Analytical QB Metrics

Lobo49er · 2017-04-04T11:11:52-07:00

Thought it was an interesting read, if you're into this kind of stuff. Some of the results are surprising, to say the least. Anyone have some others they think are interesting? Post 'em. Part One: Somewhat explains his metric NFLIntroducing SEMTEX, a new way to look at college production Part Two: Applies it to 2017 QB draft class NFLWhich QBs in the 2017 NFL Draft are most likely to succeed? What the colors mean: (he explains this in more detail in the first link) Results:

Apr 4, 2017 at 11:24 AM

Heroism
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I have this inkling that Kyle is going to like Brad Kaaya a lot more than the webzone does lol.

Apr 4, 2017 at 11:34 AM

gold49digger
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Just gave away the Browns draft board

Apr 4, 2017 at 11:37 AM

Lobo49er
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Originally posted by Heroism:
I have this inkling that Kyle is going to like Brad Kaaya a lot more than the webzone does lol.

Kayaa and Peterman both have "weak" arms too.

Apr 4, 2017 at 11:38 AM

gold49digger
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Originally posted by Heroism:
I have this inkling that Kyle is going to like Brad Kaaya a lot more than the webzone does lol.

Same here. IMO i think he's like matt ryan. Good, not great arm. Smart football iq. the biggest red flag is playing under pressure.

Apr 4, 2017 at 11:40 AM

Lobo49er
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Here's a spreadsheet. Not sure where it comes from, but I find it amusing. Looks like he eliminates prospects outright based on velocity, hand size, and character concerns.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1_-SienfT3umX0HKxRyQqyXM9BqHrotdcQA6W-V_pDiY/htmlview?usp=drive_web&usp=sheets_home&ths=true&sle=true#

Apr 4, 2017 at 11:42 AM

SunDevilNiner79
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I'm very high on Jerrod Evans. Very raw player and the NFL may foolishly "punish" him for coming out too early.

But he might as well be called Cam Newton Jr., and for the low low price of a 4th rounder or something.

Apr 4, 2017 at 11:46 AM

NYniner85
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Posts: 119,002

Originally posted by Lobo49er:
Here's a spreadsheet. Not sure where it comes from, but I find it amusing. Looks like he eliminates prospects outright based on velocity, hand size, and character concerns.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1_-SienfT3umX0HKxRyQqyXM9BqHrotdcQA6W-V_pDiY/htmlview?usp=drive_web&usp=sheets_home&ths=true&sle=true#

This is interesting I like that Dak was crossed off because of velocity last yr

Apr 4, 2017 at 11:47 AM

Lobo49er
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Posts: 4,289

Originally posted by NYniner85:
This is interesting I like that Dak was crossed off because of velocity last yr

Yeah, lol, just eliminated from the board outright lol.

Looks like he only accepts 55 or faster.

[ Edited by Lobo49er on Apr 4, 2017 at 11:48 AM ]

Apr 4, 2017 at 11:53 AM

NYniner85
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Posts: 119,002

Originally posted by Lobo49er:

Originally posted by NYniner85:
This is interesting I like that Dak was crossed off because of velocity last yr

Yeah, lol, just eliminated from the board outright lol.

Looks like he only accepts 55 or faster.

Winston squeaked by at 55 lol

Apr 4, 2017 at 12:02 PM

#10

Lobo49er
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Posts: 4,289

Sparq scores:

https://3sigmaathlete.com/rankings/qb/

"Note that the "NFL%" and "z-score" columns refer to the NFL positional averages and not to the draft positional averages. This means that a 0.0 z-score and 50.0 percentile would represent a player who rates as a league-average NFL athlete at the position. The average NFL player is pretty athletic, so this designation is not at all a poor result."

Apr 4, 2017 at 12:07 PM

#11

NYniner85
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Posts: 119,002

Originally posted by Lobo49er:
Sparq scores:

https://3sigmaathlete.com/rankings/qb/

"Note that the "NFL%" and "z-score" columns refer to the NFL positional averages and not to the draft positional averages. This means that a 0.0 z-score and 50.0 percentile would represent a player who rates as a league-average NFL athlete at the position. The average NFL player is pretty athletic, so this designation is not at all a poor result."

You got this for other positions?

Apr 4, 2017 at 12:09 PM

#12

Lobo49er
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Posts: 4,289

Originally posted by NYniner85:
You got this for other positions?

Ya - just click the link, hit menu, and then you'll see the link for the Soloman Tho.....errr Edge rankings at the bottom.

https://3sigmaathlete.com/rankings/edge/

[ Edited by Lobo49er on Apr 4, 2017 at 12:12 PM ]

Apr 4, 2017 at 12:45 PM

#13

NYniner85
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Posts: 119,002

Originally posted by Lobo49er:
Originally posted by NYniner85:
You got this for other positions?

Ya - just click the link, hit menu, and then you'll see the link for the Soloman Tho.....errr Edge rankings at the bottom.

https://3sigmaathlete.com/rankings/edge/

I mean I wasn't gonna say anything about Solomon's crazy SPARQ score....

Got Thomas and Bowers as my first two picks in my last mock...just saying lol

[ Edited by NYniner85 on Apr 4, 2017 at 12:46 PM ]

Apr 4, 2017 at 1:00 PM

#14

Phoenix49ers
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Posts: 132,058

Originally posted by Heroism:
I have this inkling that Kyle is going to like Brad Kaaya a lot more than the webzone does lol.

That wouldnt surprise me either. He has a lot of good traits that you look for in a pocket passer, I just can't get over his stark performance dropoff when pressured.