Originally posted by NCommand:
10-13M per year. Bank on it.
That's possible, but the only way I can see that, is if it's a three or four year deal, and I don't like a short term deal for either side, for many reasons.
Kap is going to want a long-term deal, he wants his team committed to him, and obviously, he would want more guaranteed money that comes with the longer deal.
Kap is going to be around 30 in 3 - 4 years. That is not the ideal time to sign a long term contract, especially with his running ability, so he will spend his whole career playing for short 3 - 4 year deals.
The 49ers will save more money in the LONG RUN if they signed him to a long-term contract. You don't buy high and sell low, or buy at market and sell at market; rather, you buy low, sell high. A short term contract will either give us a player who makes exactly what he is worth at WORST, and at best it will give us a superstar who will command an even bigger salary in a few short years.
Are we really killing our team by signing him for around 15 - 20, with a reasonable inflation curve? In 3 - 4 years, for all we know, the way the inflation is soaring in the NFL, he might command 30 million a year. We don't know that he won't. Wouldn't it be nice to have a top quarterback at 22 million in 5 years, when Russell Wilson and plenty others are making at least 30 million per? Inflation comes FAST
. That is why longer term deals are essential if you want to save the most money. "Buy in bulk" so to speak.
30 million sounds impossible? Sure, that's what they would have said five years ago about 20 million per.
Let's make the smart move and lock him up, and not be penny wise, pound foolish.
[ Edited by BrianGO on Feb 18, 2014 at 7:27 PM ]