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New Article I posted where I take a look at the 49ers 2021 cap situation

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2021 Cap #

Warner $1.2 mill
Kwon $16.5 mill


nice article
Originally posted by AB81Rules:
Originally posted by da209:
wonder what we do with richburg, ford, alexander ? restructure or traded

If the cap is $198.2M, I would leave Richburg's deal as is, along with Armstead, and Ward's, as for Dee and Kwon, restructuring their deals make the most sense cap wise, they need cap room either way if the cap is $175M or $198.2M. Trading them doesn't save as much as redoing their deals, $12.438M cutting them, or $20.44M by restructuring their deals, plus June 1 cuts wouldn't make sense, mainly due to the fact the team wouldn't get the money until June 2nd, way after the team needs to re-sign their own, as for the argument for Fred Warner extension, they can easily do the same thing that they did with Kittle, use some cap room, like $3M, and easily extend Warner, while also having a low 2022 cap number. Sam can be said for Mostert and Tomlinson.

So IMO, redoing Kwon and Dee is the best option, especially with Bosa's return not 100% guaranteed, ACLs can be tricky, and vary from player to player, while keeping Kwon just helps our LB depth. As for Weston, it's best to not redo his deal if the cap is $198.2M, because it wouldn't be needed, same with AA and Ward, because any re-signings would have low year 1, and maybe year 2 cap numbers.

If somehow the team could avoid redoing Dee and/or Kwon's deals that would be great, but even with a $198.2M cap, they'd need to redo those deals, cause they'd lose $20.44M in potential cap room, which would put them over the cap in my article by $3,771,805, now if the cap is only $175M, then they absolutely need to redo Dee and Kwon's deals, and likely Richburg, Ward, and Armstead's deals. Cause they'd be way over the cap by the time they fill out the top 51 players.
The choice to restructure or cut Ford will depend on his availability games 5-16. If his availability continues to be an issue, locking up more future cap space to have him for a handful of games isn't a great option.

If he can't show he's able to suit up on GameDay, not knocking him for things he can't control, just a fact then we need to look at other options.
Sweet Jesus who needs Paraag? While I think a few of your contracts may be a tad optimistic (in the FO's favor), this is outstanding work!
Originally posted by kansasninerfan:
Sweet Jesus who needs Paraag? While I think a few of your contracts may be a tad optimistic (in the FO's favor), this is outstanding work!

Really the only thing I projected was APY and cap numbers, I just believe that if those players are be back or want to be back, they'll have low year 1 and year 2 cap numbers, like we did with Kittle. I didn't put down GTD money, maybe I will go back, and put how much I'd have as GTD money.
Wow, incredible article! I can't imagine how much time and energy you put into this. I love the team building aspect of football, so this is a gold mine to read.

Just curious - do you do this kind of work professionally AB?
Originally posted by IGSXIII:
Wow, incredible article! I can't imagine how much time and energy you put into this. I love the team building aspect of football, so this is a gold mine to read.

Just curious - do you do this kind of work professionally AB?

Sorry must have missed this, it takes hours and sometimes days, I'm continuing to update the new page.

https://49erscap.com/index.php/2021-offseason-plan/

No I don't do this kind of work professionally, just a hobby, a passion too.
Some key things from the article/page in case you guys don't feel like ready the entire thing, cause it's massive.

Ideal 2021 Roster:

OFFENSE:

QB(2/3): 10 Jimmy Garoppolo(2022)/ 4 Nick Mullens(2021) and/or 3 C.J. Beathard(2021)
RB(4): 31 Raheem Mostert(2025)/ 26 Tevin Coleman(2022)/ 30 Jeff Wilson Jr.(2021)/ 38 JaMycal Hasty(2021)
FB(1): 44 Kyle Juszyzck(2024)
WR(6): 19 Deebo Samuel(2022)/ 11 Brandon Aiyuk(2023)/ 84 Kendrick Bourne(2022)/ 14 Jalen Hurd(2022)/ two of these players 13 Richie James Jr.(2021), 14 Kevin White(2021), 17 Jauan Jennings(2022), or Rookie Draft Pick(2024)
TE(4): 85 George Kittle(2025)/ 81 Jordan Reed(2021)/ 82 Ross Dwelley(2021)/ 89 Charlie Woerner(2023)
C(2): 58 Weston Richburg(2022)/ 63 Ben Garland(2021) or a Draft Pick or Veteran
OG(4): 68 Colton McKivitz(2023)/ 60 Daniel Brunskill(2021)/ 2 of these players 61 Dakoda Shepley(2022), Veteran, or Rookie Draft Pick C/OG(2024)
OT(3): 71 Trent Williams(2025)/ 69 Mike McGlinchey(2022)/ either 67 Justin Skule(2022), 78 Shon Coleman(2021), or a Rookie(2024)

DEFENSE:

DE(5): 97 Nick Bosa(2022)/ 91 Arik Armstead(2024)/ 55 Dee Ford(2023)/ 98 Ronald Blair III(2021)/ 92 Kerry Hyder Jr.(2021)
DT(4): 99 Javon Kinlaw(2023)/ 94 Solomon Thomas(2021)/ 95 Kentavius Street(2021)/ 90 Kevin Givens(2021)
NT(2): 93 D.J. Jones(2025)/ 77 Jullian Taylor(2021)
LB(5): 54 Fred Warner(2026)/ 56 Kwon Alexander(2022)/ 57 Dre Grenlaw(2022)/ two of these players 53 Mark Nzeocha(2021), 51 Azeez Al-Shaair(2021), 45 Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles(2021), or a Rookie(2024)
CB(5): 25 Richard Sherman(2023)/ 41 Emmanuel Moseley(2021)/ 24 K'Waun Williams(2024)/ 22 Jason Verrett(2023)/ Rookie Draft Pick(2024) or 23 Ahkello Witherspoon(2021)
FS(2): 20 Jimmie Ward(2022)/ 33 Tarvarius Moore(2021)
SS(2): 29 Jaquiski Tartt(2023)/ either 36 Marcell Harris(2021) or 32 Johnathan Cyprien(2021)

SPECIAL TEAMS:

PK(1): 9 Robbie Gould(2022)
P(1): 6 Mitch Wishnowsky(2022)
LS(1): 46 Taybor Pepper(2020) or Vet/Rookie

Notes: The numbers in parenthesis are the year they're contract runs out.

I do have 54 players listed, as I'm having a hard time with who wouldn't be on the perfect 2021 roster, but I can see Nick Bosa, and Solomon Thomas starting on reserve/PUP, opening up 1 spot, maybe for a 2021 draft pick.

I have the following being restructured.

On a $175M cap, Garoppolo, Richburg, Armstead, Ford, Alexander, and Ward.

On a $198.2M cap, Garoppolo, Ford, and Alexander.

Re-signing the following.

QB 4 Nick Mullens to a 1-year deal, worth either $2.914M on a $175M cap, or $3.259M on a $198.2M as a RFA(2nd-round tender)
RB 26 Tevin Coleman to a 2-year deal, worth $5M($2.5M APY, $2.5M in 2021 & 2022)
RB 30 Jeff Wilson Jr. to a 1-year deal, worth $920K
RB 38 JaMycal Hasty to a 1-year deal, worth $780K
FB 44 Kyle Juszyzck to a 4-year deal, worth $21M($5.25M APY, $4.5M in 2021, $3.5M in 2022, $6.5M in 2023 & 2024)
TE 82 Ross Dwelley to a 1-year deal, worth $920K
WR 84 Kendrick Bourne to a 2-year deal, worth $5M($2.5M APY, $3M in 2021, $2M in 2022)
TE 81 Jordan Reed to a 1-year deal, worth $1.075M, but counting only $850K against the cap
C 63 Ben Garland to a 1-year deal, worth $2M
RG 60 Daniel Brunskill to a 1-year deal, worth $850K(ERFA tender)
LT 71 Trent Williams to a 5-year deal, worth $80M($16M APY, $5.5M in 2021, $5.5M in 2022, $19.5M in 2023, $24.5M in 2024, & $25M in 2025)
DE 92 Kerry Hyder Jr. to a 1-year deal, worth $2M
DE 98 Ronald Blair III to a 1-year deal, worth $3M
DT 94 Solomon Thomas to a 1-year deal, worth $1,127,500
NT 93 D.J. Jones to a 5-year deal, worth $25M($5M APY $2.5M in 2021 & 2022, $5.5M in 2023, $6.5M in 2024, $8M in 2025)
CB 25 Richard Sherman to a 3-year deal, worth $30M($10M APY, $8M in 2021, $7M in 2022, & $15M in 2023)
CB 41 Emmanuel Moseley to a 1-year deal, worth either $2.914M on a $175M cap, or $3.259M on a $198.2M as a RFA(2nd-round tender)
CB 24 K'Waun Williams to a 4-year deal, worth $32M($8M APY, $7.5M in 2021, $3.5M in 2022, $10.5M in 2023 & 2024)
CB 22 Jason Verrett to a 3-year deal worth $12M($4M APY, $2.5M in 2021, $4.5M in 2022, $5M in 2023)
SS 29 Jaquiski Tartt to a 3-year deal, worth $28.5M($9.5M APY, $6.5M in 2021, $5.5M in 2022, & 14.5M in 2023)

Extensions:

RB 31 Raheem Mostert to a 4-yerar extension, worth $20M($5M APY, $2,718,922 in 2021, $3M in 2022 & 2023, $4M in 2024, & $5M in 2025)
MLB 54 Fred Warner to a 5-year extension, worth $90M($18M APY, $5,252,547 in 2021, $5.5M in 2022, $10.5M in 2023, $19M in 2024, $27M in 2025, & $25M in 2026)

Potential Re-Sigings:

WR 14 Kevin White to a 1-year deal, worth $850K
CB 23 Ahkello Witherspoon to a 1-year deal, worth $987,500
SS 36 Marcell Harris to a 1-year deal, worth $920K
SS 32 Johnathan Cyprien to a 1-year deal, worth $850K

Cap Room:

2021(On a $175M cap) - $6,386,772
2021(On a $198.2M cap) - $14,296,772

2022(On a $227.5M cap, with a 2021 cap of $175M) - ($14,215,890)
2022(On a $227.5M cap, with a 2021 cap of $198.2M) - ($12,706,890)

2023(On a $241M cap, with a 2021 cap of $175M) - $28,767,509
2023(On a $241M cap, with a 2021 cap of $198.2M) - $39,657,509

2024(On a $256M cap, with a 2021 cap of $175M) - $108,923,000
2024(On a $256M cap, with a 2021 cap of $198.2M) - $108,293,000

Don't be scared by the 2022 cap room, or overage, for that year they can restructure Kittle's deal, and save $8.423M, also if they pick up Mike McGlinchey's 5th-year option, it would either be $12.525M if the 2021 cap is $175M, or $14.666M if the 2021 cap is $198.2M, the reason for the difference is that the 5th-year option is based off of the previous years transition tag number if the player is a top 10 pick, which McGlinchey was. It could also be in between, as we don't know for sure what the 2021 cap will be set at, it's looking more likely, unless the NFL gets a huge amount of revenue, the cap will be on the lower end, which means the team will need to get creative with restructurings, on a $175M cap, they'd NEED to redo Jimmy(I look at it as an extension if he keeps playing well), AA, Ward, Richburg, Ford, and Kwon, on a $198.2M cap, then just Jimmy, AA, Ward, and Ford, they could get away with not redoing Dee's deal, but they'd lose $11.26M in cap room from my 2021 cap number.

Also, the RFA tenders will be different, if the cap is $175M the 2nd rd tender would be around $2.914M, or $3.259M on a $198.2M cap, I expect both Mullens and Moseley to get the 2nd rd tender level.
^^ AB I know you're all about resigning every niner, but there is absolutely no reason to resign Coleman...none.

If Blair doesn't come back this yr, I see no point in resigning him. I also don't see how he would get more than Hyder? Solomon Thomas? Nope. Take all that extra $ and get a meaningful edge rusher.

While I love Bourne, I'd let him test the market out. I'd also let Tartt test out the market. Same with Sherm.

I'd also be very leery of restructuring any of the following Ford/Richburg/Kwon. They gotta stop pushing money down the road on guys that just can't stay healthy. Pull the band-Aid.

No more giving meaningful money to guys that can't stay healthy, no more pushing money down the road in hopes they can stay healthy...
Originally posted by NYniner85:
^^ AB I know you're all about resigning every niner, but there is absolutely no reason to resign Coleman...none.

If Blair doesn't come back this yr, I see no point in resigning him. I also don't see how he would get more than Hyder? Solomon Thomas? Nope. Take all that extra $ and get a meaningful edge rusher.

While I love Bourne, I'd let him test the market out. I'd also let Tartt test out the market. Same with Sherm.

I'd also be very leery of restructuring any of the following Ford/Richburg/Kwon. They gotta stop pushing money down the road on guys that just can't stay healthy. Pull the band-Aid.

No more giving meaningful money to guys that can't stay healthy, no more pushing money down the road in hopes they can stay healthy...

I mentioned at the bottom that I wouldn't re-sign Coleman, but I believe Shanny will fight to keep him, he is a good blocker, but I'd move on.

Blair I have back, probably too high I agree, just like him, had a back break with the ACL tear in the Seahawks game.

Bourne I'd re-sign due to no other real threat at WR besides Deebo and Aiyuk. I'd re-sign Tartt for sure, he's had a really good season. I agree with Sherman, I'd either let him test the market/walk, or re-sign on super team friendly deal, only if he can return this season, if not, don't re-sign, I'm fine with EMan, Verrett, and K'Waun at CB.

Unfortunately the restructuring has to be done to keep our guys, the main ones like Trent, K'Waun, Juice, Jones, Tartt.
Originally posted by AB81Rules:
I mentioned at the bottom that I wouldn't re-sign Coleman, but I believe Shanny will fight to keep him, he is a good blocker, but I'd move on.

Blair I have back, probably too high I agree, just like him, had a back break with the ACL tear in the Seahawks game.

Bourne I'd re-sign due to no other real threat at WR besides Deebo and Aiyuk. I'd re-sign Tartt for sure, he's had a really good season. I agree with Sherman, I'd either let him test the market/walk, or re-sign on super team friendly deal, only if he can return this season, if not, don't re-sign, I'm fine with EMan, Verrett, and K'Waun at CB.

Unfortunately the restructuring has to be done to keep our guys, the main ones like Trent, K'Waun, Juice, Jones, Tartt.

Ah sorry didn't see that on the bottom. McKinnon is a better blocker IMO. Coleman gotta go.

Yeah we're in a pickle regarding the restructuring of some guys. Jimmy should be restructured. If watching sherm walks means we don't have to push money down the road for one of our high end guys (Kwon/Richburg/Ford) then I can live with that. I like Tartt, but that might be a spot we could live with a draft pick or cheaper vet. I don't think Jones is gonna come back either.

They need to clean up the cap a little imo. They will also get some decent comp picks.

we can't keep everybody and shouldn't. Ward and Tartt don't make much of a difference to be resigned when we need to save money to pay better players. DJ Jones really hasn't shown much to be resigned in my opinion. Mckinnon and Coleman both need to be gone. We do need to resign Williams. I'd rather have him over Sherman at this point in there careers. Sherm leg issues aren't going to get better
The only reason we'd keep Coleman is if Shanny wanted to keep him as a vet presence.

Hasty looks good, damn good, and if he continues to ball then he should move up the chart.

Mostert, Wilson, Hasty sounds fine to me with us picking up another late round or UDFA to develop behind them.

Kwon/Ford are sticking points. Our FO/scouts seem to have a good handle on the prototypical LB for our system, and I would back them to find someone to develop behind Warner/Greenlaw if we could move Kwon.

For just can't stay available. Right now it's a waste of cap and roster spot.

Secondary is an interesting one. Verret, E-Man and Sherm are all starting quality DB's, but I would look to keep all 3 just because Spoon doesn't look likely to be kept and having just Verret, E-Man with ??? Behind them is a little scary.

Safeties I'd be more at ease switching up because we do have depth behind them.

Ford/Kwon are the ones that make me uneasy. Restructuring them further really backs us into a corner and I'm not really keen on that.

Great read BTW AB.
[ Edited by JaggedJ on Oct 26, 2020 at 2:21 PM ]
What's happening with Tomlinson? This his last year? *edit* sorry AB - I'm assuming he could be the Veteran mentioned under OG
[ Edited by Wagga49er on Oct 28, 2020 at 9:57 PM ]
Originally posted by Wagga49er:
What's happening with Tomlinson? This his last year? *edit* sorry AB - I'm assuming he could be the Veteran mentioned under OG

I'm having a tough time with Laken, I like him and all, he's a good run blocker, but poor pass blocker. The restructure hurts, cause now they'd have more dead money in 2021 if they cut him. I guess they could just do the same thing in 2021 and restructure him, with voidable years, which unfortunately creates more dead money in 2022.
Originally posted by lamontb:
we can't keep everybody and shouldn't. Ward and Tartt don't make much of a difference to be resigned when we need to save money to pay better players. DJ Jones really hasn't shown much to be resigned in my opinion. Mckinnon and Coleman both need to be gone. We do need to resign Williams. I'd rather have him over Sherman at this point in there careers. Sherm leg issues aren't going to get better

I Agree with you. I think it is time to rebuild the Backfield. Let Ward and Tartt go, replace with Moore and Harris/draft pick/FA.
Sherman shouldn't be re signed unless it is very team friendly. I too would rather keep Williams and possibly Verrett(do not give him a big contract!). We have Eman and maybe a 1st round corner/Verrett starting.

Solomon Thomas has already stolen enough money from the team and needs to go to the XFL.
DJ Jones will command a decent pay day due to the nature of overpaying in FA and I don't think he should be re signed.

I would keep Hyder and try to find diamonds in the rough similar to Hyder who don't cost much but will produce.

Warner will and should be payed as top1 or top2 LB in the NFL.

Get rid of Kwon

Get rid of Dee Ford if injuries persist.

To be honest next year might be sort of a soft reboot and we might see a lot of new guys on the team.

We can't and shouldn't keep non producers and injuries Flies.

Mckinnon must go, I would get rid of Coleman and keep Mostert, Hasty, and Wilson Jr. Sign UDFAs for the Win.

Get rid of Bourne unless he signs for the vet Minimum

Get rid of Taylor, James and Pettis

We need fresh blood from the end of the draft rds 6-7th plus Hungry UDFAs for new receivers.

Too much money is tied up in Non producers and injuries Flies this year and it is f**king up the ability to trade for someone who could have helped us on the Edge this year on our quest to the Super Bowl, which we still have a excellent shot due to the weak NFC this year
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