So I ended up breaking down and subscribing to Football Outsiders. It's got some pretty cool info. As I do I decided to throw together a chart about Kyle's QBs as a playcaller. This is based on a QB with 200 attempts in the season. In the event there were more than one at that attempt level I took the numbers of the highest rated guy. So 2018 and 2020 are Nick and 2017 is Hoyer.
Here are the categories I looked at:
DYAR-This is Defense-adjusted yards above replacement. This shows a QB in comparison to a replacement level QB given play against the same level of defense. Number is represented in a league ranking. Basically where the QB ranked that season.
DVOA-This is defense adjusted value over an average QB. The higher the number the better. Negative means that it's below average QB play.
The last chart is based on distances of throws. FO breaks down the passing distances into four categories: Short, Mid, Deep and Bomb. For my chart, I have combined the Short and Mid. That represents Shorter throws. Therefore, the Deep and Bomb have also been combined and represents the Deeper throws. These numbers are percentages of attempts.
Year DYAR
2008 10th
2009 6th
2010 25th
2011 23rd
2012 11th
2013 29th
2014 24th
2015 19th
2016 1st
2017 27th
2018 24th
2019 11th
2020 25th
Year DVOA
2008 18.0
2009 29.3
2010 -6.9
2011 -7.9
2012 16.6
2013 -13.1
2014 -5.3
2015 -1.9
2016 39.1
2017 -16.7
2018 4.2
2019 10.8
2020 -7.7
Year Short/Deep pass ratio
2008 85% / 15%
2009 83% / 17%
2010 83% / 17%
2011 79% / 21%
2012 83% / 17%
2013 82% / 18%
2014 78% / 22%
2015 86% / 14%
2016 81% / 19%
2017 85% / 15%
2018 85% / 15%
2019 87% / 13%
2020 86% / 14%
One of the first things I noticed when looking at these metrics is that for more than half of his playcalling career he has had below average QB play (negative DVOA number indicate this). On the flipside, the last 3 times he got double-digit DVOA play from his QB the offenses where electric. Each scoring well over 400+ points (470+ for our SB team and 540+ for his Atl SB team). Another thing is that Kyle's passing game profile from an air yard perspective, has a career ave of about 84% of the passing game operating in the Short to Mid range and 16% more towards the Deeper sectors. Interesting to note that the most vertical his passing game got was with Rex Grossman and Cleveland Brian Hoyer.
As for Kyle's offense, it really has developed over the years. In houston, it was basically his Pop's and Kubiak's offense. Of course it added elements of the read-option in Was with RGIII and since he's been with us the ground game in particular has become this really exciting scheme that uses the tried and true ZBS and it's also more gap and power runs than any of the other guys considered a Zone Blocking ground game. The jet sweep run/pass stuff is a nice wrinkle that allows him to attack the edges and kinda try to hide some fault pass pro (especially in the interior and especially on known passing situations.....IMO, this is still the biggest opportunity for advancement in his offense. We just have to get the damn pass pro figured out).
What's gonna be interesting is how Trey finds himself in this offense in the next couple of years. If his running translate (I really think it will) and you add the element of the QB to this scheme it could be pretty damn unfair. Seriously, the only time in Kyle's playcalling career he ran more than passed was with RGIII....its not all QB running either. It's what the threat of the QB run does to a defense. That's why I kinda think if Trey is who we hope he is we will actually run more as an offense.
[ Edited by Niners816 on Jul 2, 2021 at 11:36 AM ]
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