Originally posted by Marvin49:
To be honest, I've been thinking Anthony Davis was the guy they'd let walk. Now that they have resigned him, I'm kinda thinking that they might be able to get them ALL back.
Maybe that's just wishful thinking, but making moves this early tells me they are focused on getting all these deals done WAY, WAY early and effectively get them under market value.
Davis still has 2 years left on his rookie deal. I'm betting that his contract doesn't change till his rookie deal is finished. Anyone care to make any bets on what the market will be for players like him in 2 years?
The numbers for Davis don't seem that bad at all for a high-potential guy that is still extremely young, which is a plus for the 49ers. As for your point about market value you are absolutely correct. Not only will Davis be entering his physical prime in a couple of years, he will have had a couple more years of solid (and steady) production from which to form the basis of his next contract. So yeah, I believe this extension appears to be cost effective.
Long-term, I think Crabtree, Aldon Smith, and Kaepernick will be the expensive trio that may not stay together in 3 years. Based on recent history, expensive WR's almost always seem to hit the market so I'm thinking of those 3 the 9ers are likely to rank Crabtree at the bottom. Not based on talent as he is a #1 WR; the real question is how big will Kaepernick's salary get.
Given our issues on defense in the absence of Justin Smith, I feel the Bowman/Willis tandem may have to be broken up if we want to keep Aldon Smith, Crabtree and Kaepernick. They are great, but they didn't pick up the slack, and quite frankly at their salaries they should have.
[ Edited by bzborow1 on Apr 5, 2013 at 11:02 AM ]