Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports


San Francisco 49ers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds and pick - Week 1, 2019

Sep 4, 2019 at 12:00 AM0


The San Francisco 49ers kick off their much-anticipated 2019 season in sunny Florida on Sunday, bringing more offensive weapons, a significantly upgraded pass rush and a healthy Jimmy Garoppolo to face a Tampa Bay Buccaneers team that is now led by Bruce Arians. Here we discuss the odds and analysis from a betting perspective.

When: Sunday September 8th, 2019 at 1:25 PST (FOX)
Where: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, Florida
Line: 49ers PK, o/u at 50

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Tampa Bay devolved into one of the worst defenses in the league by the end of 2018 and lost Gerald McCoy and Kwon Alexander. The offensive line and running games are question marks, and likely weaknesses, and Jameis Winston still has yet to prove he can make news for things other than blunders.

But Bruce Arians is a major upgrade at coach, as is new defensive coordinator Todd Bowles, who won the AP assistant coach of the year award for his 2014 effort as defensive coordinator for the Arizona Cardinals while Bruce Arians was head coach.

San Francisco 49ers: The Niners have assembled what could be one of the most formidable front sevens in the league, including Nick Bosa and Dee Ford joining fellow first-round picks Arik Armstead, DeForest Buckner and Solomon Thomas. Jason Verrett, who has not played a regular season NFL game since rupturing his Achilles tendon on July 27th, 2018, was signed to cornerback for a secondary that had only two interceptions in 2018.

Jimmy Garoppolo is healthy but who knows for sure how his mind and surgically-repaired knee will respond to full throttle NFL speed or how well a Niners offensive line that conceded 48 sacks in 2018 will be able to protect him. Tevin Coleman and Matt Breida have the potential to be quite a one-two punch in the running game and could find more room as defenses try and focus on George Kittle, Marquise Goodwin, Dante Pettis, Deebo Samuel and Trent Taylor.

Prediction: ESPN's NFL Football Power Index is based off of expected offensive, defensive and special teams efficiency (FPI) and has the 49ers at 0.4 and Bucs at -3.0, and we would agree that San Francisco has a better running game and defense but some might argue that Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and O.J. Howard are right up there with San Francisco's top receivers.

Say what you want about Jameis Winston, but he's won more road games in the NFL than Jimmy Garoppolo and had a higher total QBR (68.6) than Garoppolo (29.9) in 2018, and Tampa Bay's offensive line gave up eight fewer sacks than the Niners did in 2018 and had a 6.6% sack rate compared to San Francisco's 8.0% last year.

Robert Saleh is improving as a defensive coordinator and the Niners have more talent on defense, but Tampa added Ndamukong Suh, drafted linebacker Devin White with the fifth overall pick in 2019, and has Todd Bowles, who will get the most out of the defense.

If San Francisco has better players, that advantage could be slightly muted by this game being on the east coast in 88 degree weather, and we see this being a very close match up and the line reflects it.

Ultimately, we see the difference in this game coming down to coaching. Bruce Arians has more of a proven record in the NFL and Kyle Shanahan went the entire 2018 season without winning a road game, having won the only three road games of his head coaching career at the end of 2017 against teams that had absolutely nothing to play for.

Tampa Bay has beaten the 49ers in two straight games, including 27-9 last season in Week 12 at Tampa Bay, and Bruce Arians has beaten the Niners in six straight, seven of eight contests, and he is likely to find ways to exploit San Francisco's secondary, all of which lead us to give the edge to the Bucs. Pick: Tampa Bay PK

Poll

  • What is your best bet for 49ers at Buccaneers on 9/8/19?
  • 49ers PK
    77%
  • Under 50
    10%
  • Buccaneers PK
    7%
  • Over 50
    6%
  • 1,138 votes
The views within this article are those of the writer and, while just as important, are not necessarily those of the site as a whole.


0 Comments

  • No Comments

Facebook Comments



More San Francisco 49ers News



2019 49ers vs. 2021 49ers, Part 1 (Offense)

By Marc Adams
Jul 23, 2021

How well do the 2021 49ers stack up to the 2019 team? Lately I have listened to some podcasts and read some tweets comparing the current San Francisco 49ers team (2021) to the 2019 team that fell just short of winning the Super Bowl. I find the comparison interesting. And since many people quickly assume the 2021 49ers are not as good as the 2019 team, I wanted to take a look for myself. So as we prepare for the team to report on Tuesday, let's compare the two teams, position by position. For the purpose of this very scientific experiment, we will assume everyone is healthy (even though that never happens). Let's start on offense. The defensive comparison is coming soon. Offense Quarterback:



2019 49ers vs. 2021 49ers, Part 2 (Defense)

By Marc Adams
Jul 24, 2021

How well do the 2021 49ers stack up to the 2019 team? Yesterday, we took a look at the 2021 San Francisco 49ers offense to see how it compares to the team's offense from 2019. Some have said this year's team will be better than the 2019 team, while others have suggested that won't be the case. In our very scientific investigation, we determined the 2021 offense will be better than the 2019 offense. Today, we will take a look at the defenses. Interior Defensive Line Leading up to the 2020 draft, the 49ers traded away DeForest Buckner. They selected



49ers training camp practice schedule and media availability - Week 1

By Site Staff
Jul 26, 2021

Training camp is about to kick off and the San Francisco 49ers will hold four consecutive days of practice starting on Wednesday. Head coach Kyle Shanahan and general manager John Lynch will open the week by speaking to reporters on Tuesday, followed by select players. Defensive coordinator DeMeco Ryans and offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel are also scheduled to speak during the week. The 49ers will make the press conferences available at 49ers.com, and on the team's official mobile app and YouTube page. Below



49ers sign 3rd-round draft pick Trey Sermon to 4-yr, $4.9 million deal

By David Bonilla
Jul 21, 2021

The San Francisco 49ers announced that the team has signed running back Trey Sermon, who played college football at Ohio State and Oklahoma, to his four-year rookie deal. The 49ers selected him in the third round of the 2021 NFL Draft with the No. 88 overall pick. Making it official! The #49ers have signed @treyera to a four-year deal.— San Francisco 49ers (@49ers)


Featured

More by Winston Chung

More Articles

Share 49ersWebzone