Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports


San Francisco 49ers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds and pick - Week 1, 2019

Sep 4, 2019 at 12:00 AM0


The San Francisco 49ers kick off their much-anticipated 2019 season in sunny Florida on Sunday, bringing more offensive weapons, a significantly upgraded pass rush and a healthy Jimmy Garoppolo to face a Tampa Bay Buccaneers team that is now led by Bruce Arians. Here we discuss the odds and analysis from a betting perspective.

When: Sunday September 8th, 2019 at 1:25 PST (FOX)
Where: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, Florida
Line: 49ers PK, o/u at 50

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Tampa Bay devolved into one of the worst defenses in the league by the end of 2018 and lost Gerald McCoy and Kwon Alexander. The offensive line and running games are question marks, and likely weaknesses, and Jameis Winston still has yet to prove he can make news for things other than blunders.

But Bruce Arians is a major upgrade at coach, as is new defensive coordinator Todd Bowles, who won the AP assistant coach of the year award for his 2014 effort as defensive coordinator for the Arizona Cardinals while Bruce Arians was head coach.

San Francisco 49ers: The Niners have assembled what could be one of the most formidable front sevens in the league, including Nick Bosa and Dee Ford joining fellow first-round picks Arik Armstead, DeForest Buckner and Solomon Thomas. Jason Verrett, who has not played a regular season NFL game since rupturing his Achilles tendon on July 27th, 2018, was signed to cornerback for a secondary that had only two interceptions in 2018.

Jimmy Garoppolo is healthy but who knows for sure how his mind and surgically-repaired knee will respond to full throttle NFL speed or how well a Niners offensive line that conceded 48 sacks in 2018 will be able to protect him. Tevin Coleman and Matt Breida have the potential to be quite a one-two punch in the running game and could find more room as defenses try and focus on George Kittle, Marquise Goodwin, Dante Pettis, Deebo Samuel and Trent Taylor.

Prediction: ESPN's NFL Football Power Index is based off of expected offensive, defensive and special teams efficiency (FPI) and has the 49ers at 0.4 and Bucs at -3.0, and we would agree that San Francisco has a better running game and defense but some might argue that Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and O.J. Howard are right up there with San Francisco's top receivers.

Say what you want about Jameis Winston, but he's won more road games in the NFL than Jimmy Garoppolo and had a higher total QBR (68.6) than Garoppolo (29.9) in 2018, and Tampa Bay's offensive line gave up eight fewer sacks than the Niners did in 2018 and had a 6.6% sack rate compared to San Francisco's 8.0% last year.

Robert Saleh is improving as a defensive coordinator and the Niners have more talent on defense, but Tampa added Ndamukong Suh, drafted linebacker Devin White with the fifth overall pick in 2019, and has Todd Bowles, who will get the most out of the defense.

If San Francisco has better players, that advantage could be slightly muted by this game being on the east coast in 88 degree weather, and we see this being a very close match up and the line reflects it.

Ultimately, we see the difference in this game coming down to coaching. Bruce Arians has more of a proven record in the NFL and Kyle Shanahan went the entire 2018 season without winning a road game, having won the only three road games of his head coaching career at the end of 2017 against teams that had absolutely nothing to play for.

Tampa Bay has beaten the 49ers in two straight games, including 27-9 last season in Week 12 at Tampa Bay, and Bruce Arians has beaten the Niners in six straight, seven of eight contests, and he is likely to find ways to exploit San Francisco's secondary, all of which lead us to give the edge to the Bucs. Pick: Tampa Bay PK

Poll

  • What is your best bet for 49ers at Buccaneers on 9/8/19?
  • 49ers PK
    77%
  • Under 50
    10%
  • Buccaneers PK
    7%
  • Over 50
    6%
  • 1,138 votes
The views within this article are those of the writer and, while just as important, are not necessarily those of the site as a whole.


0 Comments

  • No Comments

Facebook Comments



More San Francisco 49ers News



2021 NFL Draft Guide: Start time, schedule, odds, and how to watch

By Site Staff
Apr 28, 2021

The 2021 NFL Draft begins this week and will be held with in-person participants after last year's festivities were conducted virtually due to the COVID-19 outbreak. This represents a bit of a return to some normalcy. Although, capacity at the event will be limited due to continued safety concerns. The 2021 NFL Draft will span three days, starting on Thursday night. Below is some information about the league's annual rookie selection event. WHAT: 86th Annual National Football League Player Selection Meeting in Cleveland, Ohio. WHEN: 5:00 PM PT, Thursday, April 29 (Round 1) 4:00 PM PT, Friday, April 30 (Rounds 2-3) 9:00 AM PT, Saturday, May 1 (Rounds 4-7) In 2020, the first round



Justin Fields-to-49ers betting odds fall following draft news that it is down to Mac Jones, Trey Lance

By David Bonilla
Apr 26, 2021

Justin Fields of Ohio State spent about a week as the betting favorite to be the No. 3 overall pick by the San Francisco 49ers on Thursday, surpassing Mac Jones of Alabama. Jones regained the lead and has held onto it for the past five days. During all of that, Trey Lance of North Dakota State had been in the No. 3 spot. On Sunday, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network dropped a bombshell. It was news that had already been rumored, but the story means more when the longtime NFL insider reports it. Rapoport stated that the decision in the 49ers clubhouse has come down to two candidates — Jones and Lance. If accurate, it sounds like Fields may be out. The news has created a shift among betting odds. Jones remains the favorite. He is now following by Lance.



49ers' Trey Lance tied for 3rd-best odds to win Offensive Rookie of the Year

By David Bonilla
May 2, 2021

Right now, new Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence owns the best odds to win Offensive Rookie of the Year honors, per DraftKings SportsBook (h/t to Patrick Tulini). Chicago Bears quarterback Justin Fields has the second-best odds. There is a tie in third place between Zach Wilson of the New York Jets and Trey Lance of the San Francisco 49ers. At least two of those names are likely to be starters during their upcoming rookie campaigns. Lance may not be. With only 17 games of collegiate experience on his resume, the former North Dakota State quarterback is expected to sit and learn behind veteran Jimmy Garoppolo for at least the 2021 season. That was the reason behind holding onto Garoppolo. "I



Bay Area product Aaron Banks calls getting picked by 49ers 'best moment' of his life

By Kirk Larrabee
Apr 30, 2021

After spending his college days more than halfway across the country in South Bend, Indiana, offensive lineman Aaron Banks sounds more than happy to be returning home to start his career in the NFL. Banks, who is a product of Alameda, California, where he played his high school ball at El Cerrito High School, will be coming back to the Bay Area after being selected in the second round of the NFL Draft by the San Francisco 49ers. Not surprisingly, his reaction as well as the reaction of those around him was one of sheer elation when the 49ers announced the news. "It is insane," Banks told reporters after being drafted on Friday. "It's funny because all my high school coaches are here and every single one of them (are) 49ers fans through and through, wearing their


Featured

More by Winston Chung

More Articles

Share 49ersWebzone