Originally posted by KeenaTurner:
1) Lock-down secondary. Seattle has the best secondary that the NFL has seen in a long, long time. They lock down receivers, even good receivers, with man to man, press coverage, which allows them to commit more players to the line of scrimmage. How do you see our receivers getting open? Which leads us to the biggest concern...
2) Kaepernick's inability to go through progressions. When your prime receiver(s) is locked up, the QB has to move through his progressions to other options. This has been an achilles heel of Kaepernick, who seems to panic when his first option is covered. I've been hoping they would establish some easy check-downs to backs, but that's not happening much. How do you think Kap will responds when he looks out and sees his first/second options covered?
3) The inability to audible. The crowd noise will likely prevent audibles from the line of scrimmage. Hand signals are tough to count on. The Seahawks seem to play off the noise by shifting though different defensive sets before the snap. How do you think the 49ers handle this?
4) Snap count. Related to the above. When you can't hear the QB's snap call, you have to be looking over at the center/QB. My lineman friends tell me that's a disadvantage because it shaves time off your release, when you are looking sideways. The only thing I've heard to counter it is timed snaps, but those are iffy.
5) Lack of fullback. Let's assume Tukuafu is out...I assume Dixon will have the starting fullback role. At 230, he's not the 293 pound load of Tuke…Do you think he will be enough?
Thanks for your insights, and GO NINERS.
1. Go deep
w/ Boldin/Crabtree/Patton/Davis and loosen up the press-coverage. Go shotgun with 2/3 WR's with a TE option. Have 2 WR's run a fly and have the TE either do an out/in/or curl. With 3 WR's sets in nickle/dime defenses do the same with another WR doing a deep curl. Have hot reads on blitzes. Play more sandlot and just let Kap execute.
2. Tell Kap to 1) run or 2) check-down quickly. Take the easy yards. There are so many missed opportunities with wide-open check downs and open running lanes. I don't think Kap does this because he panics. He always waits for the last moment for bigger plays to open up because he's aggressive and has a killer instinct. Occasionally he makes big plays because he waits, but he should make quicker decisions to run and check-down. The coaches tried to keep Kap from running more early in the season, but this isn't the time to keep the reigns on Kap. I blame a lot of this on the coaches.
3a. Take shots early to take the crowd out of the game. Bill Walsh always made it a point to execute long passes early specifically to take the crowd out of the game.
3b. Run a no-huddle or two-minute drill! (I doubt they do this because Harbaugh and Roman think they are too smart and like over-complicating things.) That's one way to take the crowd out of the game and keep the offense in control. Harbaugh/Roman outsmart themselves by always having the offense wait until the last second to react against defensive schemes. That lets the crowd noise build up. With a two-minute drill, the crowd really never gets into it. The Harbaugh/Roman system is over-complicated and too cute. They think they are chessmasters and try to make their offense chess players. The niners probably have the most talented players in the NFL and are often better playing sandlot football. Pete Carroll doesn't play chess. He let's his players play. He simplifies things. He blitzes and gambles at key moments. The niners would win a sandlot game if it weren't for Roman & Harbaugh.
4. Like point 3. If the niners simplified the offense and allowed Kap to run a 2-minute drill, they can design a simple strategy for quick snap counts. Unfortunately our coaching chessmasters will rather focus on super-complicated play designs to try to trick the defense with a double reverse pass to Joe Staley and be proud they were able to execute it. If you are Bill Walsh and you design complex plays and execute it's great. If you are not Bill Walsh and design complex plays it's bad because plays will be difficult to execute and even if you do execute it's not even that effective.
5. Dixon may not be as a good a blocker, but he'll be adequate.