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With every loss this season, the Cleveland Browns get a step closer to locking up the top overall selection in the 2017 NFL Draft. It is hard to believe that the San Francisco 49ers have lost 10 consecutive games – a franchise record – and still may not get the top overall pick. The 49ers currently sit at 1-10 while the Browns sit at 0-12. Meanwhile, the Chicago Bears (2-9) are sitting at the number four spot thanks to a stronger strength of schedule than the Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9).
According to ESPN's Football Power Index, Sunday's game between the 49ers and Bears will have a major impact on the chances of obtaining the number two overall selection in the draft. A 49ers loss will increase their chance of getting a top two selection to 79 percent versus 6 percent for the Bears. A Bears loss will increase their chance of getting a top two selection to 49 percent versus 30 percent for the 49ers.
Currently, Chicago has a weaker strength of schedule than San Francisco, which is the determining factor should any ties with records occur.
The Bears are currently 2.5-point favorites in Sunday's matchup with the visiting 49ers. That may fluctuate as the game nears. According to ESPN, Chicago has a 57 percent chance of beating San Francisco.
Below is the current draft order, based on playoff seeding (21-32), record, and strength of schedule (SOS), for all 32 first-round spots if the season ended today. Of course, the order of playoff teams would eventually be determined by the completed playoff picture.
Team
Record
SOS
1
Cleveland Browns
0-12
.574
2
San Francisco 49ers
1-10
.573
3
Jacksonville Jaguars
2-9
.533
4
Chicago Bears
2-9
.541
5
New York Jets
3-8
.504
6
Cincinnati Bengals
3-7-1
.561
7
Tennessee Titans (from Rams)
4-7
.488
8
Carolina Panthers
4-7
.523
9
Arizona Cardinals
4-6-1
.486
10
Indianapolis Colts
5-6
.486
11
Green Bay Packers
5-6
.529
12
Cleveland Browns (from Eagles)
5-6
.533
13
New Orleans Saints
5-6
.550
14
San Diego Chargers
5-6
.559
15
Tennessee Titans
6-6
.443
16
Buffalo Bills
6-5
.432
17
Philadelphia Eagles (from Vikings)
6-5
.486
18
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
6-5
.491
19
Pittsburgh Steelers
6-5
.516
20
Denver Broncos
7-4
.532
21
Washington Redskins
6-4-1
--
22
Miami Dolphins
7-4
--
23
New York Giants
8-3
--
24
Kansas City Chiefs
8-3
--
25
Houston Texans
6-5
--
26
Atlanta Falcons
7-4
--
27
Baltimore Ravens
6-5
--
28
Detroit Lions
7-4
--
29
Seattle Seahawks
7-3-1
--
30
Oakland Raiders
9-2
--
31
New England Patriots
9-2
--
32
Dallas Cowboys
10-1
--
* 21-32 based on projected playoff seeding, not record or strength of schedule ** Trades show the record of the origin team
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