Originally posted by SmokeyJoe:
Originally posted by genus49:
Mike Florio just like the rest of us have 0 on the line whether the 49ers sign Brock this year or not.
Kyle and John however have a lot on the line.
Think of it this way. What does waiting another year do?
Extra games to analyze Brock? Ok….is 40 starts including playoffs not enough?
By waiting two things can happen.
1. Brock plays well - now you have less leverage as he enters UFA and now you have to pay him more due to market inflation and likely some other contracts getting done as well.
2.Brock plays poorly which likely means you had another bad season and Kyle/John may not even be around to give him a new deal.
So logically the only way to get a cheaper contract from Brock after waiting a year is increasing the chance Kyle and/or John could be fired. So why would they make that decision? It's basically gambling against your best interests.
Not to mention having the QB who saved your ass from the Lance debacle playing for peanuts in a contract year is a terrible look within the locker room AND you're risking Brock playing bad football cuz he's afraid to hurt his contract.
For the people who make these decisions and have to live and die by them…there is no real
logical reason for them to wait this out. None.
Even operating under some of the assumptions you present in your post, this isn't true.
Like your number 2 possibility (if the 49ers were to not pay Brock this offseason):
'Brock plays poorly which likely means you had another bad season and Kyle/John may not even be around to give him a new deal.'
Do you think this possibility doesn't exist if Brock is signed to a long term deal now? And if he did, and had a new contract, wouldn't this reflect poorly on the guys who signed him? Why are you assuming waiting another year would be a means to get a cheaper deal instead of potentially moving on at the position?
Fair enough...would you say this regime has proven they have a great track record at drafting top flight QBs?
They lucked into Brock Purdy. The one time they put in a ton of energy and investment into bringing in a new QB it was a MAJOR disaster, one that Brock saved them from.
Let's not forget the team is coming off a 6-11 season. They made two moves highly praised with the DC and ST Coach additions. We're getting a 4th place schedule that looks pretty easy on paper. The SB is going to be played at Levis.
What do you think the odds are that if Purdy plays poorly enough not to warrant another contract that Kyle and John both keep their jobs after next season?
Your take is that the 49ers gain the ability to walk away from Brock by not paying him now. My question is...why would they walk away from him if he plays well? So that brings us back to they would only walk away if he plays poorly aka team does poorly aka John and Kyle risk being fired after back to back poor seasons with high expectations and a lot invested.
Which brings me back to...there is no serious logical reason for THEM to wait.
Fans will still be fans regardless. Media guys will keep their jobs. Easy for them to say "just don't pay him yet"
And yes, there exists a possibly where Brock is extended and he plays poorly but if you're putting money on it as Kyle/John you're not expecting that result because Brock has shown a lot more good than bad when the team around him is solid. That type of negative thinking shouldn't factor in their decision making. It would be betting against themselves basically. AKA they wouldn't.
[ Edited by genus49 on Feb 5, 2025 at 5:59 AM ]