Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports

Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports


San Francisco 49ers at Washington Redskins odds and pick - Week 7, 2019

Oct 15, 2019 at 3:48 PM0


The San Francisco 49ers once again made an opponent appear completely inept on its own field, this time by squashing the defending NFC and NFC West champion Los Angeles Rams by the score of 20-7 at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum in Week 6. Will there be any let up as the Niners now face one of the easiest stretches of their season starting with the Washington Redskins on Sunday? Here we discuss the odds and analysis from a betting perspective.

When: Sunday October 20th, 2019 at 10:00am PT (FOX)
Where: FedEx Field, Landover, Maryland
Line: 49ers -9.5, o/u 42

Washington Redskins
The Washington Redskins got their first win of the season, beating the lowly Miami Dolphins 17-16 in Week 6, though they were a Dolphins' missed two-point conversion away from losing the game to the worst team in the NFL. What can you say about the Redskins? They might have one of the worst owners in the NFL, fired their coach after five weeks and are a dumpster fire of an organization.

After six weeks, Washington ranks 30th in Football Outsiders' total DAVE rating at -24.6 percent (represents a combination of preseason projection and performance so far), 30th with a total DVOA of -28.7 percent, 31st in offensive DAVE at -19.2 percent, 30th in offensive DVOA at -22.6 percent, 28th in defensive DAVE at 6.4 percent and 24th in defensive DVOA at 8.1 percent. The Redskins' offense ranks 28th with 286.5 yards per game, 30th with 15.0 points per game, 26th with 205 passing yards per game and 25th with 81.5 rushing yards per game. Washington's defense is 25th in giving up 385 yards per game, 28th in yielding 27.8 points per game, 20th with 251 passing yards conceded per game and 28th in allowing 134.0 rushing yards per game.

The Redskins' offensive line is ranked 22nd in run blocking and 22nd in pass protection. Washington's defensive line ranks 24th in adjusted line yards and 24th in adjusted sack rate. Case Keenum ranks 19th with a DYAR of 94 and 22nd with a total QBR of 43.5. The Redskins have an ESPN Football Power Index (FPI) score of -8.3 and are 1-5 ATS and 3-3 to the over/under so far this season, with their last three games finishing under the posted total.

San Francisco 49ers
The San Francisco 49ers went on the road and used suffocating defense to successfully expose Jared Goff as impotent without a dynamic running game and essentially dethroned and set the Los Angeles Rams back to their Jeff Fisher-coached, 8-8 days.

Through six weeks, San Francisco is ranked 2nd in total DAVE at 24.1 percent, 2nd with a total DVOA of 44.3 percent, 15th in offensive DAVE at 1.6 percent, 12th with an offensive DVOA of 5.5 percent, 2nd in defensive DAVE at -24.2 percent and 2nd in defensive DVOA with -41.6 percent. The 49ers' offense is 4th with 408.0 yards per game, 3rd with 29.4 points per game, 22nd with 228.2 passing yards per game and 2nd with 179.8 rushing yards per game. San Francisco's defense is 2nd in allowing 237.4 yards per game, 2nd by conceding 12.8 points per game, 1st in giving up 150.2 passing yards per game and 6th in yielding 87.2 rushing yards per game.

The Niners' offensive line is ranked 2nd in run blocking and 3rd in pass protection. San Francisco's defensive line is 9th in adjusted line yards and 9th in adjusted sack rate. Jimmy Garoppolo ranks 17th with a DYAR of 153 and 13th with a total QBR of 53.4. The Niners have an ESPN FPI score of 6.1 and are 4-1 ATS and 1-4 to the over/under this season.

Prediction
If you have been blindly betting the Niners and the Under in each of their games, you would be 8-2 at this point of the season, and though there will be a market adjustment to reflect it, San Francisco has proven to be a "bet-on" team with posted totals that will continue to be low because of its ferocious defense.

Nick Bosa is a leading Rookie of the Year candidate, and with the addition of Dee Ford to the first-round talent of Arik Armstead and DeForest Buckner, San Francisco has the most dominant defensive line in the NFL and as a unit it is controlling and changing the outcomes of games in unequivocal fashion.


When is the last time we've seen a defense that can completely control a game and make its opponent look broken in the process the way the Niners have this year? The 1985 Chicago Bears. The 1985 Chicago Bears had a pedestrian offense but dominated the league because of Buddy Ryan's smothering 46 defense, finishing an unbelievable 15-3-1 against the spread (ATS) that season. And while we expect the Niners' spreads to become larger with less apparent value over the course of the season, we anticipate that San Francisco could also finish with a remarkable ATS record in 2019 because of its defense.

We had the Niners beating the Redskins in our preseason analysis, an outcome that seems much more obvious given what has transpired during the first quarter of the season, but now the question is not if but by how much. Given that the Redskins are double-digit home underdogs at most books, there will likely be sharp action on the Redskins, but we have learned from the error of our ways and seen enough to know that it doesn't make sense to overthink things and can currently only lean toward the Niners or the Under. We just can't see the Redskins scoring on San Francisco's defense and expect the Niners to control the clock by having their way in the running game. Pick: Under 42

Season:
SU: 1-4
ATS: 1-4

Poll

  • What is your best bet for 49ers at Redskins on 10/20/19?
  • 49ers -9.5
    73%
  • Under 42
    13%
  • Over 42
    10%
  • Redskins +9.5
    3%
  • 966 votes
The opinions within this article are those of the writer and, while just as important, are not necessarily those of the site as a whole.


0 Comments

  • No Comments

Facebook Comments



More San Francisco 49ers News



San Francisco 49ers slight favorites at Denver Broncos - Week 3, 2022 odds and pick

By Winston Chung
Sep 21

The San Francisco 49ers lost their quarterback of the future but were led by their quarterback of years past to handily win their contest against division rival Seattle Seahawks in their home opener. Now the Niners will go back on the road to the thin air and altitude of Mile High to take on old nemesis Russell Wilson and the Denver Broncos in prime time on Sunday Night Football. Here we discuss the odds and analysis from a betting perspective. When: Sunday September 25th, 2022 at 5:20pm PT (NBC) Where: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, Colorado Line: 49ers -1.5, o/u 45 Denver Broncos After their shocking upset as 6.5 point favorites in Russell Wilson's return to Seattle, the Denver Broncos squeaked by the Houston



San Francisco 49ers favored at home vs. Los Angeles Rams - Week 4, 2022 odds and pick

By Winston Chung
Sep 28

The San Francisco 49ers offense was impotent, even more so after losing tackle Trent Williams, before losing by a point at the Denver Broncos in Week 3. Will Kyle Shanahan bounce back and continue his regular season dominance over Sean McVay and the Los Angeles Rams in Week 4 under the bright lights of Monday Night Football? Here we discuss the odds and analysis from a betting perspective. When: Monday October 3rd, 2022 at 5:15pm PT (ESPN) Where: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, California Line: 49ers -1.5, o/u 42.5 Los Angeles Rams After getting steamrolled by the Buffalo Bills in Week 1, the Los Angeles Rams have won two straight, most recently a 20-12 win in the desert over the Arizona Cardinals in a game that was



49ers' Super Bowl odds improve with Jimmy Garoppolo at QB

By David Bonilla
Sep 18

FanDuel Sportsbook listed the odds of the San Francisco 49ers winning Super Bowl 57 at +2000 just before Sunday's morning slate of games. After fumbling what should have been a breeze of a regular-season opener against the Chicago Bears, the team bounced back with a Week 2 win over the Seattle Seahawks and improved to 1-1. Now, the 49ers' odds of winning are at +1800, per FanDuel Sportsbook. So what changed other than improving to .500 on the season? There was an unexpected change at quarterback. San Francisco lost starter Trey Lance, who will undergo season-ending surgery on the broken ankle suffered during the first quarter of



49ers at Broncos, Week 3 predictions: Fans overwhelmingly pick Niners

By Site Staff
Sep 24

The Denver Broncos are set to host the San Francisco 49ers at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, Colorado, on Sunday, September 25 at 5:20 p.m. PT. Each week, the 49ers Webzone staff predicts the winner within its annual NFL Pick 'em contest. That includes writers and forum moderators. This week, five of six participating staff members selected the 49ers to beat the Broncos. San Francisco is currently a 1.5-point favorite. As for all the fans who are taking part in our NFL Pick 'em contest, 87 percent have the 49ers winning the game, as of this post.


Featured

More by Winston Chung

More Articles

Share 49ersWebzone