49ers miss playoffs? Chances 0.2 percent

jreff22 · 2011-11-01T12:11:07-07:00

The weekly 2012 NFL Playoff Predictor breaks down all the percentages for Insider subscribers. I've broken out the NFC West info. No surprise here. The San Francisco 49ers have a 99.8 percent chance at qualifying for the playoffs, up 4.7 points from last week. The 49ers' percentage is highest in the NFL, higher even than the percentage for the 7-0 Green Bay Packers. The model projects a 12-4 record for San Francisco (sorry, Merril Hoge). The 49ers can thank the NFC West for that. The rest of the division is pretty much playing for draft position unless the 49ers suddenly collapse. Thanks to Nik Bonaddio and Keith Goldner for doing the math. 2011 Playoff Probabilities Team NFC Rank Probability 49ers 2 99.8% Seahawks 14 1.2% Cardinals 15 0.2% Rams 16 0.1%

Nov 1, 2011 at 12:11 PM

jreff22
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per Sando

http://espn.go.com/blog/nfcwest/post/_/id/50230/49ers-miss-playoffs-chances-0-2-percent

Nov 1, 2011 at 12:12 PM

susweel
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We got the Playoffs on

Nov 1, 2011 at 12:12 PM

HessianDud
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but it will never happen unless we are afraid of the Redskins

Nov 1, 2011 at 12:13 PM

Joecool
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Nov 1, 2011 at 12:14 PM

DJD
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Seattle won the division with 7 wins last season, It may not even take that many this year the way the other 3 teams are playing. With 6 already in the books, the 99.8% seems pretty spot on.

Nov 1, 2011 at 1:07 PM

Prospector
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You would think at least one of those other NFC West teams could get their act together and make an effort at getting to .500, it's kind of embarassing.

Nov 1, 2011 at 1:14 PM

49ersfansince90
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Lets just think about sunday vs Washington and think about playoff probabilities in December when they're relevent

Nov 1, 2011 at 3:09 PM

Joecool
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If we clinch as early as possibly, it would be boss.

What's even better is all Harbaugh will be hearing about is that we clinched because our division sucked. Fuel to the fire!

Nov 1, 2011 at 3:12 PM

English
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Rams 0.1%. That high?

Nov 27, 2011 at 5:21 PM

#10

global_nomad
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A win on Sunday and we clinch. Or a (Seahawks vs. Eagles) and (Cards vs. Cowgirls) loss!

Nov 27, 2011 at 5:31 PM

#11

Bryant4everYoung
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Originally posted by English:
Rams 0.1%. That high?

Those do look a bit inflated.

Nov 28, 2011 at 12:31 PM

#12

andes14
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The only way we don't win the division is literally if we lose out and Seattle wins out (magic # is 1). And even then we'd still have a chance at a wild card.

Nov 28, 2011 at 12:33 PM

#13

Amir
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Yeah, no effin way we miss the playoffs. We'll clinch it on sunday.

Nov 28, 2011 at 12:51 PM

#14

MadDog49er
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It is all about playoff preparation now. There are really only a handful of teams that we will probably play in the first round. So, it is time to prep up for those contests.