Winner - San Francisco 49ers (7)
The 49ers, through disciplined roster-building and incredible personnel development throughout the organization, have blown the league away by earning 7 total compensatory picks. In other words, they've acquired an entire draft's worth of picks just through this system, a coup for their front office. But they're not just racking up end-of-the-draft selections (although last year's 7th-round comp pick, Brock Purdy, turned out pretty okay). They have three third-round picks through the compensatory system, which outdoes all but one team's comp pick draft haul. The rest of their picks are pretty evenly spread out, too: one in the fifth round, one in the sixth, and two in the seventh. For a team that was originally without a pick until the fifth round (due to trades for Trey Lance's draft spot and Christian McCaffrey), these compensatory selections completely reverse the 49ers' draft fortune, bringing their total number of draft picks from 4 to 11.
Normally, a team can only accrue up to 4 picks due to players leaving in free agency. However, they can also receive up to 3 picks each year from coaching staff or management lost to other teams, which usually rank amongst the highest comp picks awarded. This year, the 49ers are reaping the rewards of seeing ex-coordinators Robert Saleh and Mike McDaniel becoming head coaches for the Jets and Dolphins, respectively, while senior personnel executive Martin Mayhew joined the Washington Commanders as their general manager in 2021. The 49ers will continue to enjoy the benefits of these selections for the next few years, as Tennessee Titans GM Ran Carthon and Houston Texans head coach DeMeco Ryans will continue to provide SF with high-end compensatory picks after their hires this year.
Loser - Denver Broncos (0)
While teams like the 49ers have leveraged their losses with eventual returns in the compensatory system, the Broncos have not been one of them. Denver goes into the 2023 draft with only five selections, none of them in the first two rounds. Trading two first-rounders for QB Russell Wilson and another for head coach Sean Payton has injected talent into their system at the top end, but whether they can make it work with these decorated veterans remains to be seen, especially after Wilson's disastrous 2022 season. Those trades leave the Broncos without a top-10 selection this year that could have supplemented recent draft successes in Jerry Jeudy and Pat Surtain II to form a core of young talent for the rest of the decade. Unless they make a few wily trades this offseason, Denver will have to strike gold in the back half of the draft to push an underperforming roster back into playoff contention.
Winner - Los Angeles Rams (4)
Loser - Miami Dolphins (-1)
It's perhaps not odd that a team that's indirectly giving San Francisco comp picks (through head coach Mike McDaniels' hire) isn't receiving a ton themselves, but the Dolphins are in a terrible draft position for pretty much every other reason. They lost their first round pick this year due to tampering charges, as owner Stephen Ross was found to have improperly recruited now-retired QB Tom Brady and now-Broncos head coach Sean Payton in an attempt to persuade both parties to join forces in Miami. That's not really "losing" a comp pick, per se, but I'm going to count it. Beyond that, they no longer have their fifth-round pick due to a trade with, you guessed it, San Francisco (for running back Jeff Wilson Jr.).
But what really makes those losses sting is the uncertainty regarding highly-drafted quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, who suffered a string of brutal concussions that prematurely ended his 2022 season. The 2020 Alabama alum had just emerged from an unsteady sophomore season to become one of the league's most dangerous passers in Mike McDaniels' system. But with his health in question, the quarterback conundrum Miami faces threatens to destabilize an otherwise dangerous roster. The fact that they don't have a single comp pick to aid them is the cherry on top of a, shall we say, dirt sundae.
Winner - Arizona Cardinals (3)
Despite an atrocious 2022 campaign that saw an organizational shakeup that may take several years to settle, the Cardinals' immediate draft prospects are about as bright as they can reasonably be. And they'll need it, with quarterback Kyler Murray a sure thing, but not a whole lot else. Fortunately, the Cards have five of their seven original draft picks, missing only rounds 5 and 7. Arizona will also benefit from the very first compensatory pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, situated at #96 overall, as well as fifth and sixth-rounders to recoup about what they were missing to start with. If the Cardinals decide to go full sell-off mode, they could end up with one of the best draft hauls of the year. In a loaded NFC West, they'll need a great one to keep their head above water.
Winner - Kansas City Chiefs (3)
This article has been edited. It incorrectly stated that there is no limit on compensatory draft selections awarded due to front office departures. As of 2023, the limit on such awarded selections is three.
