Originally posted by LA9erFan:
If my calculations are correct and league revenue grows at a reasonable rate, we might actually be able to nab 3 legit stars through free agency over the next couple of years, provided that two of them are coming off of their rookie extension. For example...
PG: Rajon Rondo $17.65M
SF: Kevin Durant 22.3M
PF: James McAdoo $2.2M (12th pick in the '14 Draft)
C: Marc Gasol $17.65M
That's $57.6M in projected salary, and our '16 pick (likely late teens, early 20's w/Rondo & Gasol) would make about 1.4M, taking us to $59M in committed salary. The projected salary cap for 2014-15 is $62.1M, so what might it be in '16-17? Is it reasonable to say $66M or so? If so, we could sign a couple of $2.5-3M level players, then a third with the room exception, and then fill out the roster with vet minimum players. Ultimately, that would be a roster with 1 superstar (Durant), 2 solid all-stars (Rondo, Gasol), 1 talented young player going into his 3rd year (McAdoo), 3 role players in the $2.5M - $3M range, 1 rookie in the late teens/early 20's, and a couple of decent vet min guys. That's a title contender that's top heavy but also has a rotation that's 8-9 deep.
I really, really hope that if we miss out on LeBron, we're patient and try to land cheaper max-level guys the next year. Please, no Melo.
I don't hope we miss out on LeBron but I think we aren't getting him regardless. Melo, agreed, would rather he not come here (despite the fact that I'm a fan of his).
But then have you thought about what would happen next summer if we don't land either? We have all that cap space so what do we do with it? And don't think of it from a "what should we do" perspective but more so what have all signs (what has leaked regarding managements mindset as well as past moves can both be used to get a fairly decent forecast) pointed to?
Let's have a couple fixed variables...
1. All RFAs stay with their respective teams.
2. Bron/Melo do not come to LA
3. Pau and Kobe both resign for reasonable contracts, both 2-3 year deals
With that said, we're looking at our own guys (Pau, Kobe, Nash, Sacre) along with the remains of the 2014 FA crop of Luol Deng, Dirk, Danny Granger, maybe Wade/Bosh, Kyle Lowry, and a bunch of other s**t...
If we miss on Melo/Bron, there isn't ANYTHING after that to spend money on but regardless
, money will have
to be spent (or at least 90% of it). So what's the plan then? You don't want to put it all on Kobe/Pau if you don't have to. You have to remove the mindset that we will just rebuild in a traditional way because all signs point to us NOT doing that (plus, this is a hypothetical situation with fixed variables).
The closest we can get to your situation is if we went after guys like Vince Carter, Dirk, Marion, a few other old guys and offered them all 1-year deals to come to LA and see if they could make it work with Kobe/Pau/Nash. We would basically be merging the Mavericks with us. I don't think it's too far-fetched to say that the chances of that plan coming together are pretty damn low.
P.S. Kurt Rambis was brought onto the coaching staff the other day.