Last #1 NFC seed to win the super bowl: 2009 Saints
EDIT: Last #1 NFC seed to win the super bowl before that: Probably the 1999 St. Louis Rams....(I throw this to show the percentage difficulty Seattle would have to overcome.....2 of the last 13/14 teams)
Last #1 NFC seed to make the super bowl before that: 2006 Chicago Bears
Last ten years of NFC seeds making the bowl:
2012 - 49ers #2
2011 - Giants #4
2010 - Packers #6
2009 - Saints #1
2008 - Cardinals #4
2007 - Giants #5
2006 - Bears #1
2005 - Seahawks #1
2004 - Eagles #1
2003 - Panthers #3
2002 - Buccaneers - #2
50/50 split of the NFC champs making it with a first round bye vs. playing in the wildcard round.
That's going back ten years. The recent history has been more relevant of course.
Interesting to note that the 2005 Steelers were the first wildcard to make the super bowl (I'm pretty sure on this), and as a 6 seed beat the #1 Seahawks in the Super Bowl.
With respect to our San Francisco 49ers......defensively the team is fine. I think once the offense gets into a groove and Crabtree comes back we will be in good shape. Whether it will be enough remains to be seen.
Last year's team certainly had higher peaks than this year, but we got hit with injuries at the worst time and whether we want to admit it or not, Kaepernick benefited from a lot of things going right last year to make him as successful as he was (no film on him, Delanie & Moss clearly were more valuable than we thought, pistol/read option was a problem for teams, and the lack of pressure as a backup QB trying to make it).
The playoffs you could see the issues coming up and what people don't realize is like today, we got a huge punt return break to blow a game wide open (Packers game may have ended in a rout, but it sure as hell didn't start that way.....and I'm not just talking the pick 6 either). Falcons 17-0 lead wasn't awesome either....and I won't touch the game in February.
I think the team's "veteran-ness" is definitely getting better each year in the Harbaugh era. It's not as appreciated because unfortunately the rest of the NFL obsessing over beating us has led to offensive struggles and a defense that doesn't always look ultra dominant. I and many others felt we would go into N.O. and play tough and possibly win, and that almost (should have) happened. Holding NO to 23 points in their dome considering everything I thought was pretty impressive.
5 or 6 seed......so long as the strong and HEALTHY 49ers show up in January, we have a very legitimate shot.
[ Edited by JTsBiggestFan on Nov 17, 2013 at 11:27 PM ]