Originally posted by PTulini:
Originally posted by Eskendale:
I really don't understand why webzoners are focused on the 2nd and 3rd rounds.
There hasn't been a single QB in the last 10 drafts drafted in the 3rd who has led a team to the playoffs.
Outside of Tarvaris Jackson (who might not even be the Vikings QB), the only one who has from the 2nd was picked #1 at the patriot's current spot, and we all know who that man is.
You have equal odds of getting a playoff QB who's undrafted (Romo) or from the 6th round (Matt Cassel).
Why reach for a QB then when someone like Harbaugh gives higher grades to people that end up falling anyway?
What are you saying?
Simply put: the odds of taking a 2nd day pick versus a 3rd day pick on a QB are roughly the same in the last 10 drafts concerning the probability that he will lead the 49ers to the playoffs.
Furthermore, if Harbaugh can give Tony Romo a 2nd round grade and see him be a UDFA, then I am sure that in this draft he will find someone else who has a high grade (for him) that no one else will want. In this case he can just wait to pluck up his guy on the 3rd day.
I posted a link to my analysis of playoff QBs in OTC's latest mock thread for the last 10 drafts.
People are worried that if they don't get Stanzi or someone else in the 2nd, then all is lost. All I am saying is that the probability of Stanzi in the 2nd / 3rd or some random 6th round pick (like a Matt Cassel) or even UDFA (like Romo) being our ticket to the playoffs is the same, according to how the last 10 drafts have played out. There is absolutely no need to reach for anyone just because of a rush on QBs, unless you're doing the reaching in the 1st round (which is tricky in itself).
In the last 10 drafts concerning playoff 1st rounders, out of Rivers, Manning, Roethlisberger, Rodgers, Flacco, Ryan, Vince Young, Cutler, and Sanchez only Cutler was considered a reach at the time he was drafted by Shanahan, but he still would've been a 1st rounder.
[ Edited by Eskendale on Apr 27, 2011 at 17:29:25 ]