Originally posted by MrOrange:
and that isn't a homer pick. I think its going 6 or 7 games regardless of who wins.
I almost edited it to Dallas in 6. Obviously I'm biased, but here's what I'm thinking:
-TB despite playing 1 fewer game has actually logged more ice time due to OTs
-Dallas had a difficult path and went through IMO the clear-cut top 2 teams in the West
-Beating Vegas in 5 is more impressive than Islanders in 6
-The East in general, for whatever reason, has looked bad in post-season. Capitals bowed out early. Bruins had their goalie bounce and completely folded. Philly was a bad team with no defense. Pittsburgh bounced out early. The East was a mess. I think the West, outside the Blues, the good teams played good.
-Dallas is 14-12-2 vs East this year. However if you cut out the 1-7-2 start they had, they went 13-6-2 including 2 OT wins over TB. I think the West in general is the better conference, and clearly the more physical conference
-Despite the hype of TB's rebuilt 3rd line, I see TB as a 2-line team. Dallas rolls all 4 lines. And to go even further, imo TB is really about 3 players: Kucherov, Point and Hedman (for offense). All 3 are going to generally be on one line and Dallas has a good track record against 1-line teams
-Vasilevskiy makes the saves he needs to make, but IMO has not made the big saves. He has given up more rebound attempts then any goalie and Dallas has scored more goals in close range than any team