There's no scenario in which trading wide receiver Deebo Samuel results in a "perfect" outcome for the San Francisco 49ers. Any trade before June 1 would trigger a significant salary cap hit, making it far more cost-effective to keep the disgruntled receiver for the final year of his contract.
However, general manager John Lynch recently confirmed that the 49ers intend to honor Samuel's trade request, which was made during January exit interviews.
"We're on good terms with Deebo," Lynch said at the NFL Scouting Combine in Indianapolis. "He's asked for a fresh start, and I think we're going to honor that. I don't like seeing great players [leave], and he is a great player. He's, I think, often, one of my favorite draft picks in my time."
Beyond the financial complications, Samuel's trade value has declined in recent years. His stock peaked in 2021 when he amassed 1,770 scrimmage yards and 14 total touchdowns, looking like one of the NFL's most dynamic playmakers. However, he has failed to approach that production since. In 2024, aside from an injury-limited 2020 campaign, he recorded a career-low 806 scrimmage yards and just four total touchdowns.
Given his recent decline, teams have little incentive to surrender significant draft capital for him. ESPN analyst Ben Solak suggests the 49ers would be lucky to receive anything more than a couple of Day 3 picks or a late Day 2 selection in a trade.
Would that be worth absorbing a cap hit of over $30 million? Probably not. That's why teams may be willing to wait, knowing the 49ers are more likely to release Samuel, which would reduce the cap hit to a still substantial but more manageable $10.8 million in 2025.
If the 49ers are determined to trade Samuel, even at a significant cost, Solak proposes what he believes to be the "perfect trade outcome"—a deal with the Washington Commanders.
- Commanders get: Samuel
- 49ers get: 2026 fourth-round pick, 2027 fifth-round pick (can become a fourth-rounder if Samuel is on the team in the 2026 season)
"I really like the Chiefs as a landing spot, but the money probably won't work there," Solak explained. "The Commanders make the most sense of the cap-rich teams, as Samuel could fill a useful role in their screen and RPO games, working his way into the backfield in Kliff Kingsbury's more creative offensive sets.
"The Commanders also see a good deal of zone coverage because of the danger Jayden Daniels presents as a runner. That plays into Samuel's strengths."
Of course, holding onto Samuel beyond June 1 might prove to be the smarter play. While some teams will bolster their receiver corps through free agency and the draft, others could unexpectedly find themselves needing a playmaker and more willing to make a move.
"The best outcome for the 49ers is that a team becomes suddenly desperate for receiver help during training camp; this also keeps Samuel on his existing deal, which is richer than one he would sign in free agency," Solak noted.
Solak ultimately expects the 49ers to wait until after June 1 to trade Samuel. This would allow them to recoup some 2026 draft capital while minimizing the financial burden of moving on from the wideout.
