Originally posted by SanDiego49er:
Ok. You need a better record than them to get the division win and homefield advantage. You have to figure 8 - 0 at home for them or at least 7 - 1. AZ beat them this year 1 game but it was shocking and unusual. They lost 1 game up there in 2 years ever. That's an amazing advantage IMO.
If you start out 8 - 0 from homefield advantage all you need to do is split the rest of your games 4 - 4 to get to 12 - 4. Or go 5 - 3 to get to 13 - 3. They are likely to have monstrous records for years to come. At least half of your away games got to be weak teams. So figure 4 - 4 at worst. Results in 12 - 4 at worst. We got to be 14 - 2 or 15 - 1 to beat them. That's really asking a lot. A lot!.....
Give me a break. You know how many games they barely pulled out by the skin of their teeth? They easily could have had another 3 or 4 losses meanwhile 49ers lost some absurdly close games this season. They had a tremendous amount of luck at times, just like with that pass deflection into Smith's waiting hands but luck is fleeting, I think people remember the luck the 49ers had in the 2011 season at times, over time it does balance out. Their free agent situation is a lot a lot more dire than the 49ers. McDonald and several of their defensive linemen are all free agents, they are already right up against the cap as it is so there will be some cap casualties.
Basically, this season, they did what the 49ers did in 1994, loaded up to the gills with players they couldn't afford long-term to make a run at winning a Superbowl. The 49ers went up and played them as closely as they did, even with the b******t reffing and the turnovers and were in it until the last seconds. Psychologically that is a huge departure from getting ripped a new one when going up there. I think 49ers have the confidence that they can go up there and beat them. For next season, the 49ers are in better shape at least and as long as the injury issues can be kept at bay, they'll have a very good season.
[ Edited by Phoenix49ers on Jan 22, 2014 at 6:32 AM ]