Podcast: 49ers/Eagles NFC Championship Preview →
Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports


San Francisco 49ers vs Denver Broncos odds and pick - Week 14, 2018

Dec 6, 2018 at 8:31 AM0


It was just like old times as the San Francisco 49ers got annihilated in Seattle to the tune of a 43-16 trouncing in what was supposed to be a rebuilding season for the Seahawks. Even Kyle Shanahan lost his composure and it now seems that all the F-bombs and innovating coaching in the world can't stop the momentum building toward locking up the number one pick in 2019, as they have nothing but potential playoff teams for the rest of their schedule, starting with the rising Denver Broncos this Sunday. Here we discuss the odds and analysis from a betting perspective.

When: Sunday December 9th at 1:05pm PST (CBS)
Where: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, California
Line: Broncos -4, total at 45.5

Denver Broncos
The Broncos have emerged as playoff contenders after beating the Steelers and Chargers during their current three-game winning streak. Denver's offense is ranked 14th with 365.7 yards per game, 17th with 23.0 points per game and 9th with a weighted offense of 10.3 percent. The Broncos' passing and rushing attacks are ranked 23rd and 5th, respectively.

Denver's defense has re-established itself as a dominant unit, ranking 25th with 382.8 yards allowed per game (though this has been improving lately), 11th with 21.8 points conceded per game and 3rd with a weighted defense of -14.6 percent. The Broncos' passing and rushing defenses are both ranked 23rd.

Case Keenum is ranked 22nd with a DYAR of 140 and 29th with a total QBR of 47.0. Denver is 5th with a weighted DVOA of 23.9 percent, 6-5-1 ATS and 3-8-1 to the over/under this season, covering the spread in its last three games.

San Francisco 49ers
Sinceits win against the Raiders, San Francisco's offense has gradually declined as more teams have figured out Nick Mullens' tendencies. The Niners' offense is 15th with 363.3 yards per game, 22nd with 21.3 points per game and 29th in weighted offense at -16.8 percent. San Francisco's rushing and passing offenses are ranked 21st and 7th, respectively.

The 49ers' defense has been tossed around like a rag doll the past few games, with no let up for the rest of the season, ranking 12th with 348.8 yards surrendered per game, 29th with 28.0 points per game and 26th in weighted defense at 8.2 percent. The Niners' passing and rushing defenses are ranked 13th and 15th, respectively.

Nick Mullens has a DYAR of 72 and total QBR of 57.1. The Niners are 31st with a weighted DVOA of -28.3 percent, 3-9 ATS, 7-5 to the over/under this season, failing to cover in their last three contests.

Prediction
Since vowing to bet against the 49ers in each and every game since their collapse in Arizona, we have improved our ATS record this season and we see no reason to stop now, particularly in this match-up of two teams heading in opposite directions. Case Keenum's numbers may not look much better than Nick Mullens' on paper, but full season statistics are misleading when considering that the Broncos are currently playing much better football than the Niners, reflected by the significantly superior weighted statistics as documented above.

After getting absolutely humiliated by Russell Wilson last week, we do expect San Francisco to show a little more pride this week, which could lead to the game being more tightly contested and lower scoring, making us lean toward the under. But Philip Lindsey and the Broncos defense will ultimately pound the Niners into submission, leading to the win and cover. Pick: Denver -4

Season:
4-7 ATS
8-3 SU

Poll

  • What is your best bet for 49ers vs Broncos on 12/9/18?
  • Broncos -4
    52%
  • 49ers +4
    30%
  • Under 45.5
    11%
  • Over 45.5
    7%
  • 113 votes
The opinions within this article are those of the writer and, while just as important, are not necessarily those of the site as a whole.


0 Comments

  • No Comments

Facebook Comments



More San Francisco 49ers News



San Francisco 49ers are 2.5-point dogs at the Philadelphia Eagles - 2023 NFC Championship odds and pick

By Winston Chung
Jan 23

The San Francisco 49ers may have prioritized game management and not won style points in grinding to a 19-12 victory over the Dallas Cowboys in the divisional round, but kept its winning streak alive to advance to the conference championship. The Niners will be underdogs for the first time since Week 8 when they travel to the east coast to take on the number one seeded Philadelphia Eagles to decide who will represent the NFC in the Super Bowl. Here we discuss the odds and analysis from a betting perspective. When: Sunday, January 29th, 2023 at 12:00pm PT (FOX) Where: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Line: 49ers +2.5 (-105), o/u 45.5 Philadelphia Eagles The Philadelphia Eagles laid waste to an



49ers hosting the Cowboys, favored by 3.5 points - 2023 Divisional playoff betting odds and pick

By Winston Chung
Jan 17

The San Francisco 49ers and Brock Purdy started a bit slowly but turned on the burners in the second half to smother and cover against the Seattle Seahawks by the score of 41-23. The Niners will rekindle a classic NFC playoff rivalry when they welcome the Dallas Cowboys in the Divisional playoff round. Here we discuss the odds and analysis from a betting perspective. When: Sunday January 22nd at 3:30pm PT (FOX) Where: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, California Line: 49ers -3.5, o/u 46.5 Dallas Cowboys The Dallas Cowboys proved that the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are who we they thought they were, with the Cowboys defense making Tom Brady look 45 years old and sure that an awakening of the dormant corpse of a Bucs offense would not



49ers' DeMeco Ryans emerges as "top candidate" for Denver Broncos head coach job

By David Bonilla
17 hrs

According to Mike Klis of 9News in the Denver area, San Francisco 49ers defensive coordinator DeMeco Ryans has emerged as a top candidate to become the next head coach of the Denver Broncos. Ryans interviewed in person with the Broncos on January 19, ahead of the 49ers' Divisional Round playoff game against the Dallas Cowboys. The assistant coach also interviewed with the Houston Texans but canceled recently scheduled interviews with the Indianapolis Colts and Arizona Cardinals to focus on this past Sunday's



49ers-Cowboys Injury Report: San Francisco only rules out two players

By David Bonilla
Jan 20

The San Francisco 49ers are preparing for their Divisional Round playoff contest against the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California. There hasn't been much to report as far as injuries this week. The 49ers are relatively healthy entering their second playoff game of the year. Quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo and cornerback Ambry Thomas are the only players who missed each practice this week. As expected, San Francisco has ruled out both players for Sunday's game. Below are the official injury reports for the 49ers and Cowboys, provided by the 49ers Communications staff. Also included are Friday's practice participation reports. San Francisco 49ers Out QB Jimmy Garoppolo (foot), CB Ambry


Featured

More by Winston Chung

More Articles

Share 49ersWebzone