Logan Bowles-USA TODAY Sports

Logan Bowles-USA TODAY Sports


2018 Free Agency: Is WR Allen Robinson Worth Four-Years and $58 Million?

Sequoia Sims
Jan 18, 2018 at 2:33 PM



2018 NFL free agency: Is wide receiver Allen Robinson Worth four-years and $58 million? Robinson has had some history with lower leg injuries and has been on injured reserve twice during his four NFL seasons.


Jacksonville Jaguars' Allen Robinson was a Pro Bowl receiver in 2015. He stands at 6-foot-3 and 220 lbs., and is likely looking for something close to a four-year, $58 million deal as a pending free agent (per Rotoworld.com). The salary desired by Robinson might look familiar because it's the same contract that Green Bay Packers' wide receiver Davante Adams recently signed; a four-year contract extension worth $58 million. Robinson (24 years old) and Adams (25 years old) are both very talented four-year veteran receivers.

Yes, the Forty-Niners have a reported $115 million in cap space (per Overthecap.com). But will they pay out an annual salary of $14.5 million to a wide receiver coming off a major knee injury? Hold that thought.

Looking back at Robinson's four-year production

Robinson has appeared in 43 games during his career, starting 41 of those contests while missing 21 games due to injury, which we'll cover shortly. He's totaled 202 catches on 384 targets for 2, 848 yards at 14.1 yards per catch, and 22 touchdowns and nine drop passes (via Foxsports.com). Robinson's lone Pro Bowl invite, as previously mentioned, came in 2015 when he posted 80 catches for 1,400 yards at 17.5 yards per catch and 14 touchdowns. The following season, 2016, he had respectable production with 73 catches for 883 yards at 12.1 yards per catch and six touchdowns.

A snapshot of Robinson's skill set

Robinson displays the ability to catch 50-50 balls, stretch the defense with his speed, and has the athleticism and size any team would covet. He's also a good route runner and can be a red zone target and a No. 1 threat for quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo.

Robinson's career injuries at a glance:

  • 2017-Knee ACL Tear Grade 3: Robinson underwent surgery on September 11.
  • 2015-Leg Thigh Bruise: Robinson sustained a thigh bruise but was unaffected by his injury.
  • 2014-Pedal Foot Fracture: Robinson fractured his foot in Week 9 and was placed on season-ending injured reserve.
  • Thigh Hamstring Strain Grade 2: Robinson re-aggravated his hamstring injury, sidelining him for the preseason.
  • Thigh Hamstring Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1: Robinson pulled his hamstring in OTA's and missed a few weeks of practice.
  • Thigh Hamstring Strain Grade 2: Robinson pulled his hamstring in OTA's and missed a few weeks of practice.

Is wide receiver Allen Robinson worth four-years and $58 million?

Robinson's most productive years came in 2015 and 2016, respectively, when he was targeted a whopping 302 times in comparison to All-Pro wide receiver Antonio Brown of the Pittsburgh Steelers, who was targeted 347 times during that span.

  • Brown caught an average of 69% of his passes with his quarterback (Ben Roethlisberger missing six games) while Robinson caught 51.3%.
  • His quarterback at that time was Blake Bortles, who had a breakout year in 2015 with 4,428 passing yards and 35 touchdowns. In 2016, Bortles accounted for 3,905 yards and 23 touchdowns.
  • Those numbers, as you can see, are nothing to sneeze at. However, Bortles threw 34 interceptions trying to force the ball more often than not to Robinson.

Jimmy Garoppolo, during his five starts, which were all wins, connected to seven, eight, and nine different receivers on a weekly basis. That's the style of play he learned from the New England Patriots during his three and a half seasons there and, most notably, from quarterback Tom Brady. In fact, the only true No. 1 receiver Brady ever had is future Hall of Fame wide receiver Randy Moss (arguably).

Recent article alerts on Niners Live: Don't Sleep on WR Kendrick Bourne in 2018 and Don't underestimate the impact of Pierre Garcon in 2018.

The Forty-Niners and head coach Kyle Shanahan are well aware of Jimmy G's skill set, abilities, talents, and his leadership style which makes everyone around him better players that deliver up to their own talent level. Yes, Jimmy G is a better quarterback than Bortles, by far, but Robinson's numbers are inflated base on his high volume of targets equaling a low catching efficiency rate (taking nothing away from his talent level), which he won't see with the Forty-Niners.

Also, Robinson's injury history is cause for some concern. Robinson did take to Twitter to showcase that his recovery/workouts are going well, and per reports, he could pass a physical. In the end, the Forty-Niners (in my opinion) should go in a different direction. To be continued.....

Sequoia Sims: Founder of Niners Live, Content Creator and Senior Author. The home of the faithful fan and analyst from an objective/analytical lens, and different perspective, of course.
The views within this article are those of the writer and, while just as important, are not necessarily those of the site as a whole.


2 Comments

  • Kareem
    It's not my money so as long as it doesn't affect us cap wise in the future, sure. But if it WAS my money I'd spend it on the defense first.
    Jan 18, 2018 at 9:31 PM
    1
  • NinerGM
    Absolutely not worth any significant guaranteed money. IF, IF we chose to, it's a prove-it deal.
    Jan 18, 2018 at 6:24 PM
    0

Facebook Comments



More San Francisco 49ers News



Rapoport confirms 49ers' Shanahan and Lynch will attend 2nd pro days of Justin Fields and Trey Lance

By David Bonilla
Apr 12, 2021

Peter King of NBC Sports was the first to report that San Francisco 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan and general manager John Lynch would be in attendance for the second pro days of both Justin Fields of Ohio State and Trey Lance of North Dakota State. Ian Rapoport of NFL Media confirmed that report this morning. #OSU QB Justin Fields has his second Pro Day on Wednesday and



Pelissero: Justin Fields and Trey Lance pro days to feature drills and throws from 49ers practices

By David Bonilla
Apr 12, 2021

Justin Fields of Ohio State will hold a second pro day workout on Wednesday. Five days later, Trey Lance of North Dakota State will take part in his second. Both are trying to ensure that they are selected ahead of Mac Jones of Alabama. Trevor Lawrence of Clemson is expected to be drafted No. 1 overall. The New York Jets are expected to select Zach Wilson of BYU at No. 2. Assuming San Francisco targets a quarterback, that leaves Jones, Fields, and Lance as San Francisco's choices at No. 3. Jones is the overwhelming favorite to be the pick if you ask members of the national media. Fans would much prefer the more athletic and higher ceilinged prospects in Fields or Lance. Head coach Kyle Shanahan and general manager John Lynch chose to attend Jones'



Buy Official 2021 49ers NFL Draft Caps and Gear

By Site Staff
Apr 9, 2021

You can now purchase the official San Francisco 49ers hats, shirts, and sweatshirts of the 2021 NFL Draft from the team's official online store. This is the gear that the NFL Draft selections themselves will be wearing when they hear their names called starting on April 29. Click here to shop the 49ers' official 2021 NFL Draft gear. 🚨2021 NFL Draft Caps and Gear🚨The official 2021 #49ers NFL



Peter King: 49ers haven't decided who to draft at No. 3, Shanahan and Lynch to attend upcoming pro days

By David Bonilla
Apr 11, 2021

The San Francisco 49ers traded multiple first-round picks and a third-rounder next year to move up to the No. 3 spot in this month's draft. Soon after, quarterback Mac Jones of Alabama became the favorite to be selected by head coach Kyle Shanahan and general manager John Lynch. Members of the national media has started to back off a bit from proclaiming that scenario to be a near-lock. While they still declare Jones the favorite, no one is ready to admit that they are 100 percent certain what the 49ers' brass will do come April 29. "I think they have an open mind right now," ESPN's Adam Schefter recently told NBC Sports Bay Area. "I think they go into this


Featured

More by Sequoia Sims

More Articles

Share 49ersWebzone