Originally posted by mike:
Originally posted by BSofSF:Rogers is as good as gone to me, sorry to those who think he's actually worth a big contract at his age. Someone who only has been here for a year is more likely to be more than happy to test the market.
Smith, Goldson, Rogers (?), Morgan, Ginn ... don't think they will try to land an expensive, splashy name WR. Agree with Maiocco that they'll follow methodical approach and look for relative bargains at WR that fall through cracks to second tier and draft one or two. I just think a top notch WR could open up lots of productivity for other offensive players like Crabtree, Davis, Gore/Hunter. Then you don't have to hold the opposition to 17 pts a game because you can put up 28. I assume Haralson is cut or backs up and the starters are Smith, Bowman, Willis and Brooks. That's full-time starter money and Ballke already said that Aldon Smith will be a full-time starter also.
So lets see, forgive me because I'm about to delve into a huge post trying to figure out what our plan could be with the rest of the offseason... We have $33.8 million in cap space.
I think Smith ends up 1 or 2 million cheaper than people have been saying, somewhere around $6 million a year with lots of incentives, it's still a raise but he needs harbaugh and the niners as much as we need him(I could be wrong of course, in which case add a million or so). Goldson probably gets the tag for $6.45 million. Brooks was about $7 million per year.
That's $19.45 million for Alex, Ahmad, and Goldson, leaving around 14 million in space. Ginn and Morgan both will either be really cheap or we don't bother to bring them back. Morgan may never be as good as he was before he broke his leg, if he was even that good to begin with. Ginn has restructured to be on our team before and should be willing to come cheap or return punts somewhere else. I would spend no more than a million on either of them. That leaves at least 13 million to pay for your 1st round pick, Snyder, other prospects, and whatever free agents we can afford.
According to my understanding of the new rookie scale-- 30th pick being an average of the 22 players' contracts from 3rd highest paid at a position to 25th, if we pick a 1st round Wide receiver and my math is correct(according to base salaries on spotrac.com) that's $3.95 million for our 1st round WR, or probably less if we draft a different position.
So $9.05 million left to resign Snyder, sign the rest of the cheaper rookies and get at least one free agent. I wouldn't expect Snyder and the rest to be much more than 3 million. Cut Haralson and you've got another 3 million or so. So I would say, if we're willing to spend all the way to the cap, 8 or 9 million is a reasonable amount of money for a free agent. I'm not sure it can be enough to drag a high profile guy here but we can get someone decent. That is of course in the scenario where we lose Rogers, blow 5 million or more on him and we most likely get no one.
Sad to say but I think Rogersw is gone as well. I just don't see the Niners giving him the $$$$ he is looking for.