Originally posted by Waterbear:
Originally posted by SD49er:
I've tried to read through all of this, plus the game thread. It seems to me that most of the dissenters over the win essentially claim that there is no value in the win, we said that wins last year would translate different, and that one player, Bosa, will change us from a crappy 3 win team to a contender.
The problem I have with these assertions is that it ignores the objective benefits of these wins. If we are really just a bad 2 win team blowing our chances then Bosa won't save the team anyway, because it will mean these last two drafts were bombs and we are completely screwed. There's no doubt that draft one for Lynch had a ton of mistakes (overdraftibg Thomas, the foster debacle, shanahan joe Williams infatuation, etc), but what we are seeing is a team that went from a one win team without jimmy to a 4-6 win team without jimmy because of young players developing. This win has objective value because it wasn't a fluke - it was a win by a mostly first and second year team learning to win agjnsy a very good Seattle team. This is a win because thomas, kittle, tt, Breida, DJ Jones, Mullins, mcglinchy, Pettis, Warner, Moore, Exum, Harris, and lee - all guys drafted by this regime, played great. These players development has more value that the opportunity cost of Bosa, which is just the difference between whatever player we draft and him.
We only won games last year because of jimmy, now we are winning games without jimmy - this is tangible objective improvement. This entire season has basically been an exhibition since Jimmy's injury. Now we have real hope that this team is actually improving. I hope we beat the bears and believe we can. This will only further show the positive changes we are witnessing. Go 49ers!
The arguement that I have been trying to make is that getting Bosa would be more beneficial to our future than this win and not that it would make us overnight contenders by that one move alone.
I don't understand this next point you are making. Please let me know if I get it wrong. Are you saying that we can only improve if we won that game? If we had lost the game by a close margin (which we easily could have if some of the penalties weren't called) would the players not improve? I have said repeatedly that experience is what these young players need and it is clear that they are improving. I just don't think there is any evidence to say you have to win or you won't get better. I remember that year we had with the Brett Favre touchdown in the back of the end zone. We lost so many heartbreaking games that I honestly believe may have helped us more than any win did. Not saying losing is better but I just don't think you can prove the outcome of the game to player progress.
I also don't agree that it was only Jimmy last year. Our defense played a lot better late last year and forced a bunch of turnovers in that win streak. Member Jimmy didn't put up all those points in the Jags game he had help. Then a lot of those rookie players regressed this year like Colbert, Witherspoon, T. Taylor among others. Even though Jimmy and McKinnon aren't back their our QB and RB play has been really good.
I believe we are improving but it's not because of the wins or losses it's because players are getting more comfortable with the scheme. Talent really matters in the NFL though and getting the first pick and coaching the senior bowl could have given us a much needed boost this offseason.
SD49er makes some excellent points in his post.
The perspective with the most significant merit is that 1 or 2 players don't make a team. This is weakness of the tank for Bosa argument.
Bosa only has potential to be an effective player in this league. He could also be a bust as was Forster, Thomas and Williams. He could also get broke like JG and Mackinnon. He could also be inconsistent and injury prone like Witherspoon. Potential does not equal the reality of becoming a great player.
However, the two wins against the Bronco's and Seattle demonstrate that now the team is developing as a team and individual's are rising to the occasion. This will carry over till next year.
This playing standard will be accentuated when JG comes back and with Mackinnon introduced into the run game. We will have much more depth there with Mackinnon and having Breida and Mosert all healed up.
This team only needs tinkering. Two adjustments to the Oline at centre and a guard. Another effective experienced WR now Garcon looks spend and we are getting close to what we need to start with to get more early wins next season.
The notion that we are doomed by not getting the 1st Draft and Bosa does not carry much weight relative to the bigger issue of team cohesion and being at full strength. The team is gelling with each other and collectively getting their heads around the play books.
I am optimistic about next year where as this time last year I was just full of wishful thinking.