Originally posted by NinerGM:
So how did Paraag go from doing cap and contracts to screwing with Harbaugh and moneyballing the 49ers in one season? This logic has to be explained.
It hasn't been one season. You aren't following the bouncing ball. Marathe joined the 49ers in 2001 from Bain, which was hired to perform analytics on draft value by Bill Walsh. Marathe came up with a system that apparently impressed 49ers brass and he was hired as a result. He has, since 2001, steadily become more influential within the organization. Both he and the organization acknowledge that he is in charge of the salary cap and contract negotiations, and has been for some time. He apparently prefers metrics when it comes to drafting players - he has said that those metrics apply to how the 49ers evaluate and draft players.
In 2005, when Marathe was 28, he was appointed the assistant to the General Manager. John York publicly affirmed that he relied on Marathe in identifying and hiring Coach Nolan. His ascension within the organization closely paralleled Jed York's (then 23 years old) involvement with the team. Marathe was given authority at the time to hire non-scouts to essentially "scout" players using his statistical model.
http://www.sfgate.com/sports/article/WHO-IS-PARAAG-MARATHE-Numbers-added-up-to-2703495.php.
And in 2008 - the following article confirmed at least one source within the 49ers organization had reported that Marathe's influence extended to player selection and play calling:
http://www.sanfranciscosentinel.com/?p=17011
"Mike Holmgren was under consideration for the coaching job of the San Francisco 49ers in 2004, but a mathematical calculation by the owners' son and the team's number-cruncher killed any hopes of hiring Holmgren. The 49ers selected Mike Nolan instead—based on another set of mathematical calculations and data by the two young men. Using a statistical analysis devised by 49ers number-cruncher Paraag Marathe and business school graduate Jed York, son of owners John and Denise DeBartolo York, the pair determined that no head coach of a Super Bowl winning team had ever left that team and won a Super Bowl as the head coach of another National Football League franchise.
Jed York and Paraag Marathe's numbers-crunching analysis came after the team fired then Coach Dennis Erickson after his losing 2004 football season. Both Marathe and York the Younger presented their evidence that no Super Bowl winning coach had ever joined another team as head coach and won another Super Bowl with the new organization.
"Jed and Paraag devised an entire series of spread sheets that provided statistical outcomes of various coaching choices," according to a 49ers insider. "They had reams of papers to prove that Holmgren was a bad choice and that Nolan was a good choice based upon his record in Baltimore and history at the Giants, Jets and Redskins. This year Paraag and Jed continue to use a statistical analysis combined with game films to make choices about what plays to run and what players to draft or acquire."