Randy Moss: I'll use Plaxico Burress as a comparable baseline as a red zone WR target. The Jets threw the ball about 100 more times than the Niners did, but I think a motivated Moss this year is better than Plax last year. I'm giving his YPC a slight uptick from his titans/vikings numbers, . 40 catches, 550 yards, 6 TD's
Crabtree: This probably depends on his offseason work. I don't see manningham challenging crabtree for the most targets among the Wideouts. Crabtree is more talented and I always thought he was most similar to Hakeem Nicks (a smaller, but quicker version) out of any WR in the league. Believe it or not these numbers are just a slight uptick from his numbers last year extrapolated over a healthy 16 games. 78 catches, 950 yards, 5 td's.
Manningham: He had an elite qb throwing to him for the past two years and was never higher than third on a depth chart. He's probably at best the third passing option on this team as well, but the offense is different and alex smith isn't great at the many sideline/back shoulder throws hes used to getting from Eli. Coming into his prime and is talented so I see him making some big plays for us, but I'm not high on his projected statline . 45 catches, 600 yards, 4 td's.
Ginn: Comes in only on spread sets. with extra rest on the sideline becomes the best Return guy in the league and takes it to the house at least three times. 10 catches 150 yards 1 TD.
Tight Ends
Vernon Davis: Beast. Contrary to what many believe Moss will bring the table as a downfield threat I think Harbaugh comes up with schemes to make VD our big play threat, as he showed in the playoffs. He's the best blocking TE in the league and a lot of his deep looks are going to come off of play action where he shoves the DE then takes off. Won't get as many targets as some would like to see, but will make use of them. 55 catches, 800 yards, 8 TD's
Delanie Walker. 300 yards, 2 TD's. used similarly to last year
Runing Backs
Frank Gore: Now that we have to plan on >16 game seasons, we do our best to keep him fresh. 60/40 split with Hunter in the first half of games before taking over in the second half, and sits whenever we are up by more than two scores. 220 carries, 1000 yards, 6 TD's, 100 rec yards.
Kendall Hunter: 10-15 touches a game as a 3rd down, first half co-back. Primary ball catcher out of the backfield, something harbaugh doesn't do often. 140 carries, 575 yards, 3 TD's, 250 rec yards
Lineman:
Staley or Sopoaga WILL catch a TD this year. I guarantee it.
Quarterback
Alex Smith: Totalling the numbers above gives 27 TD's and 3800 yards , which I think is very doable. I'll give Kaepernick about 400 yards and 3 Td's of garbage time, So we're looking at Alex smith at 24 TD's 3400 yards. He will still take care of the ball, and with a second year in the same system and with more recieving talent he'll have another career year: 24 TD 7 INT 3400 yards 62% completion 200 rushing yards 2 td 93.0 rating.
What do you guys think?
[ Edited by Binches on Mar 23, 2012 at 12:35 AM ]
