Originally posted by NCommand:
They're up against the cap because of wasted cap money they continue to pump into oft-injured players.
Restructuring a player like Aaron Donald is a smart move because you can 100% count on him.
Acquiring, retaining and extending injury ward players like Verrett, Ward, Ford, Tartt, etc. and the countless others they spent high capital on (high draft picks, traded picks and cap $) and have received next to nothing in quality play or snaps is large.
Nobody is willing to look in to that objectively. Nobody is willing to look in to how much every transaction costs vs. snap counts. ROI.
We're up against the cap annually because they continue to make poor moves (McGlinchey's 5th year option) and then use that as an excuse not to make competitive moves like their competition.
It's the backbone of their player acquisition philosophy.
Let's start with the restructuring part, the Rams were close to $25M over the cap back when the new league year began, they had to let 3 good defenders leave, Samson Ebukam, John Johnson, & Troy Hill, the only way they were able to afford OBJ & Von were because CLE ate $4.25M for OBJ & DEN ate $9M for Von, plus OBJ is likely $1M-$1.5M at most.
You're acting like the Rams are some savvy team, they HAD to redo Ramsey, Donald, & others to just get under the cap, let's look at other teams, NO, PHI, KC, they were all over the 2021 cap.
Restructuring deals will only push money down the road, which is something no franchise should do, as it could very likely backfire, if the Rams don't win it all, this will look like a complete failure.
The reason they got under, was, redoing so many deals, that's how KC got Thuney, that's how LAR kept Floyd, but also because they did what the 49ers did, low year 1 cap numbers, Floyd $5.5M in 2021, $20M in 2022, Thuney $4.5M in 2021, $17.8M in 2022.
Let's look at what 2022 looks like right now cap wise for some teams, according to OTC, they're currently using carryover, so I did some calculations of my own to show where they are without carryover, as that's subject to change, plus OTC, per the owner, doesn't change it week to week.
Dolphins - $69,194,211
Jaguars - $63,368,561
Broncos - $60,276,180
Chargers - $51,273,175
Bengals - $43,322,223
Colts - $42,935,084
Jets - $42,749,533
Washington - $41,782,297
Raiders - $34,698,243
Seahawks - $32,072,965
Bears - $28,804,382
Steelers - $28,663,829
Lions - $24,578,543
Patriots - $19,312,711
Buccaneers - $17,451,535
Ravens - $17,038,535
Texans - $16,632,503
Panthers - $15,911,157
Browns - $15,426,972
Chiefs - $11,336,544
Cardinals - $10,404,452
Titans - $8,372,364
Bills - $2,270,292
Eagles - $1,695,955
Falcons - ($2,301,397)
Rams - ($2,894,362)
49ers - ($4,223,322)
Giants - ($5,033,643)
Vikings - ($13,668,598)
Cowboys - ($22,373,722)
Packers - ($56,492,656)
Saints - ($65,444,887)
Each team has a good amount of FAs to re-sign or let go of.
Rams:
EDGE Von Miller
WR Odell Beckham Jr.
LT Joseph Noteboom
C Brian Allen
RG Austin Corbett
CB Darious Williams
Chiefs:
S Tyrann Mathieu
DT Jarran Reed
EDGE Melvin Ingram
CB Charvarius Ward
RT Mike Remmers
CB Mike Hughes
S Daniel Sorensen
WR Byron Pringle
RB Darrel Williams
WR Demarcus Robinson
EDGE Alex Okaford
DT Derrick Nnadi
LT Orlando Brown
Bucs:
WR Chris Godwin
EDGE Jason Pierre-Paul
C Ryan Jensen
DT Ndamukong Suh
TE Rob Gronkowski
DT William Gholston
RB Leomnard Fournette
WR Antonio Brown
TE O.J. Howard
RB Ronald Jones II
CB Richard Sherman
RG Alex Cappa
Packers:
WR Davante Adams
CB Kevin King
TE Robert Tonyan
CB Chandon Sullivan
LB De'Vondre Campbell
LG Lucas Patrick
CB Rasul Douglas
Cardinals:
EDGE Chandler Jones
TE Zach Ertz
WR A.J. Green
TE Maxx Williams
RB James Conner
WR Christian Kirk
LG Max Garcia
Now current cap room as of today from OTC.
Jaguars - $27,520,435
Eagles - $21,215,783
Broncos - $14,735,169
Seahawks - $13,254,171
Washington - $10,949,862
Chargers - $10,308,789
Steelers - $10,163,841
Bengals - $8,863,846
Browns - $7,608,072
Texans - $5,268,056
Panthers - $5,048,635
Packers - $4,615,534
Patriots - $4,585,059
Jets - $4,328,237
Cowboys - $4,304,497
Vikings - $4,033,770
Giants - $3,804,880
Titans - $3,588,693
Bears - $3,464,216
Buccaneers - $3,309,895
Chiefs - $3,283,041
49ers - $3,253,428
Bills - $3,199,448
Raiders - $2,966,766
Colts - $2,442,978
Lions - $2,173,545
Falcons - $1,775,975
Rams - $1,602,788
Saints - $983,285
Ravens - $711,047
Dolphins - $615,584
Cardinals - ($79,820)
As you can see, the reason why, as I've been saying, that almost every team is up against the cap is due to the GOD DAMN PANDEMIC, cap went down $15.7M, factor in the fact that if it had went to $215M, that would have been an $16.8M jump, so in a sense, all 32 teams lost $32.5M in cap room.
Let's talk the whole salary cap issues with the 49ers, it's NOT because of signing oft-injured players, it's because, and I wish people would see this, it's thanks to god damn pandemic, the cap in 2020 was $198.2M, it went down $15.7M to $182.5M, it should have been $215M this year, then $225M-$230M in 2022, now it's likely to be $208.2M, this all due to the pandemic, not because of wasting money on injured players.
You applauded the 49ers in the offseason when they were able to retain Trent Williams, Juice, Verrett(You liked him), Jones, K'Waun, get Mack, you may not have liked Ebukam, I can't remember, and extended Warner, then you were happy when we drafted an IOL in rd 2, and 2 CBs, you also liked the Trey Lance pick.
Most of, if not all of the fanbase were pumped for this season, were all behind John & Kyle, except those who have hated them since day 1 for no reason.
Also we never extended any of those players you listed except Ward, who has played very well, and had a bad break with the quad injury.
With Ford, we HAD to redo him in 2020 & 2021 just to be able to sign our players back, remember when everyone was on eggshells not sure if Trent would re-sign, but he did, then Mack signed, and everyone is pumped, that doesn't happen if Ford, & Richburg don't redo their deals, as for Richburg, he had 1 bad year due to injuries in NY, he played all of 2018, 2019 was a bad break, you can't tell me that he could have prevented his knee getting bent the way it did by 300lb defenders, and be ok.
As for Tartt, he signed for the league minimum for christ sake.
Verrett, you were happy with, got a low 1yr deal worth $3.5M, the team is gonna get credited back over $700K from his per game roster bonus.
Now, I'm not acting like Kyle & John are perfect, or that they're Bill Walsh, cause no one is Bill Walsh, but even Walsh had the occasional bad signings, and picks.
As for your "all in" thing with the 49ers, when they did that, either the cap wasn't a thing, or they were doing under the table deals that eventually got them in trouble, and why Eddie had to sell the team, thus we were in cap hell, WHY? Because we had to keep redoing deals, now Paraag has gotten us out of cap hell.
The whole going all in, and mortgaging the future on a Von Miller, who's 30+, injury prone, or a Stephon Gilmore, 30+ injury prone who wants $15M a yr, or OBJ, or like with Julio in the offseason would have required redoing a ton of deals, losing cap room in 2022, which would have been a monumental mistake.
The teams who like to spend spend spend in the offseason, end up winning nothing but the offseason, ask the Jags, Giants, Jets, Eagles, and countless other teams how that ended up, making splashy moves to help improve the team, only for it not too.
McGlinchey wise, at the time, I was ok with it, I thought he'd have a bounce back year, I was wrong, in retrospect, they never should have done it.
Believe whatever you want, but this regime, isn't anywhere near as bad as previous, or other teams regimes are, as for the draft, the team has gotten quality players to build with, Kittle, Warner, Bosa 3yrs in a row, All-Pro's, add in Deebo, DJ Jones, Dre Greenlaw, Mitch Wishnowsky(One of the best Punter's in the NFL), Brandon Aiyuk, Charlie Woerner, Jauan Jennings.
Yes they had their blunders, Solomon Thomas was a bad pick, but he was projected to go as high as #2 in 2017, Foster was the right pick at the time, he ended up being a dumbass off the field, we shouldn't have taken him, except we were lied to by Nick Saban. Witherspoon, Beathard, Williams were all bad picks, I don't call Trent Taylor bad, as he played well his first 2 yrs here, Pita & Colbert were 7th rd picks, the round you take a chance on a guy you may not be able to sign as a UDFA.
2018, I'm standing by McGlinchey as the right pick at the time, Trent Brown didn't fit the scheme, he kept coming in overweight, he wasn't agile enough, or mobile enough to be here long term, and he's played only like 17 games since then, also injury prone. Pettis, I loved, but bad pick, Moore looked good till this yrs achilles injury, I still think he can come back next year, and be the future at FS. The jury is out on Street, he's been ok this year, in retrospect, we got a 1st rd talent in rd 4, but, he's finally seeing the field. As for guys like DJ Reed, big mistake waiving him last year, but we tried to get him to NFI, then there's Marcell Harris, who's not a bad player at all, especially for the 6th rd. James was ok, when he got chances.
2019, Hurd, complete bad pick, no doubt about it, he had a great game vs Dallas in the 2019 preseason, 2 TDs, but got hurt, you have to give credit to the 49ers for sticking behind him, he didn't hurt the cap, they tried to get him healthy, but it never happened. Kaden Smith was a great pick, until we were forced to cut him to sign Jeff Wilson off the PS after Coleman went down, if in 2019, we had the 2020 IR rules, we may have never lost Smith. the 6th rd picks like Skule, & Harris, sure Harris was a bad pick, Skule could come back and win the Swing T spot for 2022 if Jaylon Moore ends up at LG, RG, or RT.
2020 wise, it's too early really, but I still think Kinlaw can come back, now I hated, and I mean HATED the Buckner trade, but the fact is, the cap was going down in 2021, they chose Ward, AA, 13th pick(Kinlaw), plus got Aiyuk, who can be a superstar, I believe he & Deebo are the future at WR for us. I like McKivitz, he should have made it over Compton, let's hope he can show he's worth a spot in 2022, as for Woerner & Jennings, both look promising.
2021 wise, again too early, but from what I've seen, Trey looks really good, Sermon as well, Kyle needs to play him more, Lenoir, Hufanga, Moore, & Mitchell all look promising, let's wait to see how Banks & Ambry do once given opportunities, before we act like they're busts.
We've also found some good UDFAs, Mullens, Breida, Wilson, Bourne, Dwelley, Flannigan-Fowles, Moseley, and the kid I like a lot Darrion Daniels.
Lastly, the hit rate to be a successful GM is between 30%-35%, and the FACT is, the draft is a crapshoot, and, most of the draft picks don't make it to year 3 of their rookie deals, let alone a 2nd contract.
But ok, go ahead, and act like every pick has to be an all pro, cause that's what you and others sound like, we need 53 GREAT players, man, I really am debating leaving this place for good, it's toxic, too many trolls, not like it was in 2005 when I joined, and we were BAD.