Looks like > 50% probablility of an owner-lockout in 2011. That means a high likelihood of no 2011 season at all, or a truncated, less than 16-game season.
The truncated season thing has happened before during the Bill Walsh era. It was a messed-up NFL season, where the Niners did not do well.
McCloughan's job is still to acquire talent, but I sense a change in his FA strategy. He never before had much interest in FA's over the age of 28. This year, due to the expiration of the CBA, most all of the younger players are RFA's, which are undesirable due to draft pick compensation required.
So, Scotty is looking at FA in the 30-32 age group this year, who can be readily jettisoned (reducing the club's expense) if there is a lock-out. Look for Paraag to keep the contract terms short, so that club ownership can minimize cost during a lock-out.
A lock-out would mess with OTA's, as well as TC, not just the season itself. Already, for he 2010 season, we see tendered RFA's sitting on their tender (not signing), which means they won't be at OTA's or TC, until they do sign.
Niner fans would do well to pay attention to the NFL labor situation, although nothing of substance is likely to happen until about March 1, 2011, almost a year away. Just recognize that the club's front office is positioning itself right now for that likely lock-out.
All FA activity (and inactivity) needs to be viewed in this potential lock-out context.
And don't believe that sanity will prevail, because both ownership and labor stand to lose too much in a work stoppage. Ownership passionately wants fundamental change in their labor expense situation and labor cannot afford to look like they caved-in to ownership.
I don't want to see a work stoppage (and the associated loss or reduction of the 2011 season), but it's looking more and more inevitable.
So, a good question might be, "If you don't believe that your club can win it all in 2010, what is the best strategy to win in 2012 (not 2011)"?
[ Edited by jimbagg on Mar 15, 2010 at 11:53 AM ]