Originally posted by RTFirefly:My fallback position on all this is that I do all this by hand, as I've done for years for fun. That way, if I screw up, I always have an excuse ready. LOL
Originally posted by mayo49:K, got it. At present, we have a big tiebreak lead on them. In calculating SOS, I've used all 16 opponents for all teams (many online calcs only use SOS to date which is silly), so there shouldn't be a big change in the last four weeks. It is possible though.
Originally posted by RTFirefly:
Originally posted by mayo49:I'm starting with the assumption that we're going to lose to the Falcons and Seahawks. So that makes us 3-13 at the most. The Rams have 4 wins. The only teams I'm concerned with are the Browns (0-12 but we're leading the tiebreak by a whole bunch), the Jags (2-10 but again big TB lead), and the Bears (3-13 but they have slight TB lead).
Originally posted by RTFirefly:
In my post above I should have written that losing to the Jets nearly assures us of #2 at worst. Yes, I'm assuming we lose to the Falcons and Seahawks. Wouldn't you?
The Rams game is also very winnable. So, the Rams and us could end up with the same record, but I think we'd have the SOS advantage.
Natch beating the Falcs or the 'Hawks blows all this out of the water.
I'm sorry, I should have said we and the JAX could end up with the same record. Like you said, the Rams have 4 wins.
Currently, our season opponents are +6
Browns +19
Jax +16
Bears +5
Trust me, I don't mind corrections to these hasty recalculations. It's early yet and I haven't had my coffee.
[ Edited by RTFirefly on Dec 7, 2016 at 6:41 AM ]