Originally posted by Niners99:
Originally posted by Garcia:
Originally posted by Niners99:
Huff was an accident. Sabean sat on his hands, and when there was nothing left, he settled. Huff had a random career year, and then dropped off.
Relying on that kind of thing is like relying on the lottery.
I like lo-risk moves. Getting Ellsbury or Choo would be high risk (i would still go for Choo but still high risk)
Melky Cabrera for Sanchez? Great ROI
Aubrey Huff. Great ROI (first year)
Marco Scutaro Great ROI
Angel Pagan Phenomenal ROI
Ryan Vogelsong Great ROI
The list goes on.....
We have our Studs, Posey, Pence, and (when going right and not out of shape) Pablo.. and I expect great things from Belt this year.
When we get our LF I suspect a lot of himming and hawing at the un-sexyness of the player but when all is said and done I think we will get someone who will fit in and play there role nicely. I'm confident Sab's has a plan.
Anyone but Andres Torres.
lol is "lo-risk" your patented brand of risk taking?
Huff and Scutaro were fluke lottery jackpots. It was a old platoon 1B and veteran IF depth. He had no idea Huff would have a career year or Scutaro would turn into Derek Jeter down the stretch and into October. Same with Cody Ross. Just mediocre depth guys that got hot. Im not belittling the Giants titles, but we got hot AND got some fantastic breaks in both 2010 and 2012. Im tired of Sabean getting tons of credit for those moves. He was making his usual safe, lame moves, and we stumbled upon some great performances.
Overall hes very good at making smaller trades to bolster areas of need, like RP. In mega trades, he goes full retard. (Nathan/Liriano & Wheeler trades). When it comes to spending big money on outside free agents, he also goes full retard. He really doesnt do anything very well. John Barr and Dick Tidrow have really bailed him out with their eye for drafting starting pitchers. Thats why Sabean has 2 rings.
Funny how you give credit to Barr and Tidrow but no credit to the guy who hired them to do their jobs. A leader doesn't have to do EVERYTHING well since that's generally not a scalable way to run an operation the size of a major league baseball team. He definitely has to hire the right people in the right places though (I'll include Bochy here), who in turn execute the goals/plans of the person who hired them within the boundaries of the resources provided.
Does Sabean make some boneheaded decisions? Absolutely
, and this is where he's most vulnerable to attack by armchair GMs. Terrible trades, awful/wasteful signings and overall some piss-poor decisions. No doubt about it. Most importantly to me though, he's put enough of the right people in the right places and regardless of your perspective on the matter, has made enough GREAT decisions AS THE GENERAL MANAGER, to have won 2 world titles in 4 years.
That can be explained away by giving credit to others and not to the person in charge of putting the pieces of the entire puzzle together. Critics will focus on the blunders, missteps and poor choices, generally reasoning that "a guy making these kinds of mistakes CAN'T be responsible for winning the ultimate prize in his field, 2 times in 4 years. Credit has to go elsewhere; this kind of success must be IN SPITE of his decisions and not BECAUSE of them. I mean, look at all the dumb stuff he's done!" Of course, there's no proof or actual insights provided that this success is experienced in spite of the leader...it's just the story we tell ourselves when things go contrary to our (in this case, very publicly stated) beliefs about the guy or when we can't easily explain the seemingly unexplainable with the information we have available to us.
The narrative fallacy addresses our limited ability to look at sequences of facts without weaving an explanation into them, or, equivalently, forcing a logical link, an arrow of relationship upon them. Explanations bind facts together. They make them all the more easily remembered; they help them make more sense. Where this propensity can go wrong is when it increases our impression of understanding.
—Nassim Nicholas Taleb, The Black Swan