The Year of 2020 and The Effects Felt in The 2021 Draft

HarbaughzDeep · 2020-12-27T14:38:20-08:00

I think everyone is over 2020 by now. It has been a terrible year by many standards. It has changed everyday lives and the sporting world all together. Looking forward to the 2021 NFL Draft, there are likely several key repercussions from all that this year has had to offer. The main one being how to evaluate prospects. In normal years you will have a full 12 game slate, in-person interviews, the scouting combine and pro days to evaluate potential prospects. I think you will see more value come from mid to later round draft picks this year. This should allow for more under the radar picks and gems. On the other hand, I think you will end up seeing more reaches/busts resulting in the lack of a "normal scouting" process. My question is what is the plan going into the 2021 Draft as a NFL GM and/or more specifically John Lynch? There are several ways I would approach the Draft due to many college teams playing as few as 6 games and many prospects having opted out before/during the season. If I were John Lynch, I would lean heavily on my scouting department and try to acquire as many picks between rounds 3-5. This seems to be the "sweet spot" for this regime over the years. Players like Warner, Kittle and Greenlaw have been found in this part of the draft. The 49ers currently have 9 picks in the 2021 Draft: 1st Rounder 2nd Rounder #3rd Rounder (compensation for Salah) 4th Rounder 5th Rounder *5th Rounder (from NO for Kwon Alexander) 6th Rounder 7th Rounder 7th Rounder (from NYJ in Jordan Willis trade) # Widely reported that Salah will land a HC job * It has been reported that Alexander has likely met playing time requirements to trigger a 2021 5th from NO ~There are possible compensation picks to be gained from Free Agent losses~ Plan A for me would be for Lynch to move back a handful of slots in the 1st Round to gain an extra 2nd or 3rd rounder (more likely a third). I think moving back to about 19-21 overall would allow for several options whether it be taking a CB/OL that they like or an EDGE rusher. Plan B for me would be for Lynch to stay at 13-15 and take a CB like Surtain or Farley and then trade back in the second round to pick up more mid rounders. I think Lynch and Shanahan can put the franchise in great shape for the future this offseason. The roster is already one of the best in football. Reliability and productivity from the QB position is by far the greatest need in my humble opinion. I think if you can couple the acquisition of a QB like Matthew Stafford with the above draft strategy, we will be set up for years to come. I look at it this way: We are in the NFC which has some teams with aging QB's who will be retiring very soon (Brees, Brady) and some that are towards the back end of their career (Ryan, Rodgers). You've also got several non-contending teams that are either rebuilding or are stuck with mediocre QB's. Realistically, the main competition going forward are the Seahawks, Rams, Cardinals, Packers. I think the 49ers roster is significantly better than every one of them.

Dec 27, 2020 at 2:44 PM

Heroism
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Posts: 26,269

I still haven't seen confirmation that the compensation picks rewarded for Saleh leaving will be given to us starting with this year. Compensation picks are usually awarded the following season, so if they handle these how they normally handle comp picks, we won't see the first one until the following offseason. But I haven't seen anyone confirm this.

Dec 27, 2020 at 2:48 PM

HarbaughzDeep
Member
Posts: 682

Originally posted by Heroism:
I still haven't seen confirmation that the compensation picks rewarded for Saleh leaving will be given to us starting with this year. Compensation picks are usually awarded the following season, so if they handle these how they normally handle comp picks, we won't see the first one until the following offseason. But I haven't seen anyone confirm this.

2021 and 2022 3rd's For Salah

Dec 27, 2020 at 2:50 PM

JaggedJ
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Posts: 5,607

I think teams may go a little more conservative going for more of a sure bet than reaching for a high ceiling low floor reward.

2021 will probably be more of a crapshoot than normal draft days, I definitely agree on that.

Dec 27, 2020 at 2:51 PM

Heroism
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Posts: 26,269

Originally posted by HarbaughzDeep:
2021 and 2022 3rd's For Salah

That's not a confirmation. We need an official league source. It would be nice if we start receiving them this offseason, but that's not how they normally handle comp picks.

[ Edited by Heroism on Dec 27, 2020 at 2:51 PM ]

Dec 27, 2020 at 2:59 PM

rathman4481
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Posts: 2,149

If we receive an extra 3rd rounder for saleh it is a game changer as far as building our roster IMO.

Dec 27, 2020 at 3:01 PM

jimrat
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Posts: 23,970

Originally posted by Heroism:
Originally posted by HarbaughzDeep:
2021 and 2022 3rd's For Salah

That's not a confirmation. We need an official league source. It would be nice if we start receiving them this offseason, but that's not how they normally handle comp picks.

Article on compensation

Dec 27, 2020 at 3:09 PM

Howlett49
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Posts: 2,568

Do we get a comp pick for losing Sanders?

Dec 27, 2020 at 3:55 PM

illinois9er
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Posts: 6,161

Originally posted by rathman4481:
If we receive an extra 3rd rounder for saleh it is a game changer as far as building our roster IMO.

It's actually two of them

Dec 27, 2020 at 3:57 PM

Howlett49
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Posts: 2,568

Originally posted by illinois9er:
Originally posted by rathman4481:
If we receive an extra 3rd rounder for saleh it is a game changer as far as building our roster IMO.

It's actually two of them

One each year though correct? For the next two drafts?

Dec 27, 2020 at 4:00 PM

#10

illinois9er
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Posts: 6,161

Originally posted by Howlett49:
Originally posted by illinois9er:
Originally posted by rathman4481:
If we receive an extra 3rd rounder for saleh it is a game changer as far as building our roster IMO.

It's actually two of them

One each year though correct? For the next two drafts?

Yep. Also Mayhew getting a GM job could result in more

Dec 27, 2020 at 5:12 PM

#11

rathman4481
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Posts: 2,149

Originally posted by illinois9er:
Originally posted by Howlett49:
Originally posted by illinois9er:
Originally posted by rathman4481:
If we receive an extra 3rd rounder for saleh it is a game changer as far as building our roster IMO.

It's actually two of them

One each year though correct? For the next two drafts?

Yep. Also Mayhew getting a GM job could result in more

That's almost not fair lol.

Dec 27, 2020 at 5:57 PM

#12

9moon
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Posts: 22,193

THEN MY DRAFT WILL LOOK LIKE THIS... (w/o trading Grappy)

1st - (26th spot after trading the 12th spot to Jagz) - Shaun Wade; CB - Ohio State
2nd (from Jags) - Quincy Roche; DE - Miami
2nd - Deonte Brown; RG - Tre Smith; OG - Tennessee
2nd (from Jags) - Hamsah Nasirildeen; FS - FSU
3rd (from Jags) - Chazz Surratt; LB - UNC
#3rd Rounder (compensation for Salah) - Liam Eichenberg; OT - Notre Dame
4th Rounder - Tommy Tremble; HB - Notre Dame
5th Rounder - Sam Ehlinger; QB - Texas
*5th Rounder (from NO for Kwon Alexander) - Deommodore Lenoir; CB - Oregon
6th Rounder - Sage Surratt; WR - Wake Forest
7th Rounder - Daelin Hayes; DE - Notre Dame
7th Rounder (from NYJ in Jordan Willis trade) - Quentin Lake; SS - UCLA