-5 record while the 8-8 Chargers went in. That's just how it works. Say a 10-6 team misses with a 7-9 team in from the west then the spread is the same.
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