blm7754's Revised Mock (Rounds 1-4 w/ Trades) | Page 2

blm7754 · 2013-03-25T12:24:24-07:00

Draft day is getting closer. Time for a revised mock. I've included realistic trades in this one, which I will explain. I also tried to focus on players that not only fill a position of need, but also possess traits/skills that we need from those positions. So here we go... Trades: Picks 1st (31), 3rd (94) and 5th (164) to the Colts for their 1st (24). The colts only have 5 draft picks and would love to get more. We need impact players and may need to leapfrog some other teams to get the right guys. Picks 2nd (34) and 6th (180) to the Giants for their 2nd (49) and 3rd (81). The Giants should be looking for impact defensive players and may want to trade up, while we would want to get back into the mid 3rd round after the first trade. Draft: 1st (24th overall): Jonathan Hankins DT 6'3" 320 With guys like Datone Jones and Sheldon Richardson now projected to be picked in the top 20, there aren't a lot of Justin Smith/Ray MacDonald clones to choose from. We could stay pat at 31 and get a guy like Jesse Williams, but his pass rush ability is not on the same level as Hankins, and we desperatly need improved pass rush from our interior DL. Hankins is young (21 years old) and a little bit raw. He will benefit from a professional strength and conditioning program. But he is already extremely powerful and plays the run and pass very well. He could start at NT from day 1, and rotate in to beef up our very undersized nickle DL. This guy has tons of upside and is worth trading up for. 2nd (49th overall): Da'Rick Rogers WR 6'3" 217 lbs I'll probably catch some flak for taking a guy like Rogers this early, but I don't care. If he didn't get booted out of Tennessee he'd be the first WR taken in this draft and probably a top 10 pick, hand's down. He is the most physically talented WR in this draft. In the NFL, character concerns only matter so much. When you are talking about a top 10 talent, I don't think he will fall to the 3rd round or even the end of the 2nd. Rogers is a good fit for us. We have a solid coaching staff and experienced vets. We need a physical receiver to line-up at split-end that can also stretch the field. Teach this kid how to be a professional and we'll have our own version of Julio Jones. Once Boldin leaves, we'll have Rogers, Crabtree, and Jenkins. That's sick no matter how you look at it. 2nd (61 overall): Vance McDonald TE 6'4" 267 lbs This guy is the perfect replacement for Delanie Walker. He's a polished route runner with good hands. Very athletic for his size. He's the 3rd rated TE in this class, but most boards have him listed in the 60s. Needs to develop as a blocker, but his receiving abilities are top notch. 3rd (74 overall): David Amerson CB/FS 6'1" 205 lbs We need better pass coverage from our safeties. Period. Outside of the top safety prospects that probably won't be available outside of round 1, the best option is probably a converted CB. Amerson could wind up being an outstanding safety. He'd be great competition with Trenton Robinson for the starting FS spot. 49er staff were on hand at his pro-day. I think there's a good chance this guy becomes a 49er. 3rd (81 overall): B.W. Webb CB 5'10" 184 lbs A quick, fluid, nickle corner-back to cover the slot for us. Carlos Rogers is very inconsistent and get's burned repeatedly in the slot. With Percy Harvin going to the Seahawkes, we need an answer. Webb is that guy. He's not someone that you'd ask to play on the outside against bigger WRs. But that's what Culliver and Amerson are for. Webb could be a great value pick if used this way. 4th (128 overall): JJ Wilcox SS 6'0" 213 lbs Wilcox is a project player. He is very athletic, but has only played safety for 1 year (converted WR). Could be groomed as a replacement for Whitner. 4th (comp): Jon Bostic ILB 6'1" 245 lbs Very productive player at Florida. He's great in run support but struggles in coverage. He's good at reading plays and using smarts to be in the right place to make a play. Could be a solid backup to Willis and Bowman while contributing on special teams. Thoughts? For reference, here's a link to my previous mock http://www.49erswebzone.com/forum/nfl-draft/171759-mock-draft-name-your-crush/search=draft%20crush

Mar 25, 2013 at 3:53 PM

#16

Ninerjohn
Veteran
Posts: 67,435

Originally posted by blm7754:

Originally posted by Ninerjohn:
Haralson has never been a great pass rusher and Fleming and Johnson are later rd limited players. Our secondary turned to s**t when we couldnt put on a pass rush. Just seems pretty darn logical to me that getting pass rushing OLBS is critical to a 3-4 defense.

Yeah, I agree we need better pass rush. But our starting OLBs are pretty damn good. I don't see how we can improve that position much. Sure, we could have better depth.... but I don't like the idea of using anything higher than a 3rd rounder on a backup.

Looking at our personnel and how we looked in 2011 and early 2012 I think the key to our pass rush is getting pressure from our DE's. McDonald isn't much of a pass rusher. Justin is a monster when he's in top form. But both of those guys are undersized to be battling double teams all day... especially against big passing teams.

To me, it seems a disruptive interior DL that can rotate in with Justin and McDonald would be the key ingredient.

Really? Because both of your 2nd rd picks in your mock would be backups. They would see the field but not as starters.

Mar 25, 2013 at 4:17 PM

#17

kronik
Veteran
Posts: 4,316

I wouldnt be angry but I think we're still missing a stud DE. Don't want to rely on vets.

Mar 25, 2013 at 7:27 PM

#18

blm7754
Veteran
Posts: 2,785

Originally posted by Ninerjohn:

Originally posted by blm7754:

Originally posted by Ninerjohn:
Haralson has never been a great pass rusher and Fleming and Johnson are later rd limited players. Our secondary turned to s**t when we couldnt put on a pass rush. Just seems pretty darn logical to me that getting pass rushing OLBS is critical to a 3-4 defense.

Yeah, I agree we need better pass rush. But our starting OLBs are pretty damn good. I don't see how we can improve that position much. Sure, we could have better depth.... but I don't like the idea of using anything higher than a 3rd rounder on a backup.

Looking at our personnel and how we looked in 2011 and early 2012 I think the key to our pass rush is getting pressure from our DE's. McDonald isn't much of a pass rusher. Justin is a monster when he's in top form. But both of those guys are undersized to be battling double teams all day... especially against big passing teams.

To me, it seems a disruptive interior DL that can rotate in with Justin and McDonald would be the key ingredient.

Really? Because both of your 2nd rd picks in your mock would be backups. They would see the field but not as starters.

I meant "permanent" backups. Rogers would start as soon as Boldin is gone, maybe sooner depending on how quickly he adapts to the NFL. Vance McDonald would never start as long as VD is here, but he'd fill Walker's role and get about 40-50% of the snaps.

As for an OLB, Brooks is signed through 2017. Aldon will get an extension too. Any OLB we draft probably won't play more than 20-30% of the defensive snaps for the life of his rookie contract. To me, that's not good value for a high draft pick.

That said, perhaps I will do more research on pass rushing specialists that may be available in rounds 3-5.

Mar 25, 2013 at 8:52 PM

#19

Travisty13
Veteran
Posts: 5,269

McDonald's receiving skills aren't "top notch". He actually has consistency problems catching the football.

Mar 26, 2013 at 10:05 AM

#20

CorvaNinerFan
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Posts: 10,448

Seems just about every mock with trades is advocating to trade up in the 1st rd...and I don't think that's the best use of Baalke's 14 picks. No reason to trade away his first two picks...he can get a top DL, S, or TE. The target area to trade into is between picks 20-70 (2nd and part of 3rd rd)...I think you could reasonably extend that window toward the end of the 3rd rd. TB has plenty of picks to get a couple more from that pool. That'd give him 7 picks in the 1st 3 rds...if he can come away with 7 blue-chippers, that's a job very well done. No reason to worry about the rest of his picks, if he'd have any left. If he did, then just draft for PS competition.

Mar 26, 2013 at 11:45 AM

#21

blm7754
Veteran
Posts: 2,785

Originally posted by CorvaNinerFan:
Seems just about every mock with trades is advocating to trade up in the 1st rd...and I don't think that's the best use of Baalke's 14 picks. No reason to trade away his first two picks...he can get a top DL, S, or TE. The target area to trade into is between picks 20-70 (2nd and part of 3rd rd)...I think you could reasonably extend that window toward the end of the 3rd rd. TB has plenty of picks to get a couple more from that pool. That'd give him 7 picks in the 1st 3 rds...if he can come away with 7 blue-chippers, that's a job very well done. No reason to worry about the rest of his picks, if he'd have any left. If he did, then just draft for PS competition.

I agree that a lot of the talent in this draft will be found in the 2nd round. Plenty of good DBs and WRs in round 2. However, DL is an exception. Because of a lack of top end talent at QB, WR, and RB (positions that usually fill a lot of top 15 picks) the top DL guys will go earlier than usual.

DL that can play in a 3-4 and be disruptive in the passing game:

Shariff Floyd
Star Lotulelli
Sheldon Richardson
Datone Jones
Jonathan Hankins

All of these guys will probably be gone by 31 and it is a huge area of need for us. So I think we need to trade up in the 1st.