Risk vs Reward Mock

Since07 · 2015-04-19T13:20:18-07:00

Formula: Scheme BPA Risk vs Reward 1st ~ Todd Gurley HB Georgia Age: 20 6'1 222lbs 40: 4.45 Bench Press: 17 Scheme: Power Run Picking Hyde in the 2nd round last year, even though already having more backs than we could utilize. Shows we will draft BPA. Do not be surprised if we choose Gurley in the 1st after losing Gore. Note: Out of 575 attempts Gurley had fumbled only 3 times and scored 42 times. 62% of his yards came after contact. 2nd ~ Chris Conley WR Georgia Age: 22 6'2 213lbs Arms: 34" Hands 10" Scheme: Run/Gun Combine Results: 40: 4.35 Bench Press: 18 Vertical: 45" Broad Jump: 139" Conley had been damned with a weak armed QB whom threw over 200 yards only once in 2014!! Georgia also featuring two headed rushing attack Keith Marshall and Todd Gurley didn't help either. Not only did they rarely throw deep but also failed to utilize Conley's 45" vertical. 3rd ~ Ifo Ekpre-olomu DB Oregon Age: 21 5'9 192lbs 40: 4.42 Bench Press: 15 Scheme: 3-4 / Man to Man Not to underestimate his size, Ifo is a strong, aggressive, man to man, press corner who has experience in both the outside and the slot. Note: Special teams gunner 4th ~ Jeremiah Poutasi OG Utah Age: 20 6'5 335lbs Scheme: Power Run Combine Results: Arms: 34" Hands: 10" Bench Press: 26 Vertical: 26.5 Broad Jump: 95" With 27 quarterback hits/sacks allowed in 2013 to just 9.5 in 2014. Poutasi shows outstanding development at age 20 with size and strength, being rare at his age. Note: Can play across the OL; played LT at Utah 4th ~ Kwon Alexander OLB LSU Age: 20 6'1 223lbs Arms: 30" Hands: 9" 40: 4.55 Bench Press: 24 Vertical: 36" Broad Jump: 121 Strengths: Alexander has side line to side line acceleration that chases with a high motor and determination. Weaving around blockers with agility. A natural pass rusher and an immediate ST impact. Weaknesses: Plays up right with a lack of next level strength. Field awareness is critical, sometimes losing track of the ball. Lacks improve in coverage when left alone. Note: Rumor has it, that Baalke likes this 20 yr old kid and wants to convert him from 4-3 OLB to 3-4 ILB./ Described as, not out spoken but a high character and raises moral in the locker room http://www.patriots.com/video/2015/01/01/2015-draft-prospects-kwon-alexander-lb-lsu 5th ~ Ellis McCarthy DT/OL UCLA Age: 20 6'5 338lbs Scheme: 3-4 Run Stuffer / Big Mauler Combine Results Arm Length: 34 Hands: 10" 40 Yard Dash: 5.21 Seconds Bench Press: 24 Reps Vertical Jump: 32.0 Inches Broad Jump: 109.0 Inches 3 Cone Drill: 8.16 Seconds 20 Yard Shuttle: 5.07 Seconds Strengths: A 20 year old with rare size. He has thick lower body and is rarely manhandled by a single block. Has the potential to play several positions along a DL. Has strength to leverage his gap and take on double team blocks. Improved hand usage from 2013 to 2014. Flashes ability to collapse pocket as bull rusher. Weaknesses: Will let pad level rise and doesn't consistently fire into blockers as expected. Lacks agility, very limited play radius, one dimensional. Slow-twitch player lacking a high motor in his play. Struggled with fluctuating weight which ballooned up to 350 pounds at one point. Has had surgery on both knees including one for a torn meniscus. Note: Was the #1 DT recruit coming out of high school in 2012 http://www.patriots.com/video/2015/01/01/2015-draft-prospects-ellis-mccarthy-dt-ucla 6th ~ James Vaughters LB Standford Age: 21 6'2 258lbs Scheme: 3-4 Run Stuffer Great strength and hands with a motor, lacks acceleration, stiff, not playing at his length Note: Expected to play 3-4 ILB in NFL 7th ~ Terry Williams NT ECU Age: 23 6'1 336lbs Scheme: 3-4 NT Described as a moving wall. His stamina, acceleration, motor, and condition were all huge knocks on Terry but showed up at the combine 20 Lbs lighter than his original 353 Lb mass which he played at in the vids. 7th ~ Terrance Magee HB LSU Age: 23 5'9 193lbs Scheme: Power Run Doesn't have many weaknesses and doesn't have much strengths. A well rounded down the field head first runner.

Apr 19, 2015 at 1:38 PM

mayo49
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Not another ACL patient.

[ Edited by mayo49 on Apr 19, 2015 at 1:44 PM ]

Apr 19, 2015 at 1:57 PM

TheRickestRick
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Some zoner would hang himself if Baalke picks an injured player in the 1st lol Way too high for a RB in todays NFL and an injured one at that especially with the depth at the position. I'd be down for Ifo though.

Apr 19, 2015 at 1:58 PM

HarboutTHAT
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ewww... This one looks really bad

Apr 19, 2015 at 2:10 PM

Andra
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where did you here the rumor about Baalke wanting to convert Kwon Alexander to a ILB, I never heard that.

Apr 19, 2015 at 2:16 PM

Since07
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I understand why some would disagree about drafting injured players but in reality it's likely.

At least check out the vid on Vaughters I was excited about the find!

Apr 19, 2015 at 2:18 PM

Since07
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Originally posted by Andra:
where did you here the rumor about Baalke wanting to convert Kwon Alexander to a ILB, I never heard that.

I like to keep my sources, the same one said we were targeting OBJ last yr.

Apr 19, 2015 at 2:53 PM

LasVegasWally
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Doubt Trent goes another ACL reclamation project w/#1 pick

REALLY like Conley

Apr 19, 2015 at 4:46 PM

CorvaNinerFan
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I think we'll see Baalke considerably less likely to draft players this year, then red-shirt them. Or pick many (if any) players coming off fairly serious injuries that might limit their potential to contribute much their rookie season. I think that's particularly true of his 1st rounder. He just doesn't have the luxury of all those vets he had in the past. So, I think his primary focus will be restocking a considerable amount of quality depth, maybe even a picking a couple of starters.

While I agree he'll draft a RB (or is likely to), I don't see that in the 1st rd. I'd think DL, CB, pass rusher, or even OL is more likely. I also think he's apt to trade down if he gets the right offer. He's used to double-digit picks and by trading down in the 1st, he'd have 10.

Conley in the 2nd rd seems like a stretch...I think he's more likely to go in the 3rd rd. I get his speed, size & vertical reach...they're impressive. But his receiving numbers aren't, really. I get GA's a run-first team, but even so, in the NFL it's about production. I see Baalke more likely to pick a Devin Smith, Stephon Diggs, Vince Mayle or Tre McBride. He could surprise us all and gamble on DGB, but I'm not expecting that. Taking a WR in the 3rd rd or so seems "Baalke-esque". In 2nd rd, it wouldn't surprise me to see him pick TE Clive Walford. He's one of the best playmaking TE's in the country and with Vernon entering his contract season, it'd make a lot of sense. ILB is another possibility...and there it'd be Stephone Anthony.

Olomu could happen...but he's another guy coming off a severe knee injury. I'm thinking Baalke would look for a bigger CB...to handle the big WR's in the NFC West. Maybe someone like Alex Carter, for example.

Poutasi has potential...most likely at OG in the NFL. What I don't see is an OT who can play that position in the pros...say a Donovan Smith. Even though they signed Pears, he's not a long-term swing OT solution.

McCarthy's had weight-control issues, which indicates a lack of discipline. I'd think Baalke would draft a DL much higher than the 5th rd, considering even if Justin Smith plays in 2015, he'll likely have the fewest snaps since becoming a Niner. I'm hoping he goes DL in the 1st and takes either Eddie Goldman or Malcolm Brown.

Similarly, I expect Baalke to draft an ILB well before the 6th rd.

Apr 19, 2015 at 5:15 PM

Since07
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Corva9erFan ~

Thanks for the great feed back; Yea I knew having DL so low would bring questions. I don't think Justin is retiring at this point being so close to the draft and baalke already said if he does, it won't affect the draft.

I'm not real big on the 3-4 DL class this yr and I see McCarthy having high potential at a low risk. Yea he's had weight issues I think he did that on purpose to gain an advantage at the college level. Guy is still only a kid at 20 he hasn't even grown into his strength.

I also have my ILB at round 4

Apr 19, 2015 at 5:20 PM

#10

NYniner85
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Originally posted by Since07:
Originally posted by Andra:
where did you here the rumor about Baalke wanting to convert Kwon Alexander to a ILB, I never heard that.

I like to keep my sources, the same one said we were targeting OBJ last yr.

Lol

rotoworld stated this the other day

Apr 19, 2015 at 5:24 PM

#11

NYniner85
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What makes you think Conley is worth a 2nd round pick? Yes please sign me up for a RB coming off a ACL. This is a awful draft sorry man...

Apr 19, 2015 at 6:02 PM

#12

Since07
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Originally posted by NYniner85:
What makes you think Conley is worth a 2nd round pick? Yes please sign me up for a RB coming off a ACL. This is a awful draft sorry man...

What makes DGB a 1st to a 2nd?? His size? Conley is 6'2 with a 45 vertical. Conley has a higher ceiling than DGB without the baggage.

I don't have much of an argument for Gurleys ACL but that's the only argument against him. I look at him and it makes sense; Baalke isn't afraid of ACLs, picks BPA, and he'd fit like a glove.

[ Edited by Since07 on Apr 19, 2015 at 6:10 PM ]

Apr 19, 2015 at 6:38 PM

#13

theninermaniac
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I can dig it. Gurley to the Niners would be a shocker, but not necessarily a bad move. He had a pedestrian line at Georgia, and still was highly productive.

Conley is not all that different than Breshad Perriman. Crazy speed/size combo with underwhelming production. 2nd round might be a bit early, but if you believe in his game, then why not?

The CB from Oregon is a nice grab too. Might end up being the best corner in draft. You just have to take a leap of faith on the medical.

The rest is good too. And I love me some Terry Williams in the 7th. Driving the bandwagon on him.

Apr 19, 2015 at 7:11 PM

#14

Eli_23
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Sorry that's unrealistic TBPH IMHO