Originally posted by tjd808185:
Originally posted by Rsrkshn:
Did you see GNielsen's comment a few posts up? He's right. A franchise tag makes the cost of a receiver unreasonably high.
If he doesn't want to accept what the Niners offer (presuming they want to keep him), just tender him as a first rounder (see what the Giants did with Cruz). If the team doesn't want to pay what another team offers him, the Niners walk away with their first rounder. Not bad.
Anyway, I'm not sure that any team will be willing to pay ridiculous money for him. Consider: He's not particularly fast. He's had one 1000 yd season to date. If he wasn't a Niner, a lot of posters would be less effusive with their praise.
He's still got 2 full years before he's a free agent. He puts up 2 more 1,100 8 touchdown seasons and he's easily going get that 45 to 50 million contract.
Personally I wouldn't sweat it. You got to be like the Packers on this one. Keep adding weapons thru the draft and if you can't reach a deal let him walk.
$45/$50 million over what period? 5 years? Two years down the road that may not be too exhorbitant a price to pay for a #1 and the Niners may be players at that price. Crabtree, while excellent, is not an elite, top-five caliber receiver. He probably thinks that he is and I don't blame him for having that confidence, but realistically . . . no, he isn't. So if he looks for that elite paycheck, it'll be difficult for the Niners to accommodate him. There always is a team out there that will overpay for a player, so losing Crabtree is easily foreseeable.
Irrespective, I do concur with your strategy: Follow the Packers model.
IMO there are only two postions one should unhesitating spring for the "elite" cash, if you have the player fitting the bill: QB, obviously, and pass rusher (but only a very special one). That's it. For all other positions, the incremental upgrade between excellent and elite doesn't make that great a difference.
However, keeping developmental players in the pipeline is also key to effectively keeping the ball rolling.