The San Francisco 49ers are free falling toward the number one pick in the 2019 NFL draft, coming back across the country after being crushed 27-9 by Tampa Bay, the day after releasing former first round draft pick Reuben Foster for another domestic violence arrest. The Niners' draft position is likely to be strengthened as they now travel to Seattle to take on the surging Seahawks. Here we discuss the odds and analysis from a betting perspective.
When: Sunday December 2nd at 1:25pm PST (FOX)
Where: CenturyLink Field, Seattle, Washington
Line: Seahawks -10, total at 46
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle returns home after an impressive win at Carolina and is now 6-4 on the season and in position for a Wild Card spot. The Seahawks' offense is 16th with 355.3 yards per game, 12th with 25.1 points per game and 11th with a weighted offense of 6.7 percent. The Seahawks' rushing offense is 1st with 147.1 yards per game and its passing offense is 26th with 208.2 yards per game.
Despite the loss of Earl Thomas and the rest of the Legion of Boom, Seattle's defense has been better than expected this season, ranking 16th in conceding 359.7 yards per game, 8th in allowing 22.1 points per game and 13th with a weighted defense of -1.7 percent. The Seahawks' defense is 22nd in allowing 121.4 rushing yards per game and 13th in giving up 238.4 passing yards per game.
Russell Wilson is 11th with a DYAR of 537 and 13th with a QBR of 64.2. Seattle is 11th with a weighted DVOA of 10.3 percent, 6-5 ATS and 5-6 to the over/under this season.
San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers are bottoming out at this point in the season and things really can't get worse since each loss will only improve their 2019 draft pick. San Francisco's offense is 17th with 355.2 yards per game, 20th with 21.7 points per game and 29th in weighted offense at -17.3 percent. The Niners' rushing attack is 5th with 134.9 yards per game and their passing offense is 24th with 220.3 yards per game.
San Francisco's defense is 11th in surrendering 350.4 yards per game, 26th in giving up 26.6 points per game and 24th with a weighted defense of 5.3 percent. The 49ers' defense is 10th in allowing 102.7 rushing yards per game and 17th in conceding 247.6 passing yards per game.
Nick Mullens has a DYAR of -29 and QBR of 55.8. The 49ers are 30th with a weighted DVOA of -25.2 percent, 3-8 ATS and 6-5 to the over/under this season.
Prediction
If the Niners can't stay within 18 points of Tampa Bay, can you tell me how they will stay within 10 points at Seattle? Teams now have more tape on Nick Mullens and it showed in his first East coast road game as the offense only mustered 9 points. How can any rational mind think Mullens will fare any better in his first trip to Seattle? The Seahawks are 11-2 ATS against the Niners in their last 13 contests and should easily win this Sunday. Pick: Seahawks -10
Season
3-7 ATS
7-3 SU
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