Originally posted by McLovinAlexSmith:
Actually not trolling just wanting more production from our number 1 wr. is that wrong ? If it is I apologize to everyone and just disregard my comment.
there it is again, the myth that a #1 WR must
be a deep threat and consequently a speedster.
Did you know that in 2011 Crabtree was 25% of our offensive output?
Larry Fitzgerald was 26% of the offensive output of the cardinals but they threw the ball 10% more then us.
Jordy Nelson was only 19% of the Packers output but they threw the ball 10% more then us.
#1 WRs come in all forms and skill sets, what makes them is the offensive system they play in. Its rumored that Crabtree runs in the low 4.5, which would put him a smidgen slower then Jordy Nelson(4.51 with a 14.6 career YPC) and faster then Larry Fitzgerald(4.63 with a 13.8 career YPC). Crabtree can beat CBs deep, see GB game his rookie year, see STL game last season, and plenty of other games have evidence of him being able to go deep or get YAC.
But we play in a conservative offense that emphasizes ball control with shot plays, that last season threw the ball anywhere from 50-150 times less then the more prolific downfield attacks of the majority of the league. Right now we are on pace to actually throw 7 less attempts this season but the difference is that 1/3 of the way through the season and Alex is completing 8% more of his passes.
Anyway my point is that we are by nature a very different offense then the norm in the NFL but by percentages and proportions Crabtree is actually producing more so then some of the other "#1s".
Another valid point.....
Hines Ward was still the steelers #1 WR in 2009 and his numbers throughout his career were very "Crabtree-like" and this year in particular...
70% catch rate
Which is almost to the T what Crabtree would have in our system if he was targeted that many times.
72% catch rate
Ward was however outproduced by a fellow WR Santonio Holmes who was used primarily as a deep threat and has that sort of skill set that differs from Ward/Crabtree
Holmes in 2009
57% catch rate
compare that to Vernon Davis 2011
70% catch rate
We all know that Vernon is a real deep threat and this season he is averaging 15.2 YPC, very close to that of Holmes in 2009. The trick is pairing the #1 WR with a complimentary skill set.
In 2009 Ward had Holmes and it worked near perfectly. In SF Crabtree has Davis, yes Davis a TE and not a WR but its all about skill sets and pairing them wisely.
[ Edited by sfout on Oct 10, 2012 at 5:20 PM ]