Chuck Cook-USA TODAY Sports

Chuck Cook-USA TODAY Sports

Super Bowl LV Chances: ESPN FPI slightly favors Saints over 49ers in NFC

May 26, 2020 at 8:22 AM--

The San Francisco 49ers are the highest-ranked NFC team and the third-best overall team in ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI) rankings for the 2020 season. So why do the New Orleans Saints have slightly better odds to reach Super Bowl LV? It all has to do with the schedule.

"Though FPI thinks the 49ers are the third-best team and the best NFC franchise," writes ESPN's Seth Walder, "the New Orleans Saints (fourth in FPI rating) are actually the third-most-likely team to win the Super Bowl at 13%, with San Francisco coming in at 12%. Why? New Orleans faces a slightly easier schedule than the 49ers and is a tad more likely to win the NFC South (59%) than the Niners are to win the NFC West (53%). The Saints are our narrow NFC favorites in what could be quarterback Drew Brees' last ride."

ESPN Stats & Information

The NFL will have a new playoff format following the upcoming season. In addition to allowing in one more team per conference, only one team per conference will earn a coveted playoff bye week. The Saints earning that top spot would mean San Francisco would have to win three games to reach the Super Bowl even if it earns the conference's No. 2 playoff seed.

Last year, the 49ers earned home-field advantage in the NFC, winning each of their two home playoff games before falling to the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl LIV.

Speaking of the defending Super Bowl champions, the Chiefs have the best chance to reach the big game, according to ESPN's FPI.

"Buoyed by what FPI considers to be easily the best offense in football," writes Walder, "the Chiefs are more than a touchdown better than an average NFL team and more than a point better than the second-best team in the league, the Baltimore Ravens."

ESPN FPI further projects the 49ers' win total at 10.2 games, which ties with the Saints for the third-most, and their chance to reach the playoffs at 81 percent (fourth-best in the NFL), which is slightly behind New Orleans' chances of 83 percent.

Around the NFC West, the Seattle Seahawks are projected to earn 8.9 wins with a 58 percent chance of reaching the playoffs. ESPN's FPI sees 8.3 victories and a 45 percent playoff chance for the Los Angeles Rams. The Arizona Cardinals are projected to earn 7.3 wins and own a 25 percent chance to reach the postseason.

Click here to read ESPN's entire 2020 NFL season projections utilizing FPI.

More San Francisco 49ers News

ESPN identifies 49ers-Texans trade that would be a win-win for both teams

By David Bonilla
Jun 25, 2020

ESPN's Field Yates named five win-win NFL trades on Thursday morning, all while noting that such deals are unlikely. NFL trades, in general, are rare compared to other leagues, but the ESPN insider went ahead with the task anyway. The San Francisco 49ers were involved in one of the hypothetical trades, and it involved shipping off the team's second-round pick from 2018 — wide receiver Dante Pettis. Who would the Niners get in return? The Houston Texans' fourth-round selection from the same year, wide receiver Keke Coutee. "Coutee -- taken in the 2018 draft, like Pettis -- provides San

Read the Full Article

Why ESPN, PFF rank the 49ers roster as the third-best in the NFL

By David Bonilla
Jun 25, 2020

Rankings don't typically mean much during the offseason. They are usually just a fun way to pass the time and create some healthy debate among sports fanbases. ESPN's latest one probably isn't much different. However, it isn't based merely on opinion and projections. It is based on the massive amount of data produced by the analytics giant, Pro Football Focus. The two join forces to rank the NFL's best rosters. Where did the San Francisco 49ers fall within the ranking? In case you glanced past the title of this article, the Bay Area squad came in at No. 3, with just the Baltimore Ravens (No. 1) and New Orleans Saints

Read the Full Article

49ers' Jimmy Garoppolo is better than Eagles' Carson Wentz right now, says ESPN host

By David Bonilla
4 hrs ago

Jimmy Garoppolo could become a top-10 NFL quarterback. That's what Max Kellerman of ESPN's First Take believes. To do so, he'll still need to prove himself in the playoffs. Garoppolo has shown himself to be a clutch passer during the regular season. His playoff-game performances earlier this year, however, have fueled the criticism from his doubters. The Philadelphia Eagles have a franchise quarterback by the name of Carson Wentz, a 27-year-old signal-caller who many believe to be a rising star in the league. If Kellerman were to rank NFL quarterbacks right now, he might have to put Garoppolo ahead of Wentz. That caused a bit of a heated

Read the Full Article


More Featured Stories

Trending News

More News
Share 49erswebzone