Originally posted by valrod33:
Originally posted by NoOffseason:I used this site and I was wrong on the packers and steelers stats. I have no idea how i got my original numbers. checked again and it should be
Originally posted by valrod33:
Last 5 super bowl champions
Green Bay (O)5.7 (D)6.2
NO(O) 6.2 (D)5.6
Pitt(O)4.9 (D)4.7
Giants(O)5.1 (D)4.9
Colts(O)5.8(D)5.4
Are you sure about those?
I just checked them on NFL.com and they say the Packers last season in the regular season had 5.7 on offense and 5.1 on defense, which would barely qualify. But those would be different numbers from yours. Also, the Steelers had 4.9 on offense in that year, but an incredibly good 3.9 on defense according to my check. That would also mesh with my memory of the Steelers having a ridiculously good defense that year and all the hype accompanying with it.
So something is odd here: I believe the numbers I checked are correct, but maybe there is an error somewhere I have not considered? How did you find yours?
But regardless, even with my numbers, Cole barely had a weak trend. If yours hold up, it gets even more ridiculously wrong. So in any way you slice it, he talks out of his ass
http://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/yards-per-play
Green Bay 5.7 and 5.1
No 6.2 and 5.6
Pitt 4.9 and 4.1
Giants 5.1 and 4.9
Colts 5.8 and 5.4
I was wrong
No big deal, as I said before, if you look at the last ten Super Bowls, the stat holds up for only six of them, so the trend is kinda weak anyway.
Interestingly, NFL.com still says the Giants had a yards-per-play average on defense of exactly 5.0, so something is still off
But anyway, I still think Cole is wrong in trying to use this stat to predict anything, the correlation seems too weak to really draw any conclusions from it.
[ Edited by NoOffseason on Nov 22, 2011 at 3:30 PM ]