49ers vs. Commanders Tickets Available! →

There are 523 users in the forums

Big 12 Breaking up??

If this happens, I hope it has a positive effect on the rest of the Pac-10 and raises their level.

I think this move will be great for hoops... for football it could go either way. (Competitively speaking of course, financially it'll be great for the conference no matter what.)
Actually it sounds like the Texas legislature is pulling a power play ala 94 and forcing Baylor into the deal, thereby excluding Colorado.

So the new Pac 10/Big 12 South will look as follows:

Southwest Division:
UT
ATM
TT
Baylor
OU
Okie Lite
ASU
Zona

Pacific Division:
USC
UCLA
Cal
Stanford
Oregon
OSU
Huskies
WSU



Nebraska and Mizzou to the Big 10 (potentially).


This leave Iowa State/KU/KSU and Colorado on the outs and potentially picked up by the MWC?

So Maybe the MWC adds Boise State to get to 10, then those four school for a 14 team conference?

Isht's getting weird in College Football...
  • crzy
  • Hall of Fame
  • Posts: 40,285
The Pac-10 right now is GARBAGE when it comes to football and basketball

The Pac-10 is good at all the other sports that are irrelevant, however.


The Pac-10 NEEDS the Texas schools in order to compete with the biggest conferences.
is this only for football? or will it change for all the other sports as well
  • crzy
  • Hall of Fame
  • Posts: 40,285
Originally posted by valrod33:
is this only for football? or will it change for all the other sports as well

everythng
Blunt - Boise State nor BYU would EVER be added to the Pac 10.
Hell they could be located in Santa Barbara and they wouldn't be added.

Boise State is a glorified community college with a great football team. There is no market there whatsoever. I think it's the 112th TV market in the country. And their academics are no where near PAC 10 caliber. Heck they are barely WAC caliber. Plus their facilities (although improving) are anemic compared to PAC schools.

BYU is, well Mormon. Sorry to say this. But there is NO WAY IN HELL Stanford/Cal/UCLA would ever share a Conference with an ultra conservative, religious based (Religion classes are REQUIRED core curriculum) private institution.

Utah is a potential player in all this though. A dark horse I guess I would say.
Originally posted by crzy:
Originally posted by valrod33:
is this only for football? or will it change for all the other sports as well

everythng

What the hell is gonna happen to my Jayhawks?
Originally posted by crzy:
The Pac-10 right now is GARBAGE when it comes to football and basketball

The Pac-10 is good at all the other sports that are irrelevant, however.


The Pac-10 NEEDS the Texas schools in order to compete with the biggest conferences.

crzy - This has NOTHING to do with athletics, believe it or not.

This is about television sets and the contracts that come with them.

Look at the markets that this new Conference will cover, and then ask yourself how superior Football and Basketball schools are getting left out.

Seattle/Portland/Bay Area/So Cal/Phoenix/all of Texas and Oklahoma.

If they manage to toss in Denver they would control an AMAZING number of TV sets and could write their own ticket in terms of a TV deal. Networks would be creaming their pants and offering up HUGE dollars to get that deal. Texas could still have their own network, which they have been coveting since ND got their deal with NBC.

They all win.
Originally posted by valrod33:
Originally posted by crzy:
Originally posted by valrod33:
is this only for football? or will it change for all the other sports as well

everythng

What the hell is gonna happen to my Jayhawks?

KU is screwed and here's why...

Already there are a lot of reports that the Kansas legislature is saying that KU/KSU are a package deal, and KU ain't going anywhere without the Wildcats.

Potentially, alone, the Jayhawks are a VERY attractive school, especially for the Big East or ACC who are both going to get raided if this PAC/Big 12 South merger goes through.

The Big 10 will add Nebraska and Mizzou, plus some combo of Rutgers/Syracuse/BC/Pitt or some other northerneastern, high population center.
The SEC will have to react and will do so (probably) by adding Miami/Florida State/Clemson/Georgia Tech(?), so the ACC will be looking for someone.

They will probably take Big East teams, but would definitely cast an eye to KU, but no way will they want to add KSU, who brings NOTHING to the table except an empty plate.

KU could potentially talk the MWC into adding both schools. But if that falls though they could be looking at CUSA.
Originally posted by RogueStout:
Originally posted by valrod33:
Originally posted by crzy:
Originally posted by valrod33:
is this only for football? or will it change for all the other sports as well

everythng

What the hell is gonna happen to my Jayhawks?

KU is screwed and here's why...

Already there are a lot of reports that the Kansas legislature is saying that KU/KSU are a package deal, and KU ain't going anywhere without the Wildcats.

Potentially, alone, the Jayhawks are a VERY attractive school, especially for the Big East or ACC who are both going to get raided if this PAC/Big 12 South merger goes through.

The Big 10 will add Nebraska and Mizzou, plus some combo of Rutgers/Syracuse/BC/Pitt or some other northerneastern, high population center.
The SEC will have to react and will do so (probably) by adding Miami/Florida State/Clemson/Georgia Tech(?), so the ACC will be looking for someone.

They will probably take Big East teams, but would definitely cast an eye to KU, but no way will they want to add KSU, who brings NOTHING to the table except an empty plate.

KU could potentially talk the MWC into adding both schools. But if that falls though they could be looking at CUSA.




If they were to move to the MWC it wouldnt be all that bad for me as a fan cuz that would mean they would come play New Mexico and i could go and watch

[ Edited by valrod33 on Jun 7, 2010 at 08:15:11 ]
  • crzy
  • Hall of Fame
  • Posts: 40,285
Originally posted by RogueStout:
Originally posted by crzy:
The Pac-10 right now is GARBAGE when it comes to football and basketball

The Pac-10 is good at all the other sports that are irrelevant, however.


The Pac-10 NEEDS the Texas schools in order to compete with the biggest conferences.

crzy - This has NOTHING to do with athletics, believe it or not.

This is about television sets and the contracts that come with them.

Look at the markets that this new Conference will cover, and then ask yourself how superior Football and Basketball schools are getting left out.

Seattle/Portland/Bay Area/So Cal/Phoenix/all of Texas and Oklahoma.

If they manage to toss in Denver they would control an AMAZING number of TV sets and could write their own ticket in terms of a TV deal. Networks would be creaming their pants and offering up HUGE dollars to get that deal. Texas could still have their own network, which they have been coveting since ND got their deal with NBC.

They all win.


Yeah, you make good points.
Originally posted by dobophile:
This probably could have been avoided if the North hadn't sucked for so long.

But maybe not. The financial upside here is hard to resist.

I've been following this for months, and what is happening now is so crazy.

This has all been orchestrated by the Big 10 and PAC 10, and they have played EVERYONE in College Football like fiddles.

They even talked the Big 12 into writing their own death sentence (I am sure they had Texas' full blessing and help in doing this).

Check out this article that outlines how the Big 12 backed up the Big 10 and PAC 10 is preventing the 16 team playoff that would have added MILLIONS of dollars into the Big 12 schools pockets and kept all this from happening. This is unbelievable!

http://rivals.yahoo.com/ncaa/football/news?slug=dw-expansion060610

Quote:


Big 12 commissioner Dan Beebe all but killed his own conference on April 30, 2008.

That’s when he decided to team up with the Big Ten and Pac-10 to reject a four-team playoff being pushed by the SEC and ACC. If the Big 12 (and/or the Big East) had supported it, the so-called “Plus One” model likely would’ve happened.

Even that modest playoff would have meant hundreds of millions of additional revenue for college athletics. It would have then allowed for easy expansion for an even more lucrative 16-team postseason. That would have solved all the monetary concerns that have left the Big 12 on the verge of collapse at the hands of its one-time allies, the Big Ten and Pac-10.
More From Dan Wetzel


Big 12 commissioner Dan Beebe listens to questions from reporters following his conference's meetings on Friday in Kansas City, Mo.
(AP Photo)

Big Ten commissioner Jim Delany admitted to Congress a 16-team playoff could gross four times what the current Bowl Championship Series does – in other words about $900 million annually.

He opposed it anyway. Beebe and the others never seemed to ask why. They’re finding out now.

Conference expansion is about to forever alter college athletics: destroying traditions, hammering taxpayers and increasing competition. It will leave once-major programs out of the loop, consolidate power and extend the gap between haves and have nots – even within leagues such as the Big Ten.

No one is in a more desperate spot than the Big 12, which this week could see as many as eight league members receive invites to leave.

It’s all because of money. And when it comes to money in college athletics it all comes back to one thing – the leaking oil disaster that is the BCS.

There are two major revenue streams left in college sports – football television contracts and a football postseason. (The men’s basketball tournament is essentially maxed out.)
Larry Scott

It’s clear now that Delany used opposition to a football playoff not to preserve some bit of “tradition.” His expansion plans clearly indicate he cares nothing about that. It certainly wasn’t done for the sake of aiding Big Ten football, since a playoff with on-campus home games likely would’ve helped his teams.

The goal was to starve out the Big 12, Big East and even the ACC of the hundreds of millions a playoff would’ve given them and thus turn the future of college sports into a battle of television sets.

Delany couldn’t assure that the Big Ten would’ve done well in a football playoff. Maybe the league would’ve succeeded, maybe not. With 26 percent of the nation’s population, tradition rich clubs and its own cable network though, the Big Ten will always dominate if everything boils down to TV revenue.

It was a genius, cutthroat throat play. He set the terms of the game so he’d win. The Pac-10, led by aggressive new commissioner Larry Scott, is taking advantage also. I’m not blaming Delany here. I may not believe a 16-team Big Ten (or Pac-10) is in the best interest of the league’s current members (or the NCAA as a whole), but it’s not that big of a deal to me. Whatever happens, happens. Besides, it’s not Delany’s fault he’s smarter than the other guys.

Am I being too hard on Beebe? Not even close. He’s been played like a fiddle. In April, while Delany was assuring the other commissioners his league wouldn’t contact schools about expansion without informing them first, Beebe offered this bit of naïvete.

“I expect that Jim, who I have known for many, many years and trust implicitly, [will] do what he said he’s going to do,” Beebe said. “If and when the time comes that they’re going to do anything – and if that includes any of the institutions in the Big 12 – he’ll let me know first.”
Gordon Gee

This week the Columbus Dispatch printed emails between Delany and Ohio State president Gordon Gee that detailed Gee reaching out to the University of Texas to broach interest about the Big Ten.

So much for Mr. “Trust Implicitly.”

Why Beebe and Big East commissioner Mike Tranghese ever felt safe with Delany is a mystery. The guy is an assassin. He’s always been public about his desire to do whatever he feels is best for the Big Ten (or at least his “legacy”).

Rather than helping him block the Plus One, they should’ve been explaining to their presidents that a full playoff was imperative to survival.

And let’s forget the ridiculous notion that the presidents are vehemently opposed to a playoff. The presidents will do whatever their commissioner says. It’s always been that case and the expansion chaos proves it. Ohio State’s Gee has been an anti-playoff guy in part because of “missed class time,” even if none would be missed under a playoff that takes place during semester break.

Yet now he’s in favor of adding Texas to the Big Ten, meaning he’ll ship all of his athletes all the way to Austin which would cause … missed class time for hundreds of students.

It’s all a pile of garbage. Here’s guessing the schools that could be left behind – which could include Kansas, Kansas State, Baylor, Iowa State, Colorado, Louisville, West Virginia, South Florida and so on – will soon be furious they weren’t told the truth about what they were really opposing. The Plus One wasn’t a postseason plan, it was a lifeline.

Those presidents deserve their own blame, of course. They should’ve learned the truth about the BCS and recognized the need to find revenue outside of just television deals. They should’ve been building their own alliance for a richer and more equitable postseason.

In 2008, the smaller leagues and Notre Dame would’ve almost assuredly gone along. The ACC and SEC were clearly open to discussion. If a 16-team playoff wasn’t possible, at the very least the Plus One was. It’d be a different ballgame right now if just that was in place.

Instead the leagues blindly followed along with a revenue model that has left them susceptible to destruction.

This isn’t the time to deal with all the issues surrounding the BCS or explain how a 16-team playoff works (on the field or in the checkbook). I’ve covered it extensively in the past and helped write a book on the subject – “Death to the BCS,” due out in October. Sorry for the shameless plug, but when I say it takes an entire book to show all the scams and lies that really power the system, I mean it.

Just know this, the BCS offers not a single, real world, tangible benefit to college athletics. Its only defense is that it’s better than the old system, which isn’t saying much.

Financially is where it performs most poorly. The current bowl system/BCS generated $220 million in gross revenue in 2008-09 and just $140 million in profit due to the high cost of keeping most bowl games afloat. If this sounds good, it isn’t.
Big Ten commissioner Jim Delany talks with the media during a May news conference.

Delany estimates a playoff could gross $880 million. The more conservative, yet exhaustively researched estimate we used in the book comes in at around $780 million. In each case profits would exceed $700 million, meaning the BCS is costing college athletics over half a billion in annual profit.

Delany was one of the people instrumental in hiring public relations flaks Ari Fleischer and Bill Hancock to spread factually bankrupt propaganda about the system in an effort to create the illusion of a debate – hey, maybe the BCS works! Please. It doesn’t. The current chaos is just the latest proof. The real purpose of the PR campaign was merely to buy time for the Big Ten Network to get fully operational.

The BCS has killed everyone financially. It’s killed them to the point only a dozen or so schools break even each year on athletics. Most athletic departments need student fees or taxpayer funded general university budgets to cover expenses (nearly $900 million combined in 2008-09 according to USA Today).

That includes even Big Ten schools such as Illinois ($4.5 million), Wisconsin ($3.4 million) and Minnesota ($3.4 million). Even a powerhouse such as Ohio State needed to raise ticket prices this year to balance future books.

All while that pile of playoff money sat there, untapped.

Protecting the BCS wasn’t about greed. It wasn’t about determining a real champion. It was about power. Now the Pac-10 and Big Ten have it.

The 16-team playoff was the only route to save the Big 12, Big East and likely the ACC as its now constructed. Under our detailed plan (essentially the NCAA’s model for lower divisions), every time a team plays a game it would receive a share of revenue, in this case $25 million.

Consider the 2008-09 season where Big 12 members Oklahoma, Texas and Texas Tech all would’ve been selected. If the seeds held, those clubs would’ve combined to play nine playoff games meaning the league would’ve walked with $225 million in revenue. The conference then could’ve written each league school an $18.75 million check just from the playoff. That year the Big Ten would’ve earned just three shares for $75 million, a per team share of $6.8 million.

If that’s happening, do you think Missouri and Nebraska still want out? You think the Big Ten’s TV revenue advantage still matters?

This all goes back to the cost of inaction, the penalty for not dealing with the sport’s most pressing problem.

There should be no reason for these leagues to expand (other than the Big Ten adding one team).

Sixteen-team leagues won’t make life better for anyone. They’ll likely prove to be logistical and philosophical wars. The commissioners have sold the public on the idea that more money is always a good thing – using the fail-proof, if unproven, “it’s good for recruiting” line. Here’s the thing, if all your rivals build a new weight room, then recruits aren’t impressed with a new weight room.

It won’t be better for fans or players or even, in many regards, coaches, who will face greater demands for success. More money only means something to the small group of people (athletic directors, commissioners, coaches) who will see their already huge salaries grow, will be able to charter more private planes and will continue to justify remodeling their already opulent “facilities.”

If you’re a powerhouse in your league, why would you want to change anything? It isn’t getting better for Texas and Oklahoma than the current Big 12, where the two programs have reached five of the last seven BCS title games.

If you’re in the middle of the pack, why would you add more competition in recruiting and a watered-down schedule? If you’re Minnesota or Northwestern and trying to sell tickets, do you want more Rutgers home games and less Ohio State? Or to deal with Nebraska recruiting the Twin Cities or Chicagoland?

It’s almost assuredly too late for the Big 12 and the Big East to make the bold moves that could save them.
Marinatto

They could try though. If Beebe and current Big East commissioner John Marinatto want to display real leadership, they can tell their current members to sit tight and allow them to build a consensus for a real football postseason that will solve all their revenue problems. They need to stand up and declare Armageddon is here and it’s time to get serious. The other leagues and Notre Dame would be all for it. The SEC and ACC would be smart to approve simply as a defense against Big Ten and Pac-10 aggression. Or in the ACC’s case, the inevitable SEC pillaging of its teams.

Go ahead and dare the Big Ten and Pac-10 to not come along. See how long Gordon Gee lasts as Ohio State president when he tells Buckeye fans they will no longer be competing for the national title. In the meantime, send your recruiters to Cleveland and Detroit.

A 16-team playoff could be up and running by 2014 – which would immediately change all the revenue models.

Then Beebe could show that teams such as Nebraska and Texas could make more money while enjoying a clearer road to that thrilling postseason by staying home. He would be able to offer a future that’s brighter than the one offered by the Big Ten or Pac-10.

At the end of the day this has always been about the BCS and billions in revenue it has cost cash-starved college athletics.

Jim Delany just didn’t tell his peers. And they weren’t smart enough to figure it out themselves.
I'd cry if CU gets left out of the Pac 10. It would be an all time low for me, I mean we already suck, then this
just saw on the ESPN bottom line as BREAKING NEWS that the MWC commissioner said they're not expanding right now
  • TX9R
  • Veteran
  • Posts: 8,352
Nebraska is the domino and has 10 days to commit to staying put. If they bolt, and I think they will due to their inferiority complex with Texas, the Big12 is done. Nebraska is the only team in the north with any real tradition, with them gone the north becomes as meaningful as Conference USA, which is likely where half it's teams will end up if/ when this happens. If Texas is able to bully Colorado out of the picture for Baylor, and history shows Texas usually comes out on top in these situations, then this is a done deal. Good article here:
http://texas.rivals.com/content.asp?CID=1091537

I thought this was ridiculous when I first heard it, but now I would say it's 75% going to happen.
Open Menu Search Share 49ersWebzone