you gotta factor in that the division didnt really get that much better outside of us, therefore thats 6 wins right there, then miami, jets, vikings , a butchered saints team, thats 10 wins, we will not lose every game of the elites.. giants , packers, pats and detroit. at worse 2-2 . so thats 12 wins. thats also a first round bye. most likely also a home championship game.