Eagles V. Niners spread

We have their playbook (Brian Westbrook).

Vick most likely not playing + McCoy questionable + On the road



Also don't forget that the spread is what the odds makers lay to make people bet, and not necessarily an accurate prediction of the outcome.

Originally posted by StOnEy333:
Vick most likely not playing + McCoy questionable + On the road



Also don't forget that the spread is what the odds makers lay to make people bet, and not necessarily an accurate prediction of the outcome.

Exactly, they put a number out there that they predict will make half the people bet on the favorite and half on the underdog, then they will move the line to keep the money balanced on both sides.

Originally posted by StOnEy333:
Vick most likely not playing + McCoy questionable + On the road



Also don't forget that the spread is what the odds makers lay to make people bet, and not necessarily an accurate prediction of the outcome.

Your right, in fact I bet there will be a lot of money on the Eagles. The Niners might actually pull this one off.

Originally posted by BobS:

Exactly, they put a number out there that they predict will make half the people bet on the favorite and half on the underdog, then they will move the line to keep the money balanced on both sides.

Bingo! That is why, despite all my bad habits, gambling isn't one of them--they set and move the line. If you're going to take chances, you might as well do it against a stationary target.

Originally posted by StOnEy333:
Vick most likely not playing + McCoy questionable + On the road

This plus people outside niner talk probably realize the niners still have the capacity to be a good team and that starting 0-5 is extremely difficult to do even for them and will be desperate for a win, more than the eagles.

it's just numbers, but besides that. the niners are damn good at home and no matter how much we crsuh them on the zone, they're bound to dig themselves out of the hole sooner or later. we're just fans being fans (disgruntled)

vegas doesn't see it that way. they will make money on the vig (vigorish) - the percent bettors have to lay just to make a bet (juice). they know niners could win this.

fans/common people will laugh at that line and think the oddsmakers made a mistake. vegas knows we will think that we got over by getting +3 1/2 with eagles (THEY WANT US TO THINK WE GOT OVER). before gameday (maybe even tommorrow) the line will start to shift slightly and before you know it, it will be more like -3 or -2 1/2.

i won't be surprised if it goes down to -2 or -1 1/2 in some casinos in vegas/reno or online casinos.

the smart money will come in on niners once the spread drops lower towards -2. the wise guys know that the public is oing to slobber all over the eagles +3 1/2. and vegas just wants money coming from both sides so they get the (juice money).

niners are going to punk this team. if the money floods on eagles, bet the house on niners - refs will fix that game in a heart beat. vegas hates to lose!

if i'm a ref and found an empty box by my locker/car with a note that said "hi, i saw you last tuesday with your 3 1/2 yr old daughter and lovely wife, eating ice cream at carnivals... you seem like a happy family.......... make sure niners cover!!!"

you bet i'm throwing laundry on eagles all day!


PS: i've been wrong all my life, so go figure

http://smftalk.com/1_NFCWEST.html

Originally posted by B650:
We have their playbook (Brian Westbrook).

Vick is out, Mc Coy and A Samuel could be also.

A. Samuel is out, too bad we didn't really have a #1 WR for him to cover anyways.