Originally posted by miked1978:
I did a little deep dive into draft value since 2017 and came away a little surprised. I'm not defending Lynch by any means bc i thought this draft class sucked but getting a ton of value from a draft isn't a blueprint to win a lot of games. the draft truly is a crapshoot and rather you reach or get great draft value, most of these guys are not going to work out.
Since 2017 the teams with the most reaches:
SF - 26
SEA -25
LV - 24
JAX - 24
DET - 21
NE - 21
GB - 20
WAS - 19
MIN - 19
LAR - 19
vs the teams with the least amount of reaches
Buf - 9
NYJ - 10
CAR - 10
PHI - 11
DEN - 12
BAL - 12
CIN - 12
Mia - 13
Ten - 13
Ari - 13
There are good teams on both ends of the spectrum. IMO there are more complete teams (SF, SEA, Det, GB, LAR) in the teams that reach vs the teams that reach the least but i don't think it has anything to do with draft value. I guess my point is it doesn't seem like the end of the world to be a team that reaches a lot because you certainly aren't winning a lot if you reach the least.
__PRESENT
Basically, the reach stuff is overblown. I don't care if they reach compared to the consensus, just draft good players. If the players they're drafting aren't succeeding, then it's important they self-evaluate to figure out why each of those players ultimately haven't worked out.
I don't think it would be good for them to ever disregard the opinions of their scouts, coaches, and personnel guys just because their opinion on a player doesn't match the consensus.
[ Edited by 49ersRing on Apr 28, 2026 at 12:53 PM ]