Originally posted by Shorteous:
Missing the playoffs and a loss in the divisional round opens those teams up to getting the cupboard raided by the teams needing coaches. This is one of the reason the niners always had their coaches raided during the dark days and why we have been barely touched since Harbaugh started taking us to the NFC Championship games.
Nah, you're completely wrong and that suggestion makes no sense. Losing our OC's in back-to-back years was more the result of bad luck than anything. When McCarthy was hired away, the team had just gone 4-12. It is seriously not a typical thing for teams to fill their coaching vacancies with people from 4-12 teams. You don't see teams lining up to hire away assistants from the Raiders, Jaguars, or Browns this year. It turned out to be the right hire for them, but was still extremely unusual given the circumstances at the time.
The next year the Chargers were idiots and fired Schottenheimer very late in the off-season after going 14-2 and one and done in the playoffs. AJ Smith hated him but couldn't justify immediately firing the guy after going 14-2, but after a s**t-ton of his assistants were poached by other teams, including the Niners who hired away LB coach Greg Manusky, Smith decided to fire him. The most attractive head-coaching candidates were already hired by other teams and Smith settled for Norv Turner, who considering his prior head-coaching experiences at Oakland and Washington was not a very sexy hire or really anyone's first choice. Then of course, the Niners were screwed in trying to find an outside replacement for him since teams are only obligated by the league to allow assistants to be hired away for head-coaching jobs, not other assistant positions. Multiple teams denied permission to interview their up-and-coming assistants since it was so late in the offseason and the Niners were stuck with promoting the worst OC of all time Jim Hostler.
So yea, the suggestion that teams hire their head coaches from bad teams that don't make the playoffs makes absolutely no sense. Just look around the league and all the new hires every year and you will see that is almost never the case. If you said teams that go one-and-done in the playoffs tend to lose their assistants, that's another story.
[ Edited by biggiep on Jan 8, 2014 at 4:44 PM ]