They're 13-3 and average 34 points a game while only giving up 21 points a game. Drew Brees is averaging 342 yards per game this season. Looks impressive, but let's go inside those numbers a little bit.
Home vs. Away
At home, the Saints are monsters. In their eight home games, they average a whopping 41 points a game, while their opponents only manage 18! (good luck with that Detroit). Surprisingly, Brees is averaging 328 yards in his home games, 14 yards less than his season average. I guess they're getting such big leads early in the game that he doesn't need to throw it late. The Saints are 8-0 at home.
On the road, it's a bit of a different story. Where they're ONLY averaging 27 points a game BUT their opponents are averaging 24.5. That's only a +2.5 differential compared to the +23 advantage they have at home. Brees is averaging a sick 356.5 yards per game in their away games, where the Saints have sustained all three of their losses this year.
Turf/ Dome vs. Outdoors
I was going to split this out with their Dome games vs. Outdoor turf games vs. Outdoor grass - but the only turf games they played this year came in a dome (no visits to the Giants, Bills, Pats, etc.).
Their dome game averages don't differ too much from their home averages. Their ppg drops to 38 and their opponents average about 20 (still good for a nasty +18). Brees in a dome throws for around 330 a game. Again not too different from their home games
Now, they've only played five TRUE road games, or games outside: Green Bay (opening night), Jacksonville, Carolina, Tampa and Tennessee. It's important to note: the weather conditions in all of these games were superb. I think the Tampa game might have had a little rain, but nothing too bad. Also the competition here isn't exactly elite either: only one playoff team in the bunch. In these outdoor road games is where they start to suffer. They're averaging 25.8 ppg and their opponents are at 24.4 - the closest differential so far at +1.4. Brees is averaging 370 yards, but they're 3-2 in these games.
Sure, they still have to annilhate the Lions next weekend before this is totally relevant. But just based on the numbers (before we even get to the part where we have a great defense and etc.) we should have a decent shot against these guys in SF.
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Inside the Saints Offensive Stats/ Schedule
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Jan 1, 2012 at 6:22 PM
- Chrs0049
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Jan 1, 2012 at 6:24 PM
- Schulzy
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Nice work, do you have access to other stats like Brees' TD to INT ratio, completion percentage, and yards per attempt for these splits?
Jan 1, 2012 at 6:27 PM
- Gore_21
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Thanks for the stats... oh and I am sure the Colts 62-3 win really flaws some of those stats at home but I totally hear you. I'm not saying we couldn't win at NO but it would be pretty tough and we have such a better shot at home. I'm a little nervous because they have experience in the playoffs where we have Akers, Justin Smith, Carlos, Goodwin and not too much else for playoff experience. I think the crowd will help settle nerves... we always play better on those prime time games but maybe we should retire a jersey to really get the crowd amped. We are whole different team in prime time at home... it brings the best out of our crowd too. Key is don't come out flat like we did many times this year including the Rams. Have to get 7 and not 3 early.
P.S. Hopefully we win the coin toss and send the defense and the crowd after them early. I'm thinking let the offense's nerves settle but that could backfire if someone gives up a long td. Still we are kind of ahead of ourselves.
P.S. Hopefully we win the coin toss and send the defense and the crowd after them early. I'm thinking let the offense's nerves settle but that could backfire if someone gives up a long td. Still we are kind of ahead of ourselves.
[ Edited by Gore_21 on Jan 1, 2012 at 6:44 PM ]
Jan 1, 2012 at 6:38 PM
- Chrs0049
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Originally posted by Schulzy:
Nice work, do you have access to other stats like Brees' TD to INT ratio, completion percentage, and yards per attempt for these splits?
I wish I did - I was looking for TDs/ INTs in particular, but I couldn't find it without digging into each game box score.
Jan 1, 2012 at 6:41 PM
- tohara3
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That game with the Lions should be a shootout.
Jan 1, 2012 at 6:42 PM
- ninerfan4life
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Lions 38
Saints 35
Saints 35
Jan 1, 2012 at 6:42 PM
- cwilson830
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Originally posted by tohara3:That game with the Lions should be a shootout.
Over/under is 58.5.
Jan 1, 2012 at 6:49 PM
- Bille
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Originally posted by Chrs0049:
I wish I did - I was looking for TDs/ INTs in particular, but I couldn't find it without digging into each game box score.
If you look under Drew brees' situational stats you can find it:
http://www.nfl.com/player/drewbrees/2504775/situationalstats
On home games he has 29 tds 6 ints and a Quarterback rating of 122.4
On road games he has 17 tds 8 ints and a rating of 100.7
Although it doesn't have the dome stats versus outdoor stats, it does have grass vs. turf.
on grass he has 9 tds 6 ints and a rating of 95.7
on turf he has 37 tds 8 int and a rating of 118.7
Jan 1, 2012 at 6:51 PM
- AXEGRINDER
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Originally posted by cwilson830:Originally posted by tohara3:That game with the Lions should be a shootout.
Over/under is 58.5.
I bet there will be 100+ pass attempts in that game. One dimensional city.
Jan 1, 2012 at 7:06 PM
- AllTimeGreat
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We WILL stop Drew Brees.
[ Edited by AllTimeGreat on Jan 1, 2012 at 7:06 PM ]
Jan 7, 2012 at 8:10 PM
- Chrs0049
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figured this was worth a bump after they rolled up 600 yards of offense tonight
Jan 7, 2012 at 8:19 PM
- sean610
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Originally posted by Chrs0049:
figured this was worth a bump after they rolled up 600 yards of offense tonight
Not scared the Lions dont have near the talent we do on D. Alot of the saints points came off bone head plays by the lions. Example leaving Graham uncovered when he was out wide on a goaline play. who the hell does that? With Bowman and Willis over the middle and the ability of our front four to get pressure there will be plenty of help for the secondary. Add in giving JH and his staff two weeks to gameplan not worried at all F*CK the saints.
Jan 7, 2012 at 8:30 PM
- letitroll
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I love how the Lions kept dropping the balls that could've been easily interceptions. Carlos Rogers, Terrell Brown and Chris Culliver could've caught those. I still question the Saints' O-Line if they will be tough against the 49ers 3 DLine men. I'm still not buying this Saints offense against the 49ers defense especially on the road. Here is the reason why:
SF 49ers at home
PPG: 27.75
PA: 10.87
TO Ratio: +19
New Orleans Saints on the road
PPG: 27.25
PA: 24.5
TO Ratio: -7
SF 49ers at home
PPG: 27.75
PA: 10.87
TO Ratio: +19
New Orleans Saints on the road
PPG: 27.25
PA: 24.5
TO Ratio: -7
Jan 7, 2012 at 8:34 PM
- 49ersalldaway126
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Originally posted by letitroll:
I love how the Lions kept dropping the balls that could've been easily interceptions. Carlos Rogers, Terrell Brown and Chris Culliver could've caught those. I still question the Saints' O-Line if they will be tough against the 49ers 3 DLine men. I'm still not buying this Saints offense against the 49ers defense especially on the road. Here is the reason why:
SF 49ers at home
PPG: 27.75
PA: 10.87
TO Ratio: +19
New Orleans Saints on the road
PPG: 27.25
PA: 24.5
TO Ratio: -7
good post
also add on grass NO red zone conversion is 22%
49ers only give red zone 'td 25% of time
Jan 7, 2012 at 8:40 PM
- Fitness49
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- Posts: 75
Great post..thank you
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